Using the rosters as they are as of July 1st (version 2.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.
This will be a series -- three weeks of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
Notes from Weeks 7-9...
-- Best record in the Faux season 2.0, so far...the 49ers (7-1). The Bengals (7-2) right behind them.
-- Worst record on the Faux season so far: a tie between the Bears and Vikings at (1-7).
-- The Bills (6-3) take the lead in the AFC East, a game ahead of NYJ (5-4)
-- Every team in the AFC North has a winning record with Cincy (7-2) on top aided by a very favorable early schedule.
-- The Colts and Texans (5-4) are tied for the AFC South. Tennessee (4-4) a half game out.
-- KC (5-3) takes over the solo lead in the AFC West for the first time this season.
-- The Eagles (5-3) lead the NFC East by a half game over...Washington (5-4).
-- The Packers (7-2) take the lead in the NFC North over Detroit (6-2).
-- The Falcons (5-4) have a 2-game lead in the otherwise dead NFC South.
-- The 49ers (7-1) and Rams (6-2) continue to trade the NFC West lead back-and-forth.
Tomorrow, we’ll see what Weeks 10-12 brings us.
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