This article was originally published in February 2022. There is no doubt Murray has shown the ability to play at an elite level, but problems have persisted with Murray. Is he really the guy to lead your dynasty team to victory, or can you use his diminishing elite status to get better value before it's too late. Here is what I had to say about it last year about this time, and I believe it still applies.
The Original 2022 Article Starts Here
This piece is something I've wrestled with for two years now, but really sparked me after watching the 2nd-half of the 2021 season unfold — What to do about a Kyler (for Dynasty going forward)? More to the point — Is it time to sell high on Kyler? And then it's growing into — Is it time to hurry up now and get away from Kyler?
From a Dynasty standpoint, I have a soft spot for Kyler. In 2019, I was pushing as hard as I ever have for a rookie pick — that he was worth trading into the top 5…top 3…even the #1.01 to land from that rookie draft. And that was a good call. He's been a worthy rookie pick. No regrets.
Kyler was the top FF QB in PPG for 2020 season (Weeks 1-16) and started out top 1-2-3 again the first half of 2021…looking better than ever as the Cardinals started out undefeated. All was well.
But then Kyler got hurt late in the game in their first loss of the year in Week 8 (remember that Green Bay game and the AJ Green-turned-the-wrong-way moment?) and then Kyler missed the next 3 games and was never the same (for FF) the rest of the year. Like 2020 season, once Kyler got nicked up, he stopped/slowed producing as much (numbers-wise).
Kyler has proven he's a legit NFL QB and a legit FF QB the past two+ seasons, overall. So, why do I think it is time to sell?
I want to talk about Kyler in terms of Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, and Joe Burrow…and NOT in terms of Aaron Rodgers, Lamar Jackson, or Dak Prescott or any other QBs.
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Why? Kyler belongs in the young and elite QB group. Rodgers is older. Lamar is not elite, but a hell of a runner…who has slowed down on the running production FF numbers. Prescott is not FF elite either. We're talking 'the elite'. Names where you'd/the world would be happy to have any one of the five guys for FF — Allen, Mahomes, Herbert, Burrow or Kyler.
I'm going to suggest that you trade Kyler in whatever scoring format you have, for one of the other four FF elites.
Having one of the elite QBs is an easy edge in FF. The foundation for high level scoring for a Fantasy team week-to-week. RBs come and go, and the NFL backups to your RB1 can slide in as an RB1 performer — but the top QBs are rarely hurt/missing and their scoring rarely dips out of sight for weeks or a season and you can't replace them with their NFL backup. It's stable, steady, bigger money at a position most every FF analyst says is not as important. And if you've been with me for a while, and if you had the season most FFMers did 2021 — you know how powerful, how stabilizing/steady having a top QB is (two of them, even better). And when they go off, a la Joe Burrow 2021…you can rip right thru the FF playoffs not even remembering who your sad 2nd RB or streamer DST was on your title run.
And FYI, there's no elite Fantasy QB in this year's draft that can/will crack into that group. Trey Lance might, from last year's draft, but he's unproven and not even assured he's the 2022 starter for SF — the elite group of Allen-Mahomes-Herbert-Burrow-Kyler has been FF elite for the past two seasons.
Why we should worry/discount Kyler, among the elites, going forward…
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