2022 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by Ross Jacobs *AFC Divisional Playoffs

INTRO:

(Same intro everyday) Four analysts are running their own early models of the 2022 NFL season, as we know it today – looking at the current teams/rosters/starters/depth mixed with the schedule layout.

We will release the simulation results and short commentaries three weeks at a time (Weeks 1-3, 4-6, etc.) by each analyst daily -- and then each analyst will simulate their playoffs all the way up to crowning their early Super Bowl champ. This is pre-work looking for/searching and sharing possible great Over/Under win total bets ahead of the crowd.

The analysts have not seen each other’s simulations…they’ll be seeing them for the first time as the report’s release daily for the next 12 days.

Your 2022 Faux 1.0 Analyst Lineup:

Ross Jacobs, FFM analyst (every 8am ET for the entire series)

Xavier Cromartie, long-time contributor/NFL Draft guru (every noonET)

Chris Bilello, Bet the Close Podcast (every 4pmET)

RC Fischer, FFM analyst (every 8pmET)

Hope you enjoy this two-week daily series…it’s all the analyst’s favorite project – one that totally consumes them and drives them mad working on it all, trying to predict the unpredictable…then a major injury will hit in July and/or August and blow all the theories and models all up. But for now, here’s what the analysts are seeing…

#4 Los Angeles Chargers (11-6) at #1 Indianapolis Colts (13-4)

Indianapolis wins 56% of the simulations. The Chargers are a good team, but Indy has an extra week of rest and that proves to be the needed edge.

#3 Buffalo Bills (12-5) at #2 Baltimore Ravens (12-5)

Baltimore is strong but the Bills are stronger. Lamar lives on getting a lead and sitting on it but struggles when playing from behind. Josh Allen and the Bills grab a lead and never relinquish it. Buffalo moves on winning 57.5% of the simulations.