2022 Ross Jacobs Faux/Computer Simulated Season 1.0 (Weeks 4-6)

 

INTRO:

(Same intro everyday) Four analysts are running their own early models of the 2022 NFL season, as we know it today – looking at the current teams/rosters/starters/depth mixed with the schedule layout.

We will release the simulation results and short commentaries three weeks at a time (Weeks 1-3, 4-6, etc.) by each analyst daily -- and then each analyst will simulate their playoffs all the way up to crowning their early Super Bowl champ. This is pre-work looking for/searching and sharing possible great Over/Under win total bets ahead of the crowd.

The analysts have not seen each other’s simulations…they’ll be seeing them for the first time as the report’s release daily for the next 12 days.

 

Your 2022 Faux 1.0 Analyst Lineup:

Ross Jacobs, FFM analyst (every 8am ET for the entire series)

Xavier Cromartie, long-time contributor/NFL Draft guru (every noonET)

Chris Bilello, Bet the Close Podcast (every 4pmET)

RC Fischer, FFM analyst (every 8pmET)

 

Hope you enjoy this two-week daily series…it’s all the analyst’s favorite project – one that totally consumes them and drives them mad working on it all, trying to predict the unpredictable…then a major injury will hit in July and/or August and blow all the theories and models all up. But for now, here’s what the analysts are seeing…

 

 

Ross’s Notes:

--Already there are no unbeaten teams remaining. In Week 4 the Bills took down the Ravens, the Vikings beat the Saints, and the Raiders stopped the Broncos. The last remaining unbeaten, the defending champ Rams, fell in week 5 to the Cowboys

The best remaining records belong to the Ravens, Packers, Rams, and Bucs at 5-1

 

--Somewhat surprisingly there are no winless teams left either. Every team got at least one win, and the Browns got two after Deshaun Watson returned from his suspension in week 5.

 

--Other notes of interest:

The AFC West division games have started and as predicted they are all beating each other up. It's a crowded field that will likely come down to the final weeks.

The AFC South and NFC East look poor as usual. The Colts and Cowboys hold 2 game leads.

The Rams are staying ahead of the pack in the NFC West, but the Cardinals and 49'ers are keeping it close so far.

 

 AFC East W L PCT

BUF … 4 - 2 = 0.667

MIA … 3 - 3 = 0.500

NE …. 2 - 4 = 0.333

NYJ … 2 - 4 = 0.333

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AFC North W L PCT

BAL … 5 - 1 = 0.833

PIT … 3 - 3 = 0.500

CIN … 3 - 3 = 0.500

CLE … 2 - 4 = 0.333

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AFC South W L PCT

IND … 4 - 2 = 0.667

TEN … 2 - 3 = 0.400

HOU … 1 - 4 = 0.200

JAX … 1 - 5 = 0.167

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AFC West W L PCT

KC … 4 - 2 = 0.667

LAC … 4 - 2 = 0.667

LV …. 3 - 2 = 0.600

DEN … 3 - 3 = 0.500

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NFC East W L PCT

DAL … 3 - 3 = 0.500

PHI … 3 - 3 = 0.500

WSH … 2 - 4 = 0.333

NYG … 1 - 5 = 0.167

===============

NFC North W L PCT

GB … 5 - 1 = 0.833

MIN …. 3 - 3 = 0.500

DET … 2 - 3 = 0.400

CHI … 2 - 4 = 0.333

===============

NFC South W L PCT

TB …. 5 - 1 = 0.833

NO … 4 - 2 = 0.667

CAR … 2 - 4 = 0.333

ATL …. 1 - 5 = 0.167

===============

NFC West W L PCT

LAR … 5 - 1 = 0.833

ARI … 4 - 2 = 0.667

SF … 4 - 2 = 0.667

SEA …. 2 - 4 = 0.333