.
8/18 TUE
(6:05amET)
Today/tomorrow
-- Video Q&A season is here...we’re back at it LIVE TONIGHT...Tuesday night 8/18 at 8:30pmET is the plan for the kickoff of the new season...and then most every Tuesday night the rest of the season.
The link to the private (subscriber only) YouTube show for FFM subscribers will post ahead of the showtime.
Your questions of any kind...redraft, Dynasty, rookie, betting...and my answers.
-- Preseason games week! Reports will be out as fast as we can do them properly.
-- New Two Scouts Talking YouTube Video drops today. Subscribe to that channel (it’s free) so when a new video drops, you get notified and it goes to the top of your feed when you’re looking for something to kill time with).
Two preseason games we scouted and discussed already...
Scouting 2026 Preseason Week 1: Titans vs. 49ers = https://youtu.be/7Pcf4ZJmC7o
Scouting Cardinals vs. Raiders = https://youtu.be/HUR2pVTz8Vk
-- DRD Mock Draft series 3.0 goes on a pause...we’ll pick it back up after all the Week 1 preseason games, to see how things will have changed after people get to see players.
-- Devy Series posts all through the rest of July into August.
-- Miscellaneous reports on things that come my way and more scouting reports to come. I have a backlog of them to get published already.
--------------------------
NEW DISCORD NOTIFICATION SYSTEM/INVITE: FFM Discord Notification System
*This is not a chat room. It is a one-way channel for FFM notifications about newly posted items and critical breaking news.
This Week’s/Month’s Agenda…
-- Game Reports galore
-- Draft Guide commentaries, mock drafts, etc., all month
-- DRD rankings will now update rankings and add/update commentaries, etc., every THU or FRI for the rest of the preseason.
-- Draft Guide, Dynasty and Best Ball rankings audits/updates weekly +/-.
-- Any FFM News & Notes or Special Reports during the day as I get them.
== NEWS & NOTES & Xs ==
-- HEADLINE: Jordyn Tyson out for about two months with hamstring.
This is now a bigger problem to discuss/debate than just this one issue...his history + this issue = real long-term FF-value issue.
You have to consider this report on the injury (couldn’t give a $#!t about his FF takes, but like his medical info): https://x.com/DrJesseMorse/status/2089479577164726662?s=20
So...missing Week 1 or more this season from the rookie class: Love, Tyson, Lemon. I am dead serious, it won’t be long before De’Zhaun Stribling is the 1.02 in ADP.
I ask again? Why do you want these rookie picks so badly?
I’m seeing Tyson fall to 1.04...1.05...1.06...and falling. Makai Lemon is crashing as well.
My strategy at #2-3-4-5-6 picks yesterday in DRDs that I was directly in...take Stribling after Jer. Love is gone, then trade Stribling by his next preseason game.
I’m going to update the DRD top 300 again tomorrow. I’ll leave all the movements/change numbers from yesterday and leave them in all week through to the normal Thursday update. Then I’ll clean the changes and get ready for fresh movement when next week’s (preseason Week 2) get going.
-- Najee Harris is back? https://x.com/AdamSchefter/status/2089381183062782133
There was rumor way back pre-Draft that NYG was looking at Jeremiyah Love if he fell to them, which seemed crazy at the time...now, not so much.
There was an odd rotation preseason Week 1 for NYG.
Now this?
Is this about Skattebo or Tyrone Tracy? Tracy missed that block and almost got Dart killed...is it over for Tracy?
But I can’t ignore the Skattebo angle to this... I like the Skatt tape study we did...but in Shark Tank terms, when it comes to Skatt right now -- ‘I’m out’. I want out of all things NYG.
On my $#!t list for FF 2026: NYG (Dart exception in 4pts maybe), TEN (Spears value I’ll take), CAR, CLE...WSH is close to being on ‘the list’.
The Jets are NOT on the list. Yet.
-- HEADLINE: The Colts are signing 6x Pro Bowl WR Keenan Allen to a 1-year deal worth up to $8.32M, multiple sources tell me. A big-time weapon for Daniel Jones, as Allen reunites with HC Shane Steichen from their days together with the Chargers.
Feels like a very ominous sign for Alec Pierce this season, right? This may be a lost season for Pierce.
Josh Downs may not be 100% percent either.
Does Keenan Allen have anything left in the tank? It's serendipitous that you ask that because Ross and I had already scheduled to do a Keenan video scouting review today on Two Scouts Talking YouTube Channel. Now, it will be shot and released the same day. Midday release.
== QUOTES & QUOTABLES ==
-- per @grantcohn: Deebo Samuel has mainly been playing RB rather than WR in camp since being with the 49ers - preface that it could be because CMC has been hurt (and every other RB)
-- @DhananiZain... More on Emmett Johnson:
Clearly 2nd up at practice behind KW
Brashard Smith still got a 1st team rep behind Emmett
Demercado only worked with 2nd team (I’m going guess he gets cut)
Emmett and Smith also got 2nd team run
EJ only other RB to receive a target in 11:11
-- @RomeovilleKid: Colts HC Shane Steichen, asked if he expects WR Alec Pierce (left ankle surgery recovery) to return in their joint practices with the #Falcons this week. “Not right now.”
Therefore, Pierce will miss all of training camp as he continues rehabbing.
-- Sean Payton with high praise for Jonah Coleman explaining why he pulled him quick in preseason Week: "I didn't need to see additional evidence of what I've been seeing for 3 weeks."
-- Per @_John_Shipley: today “The most explosive play came from rookie wide receiver Josh Cameron, who was on the other end of a frozen rope from Trevor Lawrence on what would have amounted to a touchdown pass of over 50 yards.”
We did a TST scouting video debate on Cameron months ago: https://youtu.be/M88UyX9377k
-- @Connor_J_Hughes: Giants WR Malik Nabers was back in team drills (7o7, 11o11). Still in a red, non-contact jersey. This practice was much more intense than last week, though. Still in shells, but full speed (or close to it). He left before the final two team periods and worked on the far field. I didn’t think Nabers looked as fluid this afternoon as he had. Laboring is a bit strong, but was more timid on routes and breaks. He did make a nice catch in 7o7s.
-- Cyrus Allen: https://x.com/Daily_Chiefs_/status/2089362477272137955
-- @Connor_J_Hughes: Source: The follow-up on Breece Hall’s groin confirmed the injury is minor — big sigh of relief for the #Jets. They’ll be cautious with him, but it’s weeks, not months.
Your moment of Zen for this day...
-- An SNL classic for me for a chuckle to get the day going, randomly popped up in my feed today: https://youtu.be/Hx7Vv5pqpHg?si=FfcER2CL8tRCGzB4
== Daily Series ==
New series: BEST Organization.
From the perspective of thinking of the organization as a ‘stock’...would I buy this stock, which one would I want over all the teams/stocks? Considering their current everything...current Owner, current GM, Current coaching staff, roster, and geography. Not for wins-losses, but quality of the organization as a whole.
We’ll add a team a day (alpha order) and just rank them and tier them as we go...this will take us to the start of the season. https://x.com/NFLDraftDome/status/2087593886067593509
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Chicago, Buffalo, Houston (if they hired a young, up & coming O-C and let them just run the offense--this is your AFC Super Bowl rep. Great geography and tax advantages for recruiting/paying players)
Denver, Carolina, Detroit, Cincinnati
Dallas, Green Bay
Atlanta, Baltimore
Arizona
Cleveland
----------------------------------------------------------
*How to sign up for our monthly or annual access: https://ffmetrics.com/total-football-advisor/total-football-advisor
*Draft Guide season access $29.99: https://ffmetrics.com/draft-guide/draft-guide
*How to get the free FFM App and FAQs on how to use: https://ffmetrics.com/5663-how-to-get-the-free-ffm-app
*Our Betting Subscription offering (including private Discord chat access): https://ffmetrics.com/betting/betting
=====================
.
8/17 MON
(8:12amET)
Today/tomorrow
-- Preseason games week! Reports will be out as fast as we can do them properly.
-- Video Q&A season is here...we’re back at it LIVE Tuesday night 8/18 at 8:30pmET is the plan for the kickoff of the new season...and then most every Tuesday night the rest of the season.
The link to the private (subscriber only) YouTube show for FFM subscribers will post ahead of the showtime.
Your questions of any kind...redraft, Dynasty, rookie, betting...and my answers.
-- New Two Scouts Talking YouTube Video drops today.
Two preseason games we scouted and discussed already...
Scouting 2026 Preseason Week 1: Titans vs. 49ers = https://youtu.be/7Pcf4ZJmC7o
Scouting Cardinals vs. Raiders = https://youtu.be/HUR2pVTz8Vk
-- DRD Mock Draft series 3.0 goes on a pause...we’ll pick it back up after all the Week 1 preseason games, to see how things will have changed after people get to see players.
-- Devy Series posts all through the rest of July into August.
-- Miscellaneous reports on things that come my way and more scouting reports to come. I have a backlog of them to get published already.
--------------------------
NEW DISCORD NOTIFICATION SYSTEM/INVITE: FFM Discord Notification System
*This is not a chat room. It is a one-way channel for FFM notifications about newly posted items and critical breaking news.
This Week’s/Month’s Agenda…
-- Game Reports galore
-- Draft Guide commentaries, mock drafts, etc., all month
-- DRD rankings will now update rankings and add/update commentaries, etc., every THU or FRI for the rest of the preseason.
-- Draft Guide, Dynasty and Best Ball rankings audits/updates weekly +/-.
-- Any FFM News & Notes or Special Reports during the day as I get them.
== NEWS & NOTES & Xs ==
-- The power of belief in rookies is stunning, but predictable...
I’m sure De’Zhaun Stribling jerseys sold out as well this week.
Selling DRD picks for real players is the smart way to go--leverage the general pop’s bloodthirst to discover/virginally FF-possess hot rookies.
Stribling is starting to go top in DRDs. I am planning to do a quick update of the DRD board today to adjust for the preseason Week 1, what we know so far. A little update before the main update every Thursday.
-- HEADLINE: Packers TE Tucker Kraft (knee) said the team will “probably” keep him on a snap count until halfway through the 2026 season.
Tucker Kraft: “They’re going to take into account my rep range probably until halfway through the season, and then they’re going to just pat me on the ass and send me out there and send me to the wolves.”
These injury projections we did earlier in the summer are mostly on track right now.
The pattern is: The team and the player talk a big game in the offseason. The players start moving around in the training camp, but then the closer we get to the season start...then we get closer to the season and then the talk starts getting a little more worrisome and restrictive.
Kraft is gonna be on managed reps for a while. Malik Nabers might be too...that’s going to be a big one. Alec Pierce is a real concern. George Kittle is not a lock for Week 1. Zach Charbonnet may really not be on track as fast as they’re trying to tell us.
-- HEADLINE: Bears coach Ben Johnson said Kyler Gordon (calf) has a timeline to return of “unknown.”
Coby Bryant out. Kyler Gordon likely out.
They’re trying to kill my Bears DST Week 1...
-- HEADLINE: Bills C Connor McGovern (undisclosed) is dealing with a multi-week injury.
If he misses the first few weeks of the season it would be bad for Buffalo, especially given that early schedule...not good for Josh Allen.
-- HEADLINE: The Athletic’s Zach Rosenblatt believes Isaiah Williams “appears to have overtaken” Omar Cooper for the starting slot receiver job.
Yikes. I like Isaiah but if this is true...this is bad for Cooper. The Jets are also nuts, but Cooper is locked into this prison for 4 years.
-- HEADLINE: ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports that the Cardinals are “still hopeful” that RB Jeremiyah Love (ankle) will be ready for Week 1 against the Chargers.
That sounds like ‘not happening’ Week 1, at a minimum.
This is not good either: https://x.com/DrJesseMorse/status/2089143407943864609
-- Way too much Alec Pierce injury analysis (I’m not sure I even understand it): https://x.com/FantasyInjuryT/status/2089105378386583636
Still...it looks like the question is not: “Will Pierce miss time this season?”...the question is “How much time will he miss?”
== QUOTES & QUOTABLES ==
-- DeMeco Ryans on last week on David Montgomery:
“I see David as a number one back. I see him as a leader, a passionate guy who brings fire to the game, fire that we need. He’s a really good runner, always been a runner anytime he touches the ball. Strong, runs low, runs behind his pads. Having him with Woody Marks, that tandem of backs, you need it. We saw the success that the Lions had, hopefully we get some of the same results.”
-- Early indications are encouraging that RB Kyle Monangai avoided serious injury. A source said the #Bears are doing an MRI to be sure:
-- Saints HC Kellen Moore said the team is “still in collection mode” regarding Jordyn Tyson’s hamstring injury.
-- The Dallas Cowboys are signing eight-time Pro Bowler Von Miller, per multiple reports.
Your moment of Zen for this day...
-- Rookie Derangement Syndrome is a real thing: https://x.com/Ihartitz/status/2089011123441864716
-- Cold blooded look at real estate today: https://youtu.be/lSSfbbBtJe0?si=Lwf4vCCtaN7NxsBN
== Daily Series ==
New series: BEST Organization.
From the perspective of thinking of the organization as a ‘stock’...would I buy this stock, which one would I want over all the teams/stocks? Considering their current everything...current Owner, current GM, Current coaching staff, roster, and geography. Not for wins-losses, but quality of the organization as a whole.
We’ll add a team a day (alpha order) and just rank them and tier them as we go...this will take us to the start of the season. https://x.com/NFLDraftDome/status/2087593886067593509
--------------
Chicago, Buffalo
Denver, Carolina, Detroit, Cincinnati
Dallas, Green Bay (rabid fanbase, but bad geography, solid roster but not Super Bowl level...Micah Parsons trade kills their upside into the future)
Atlanta, Baltimore
Arizona
Cleveland
----------------------------------------------------------
*How to sign up for our monthly or annual access: https://ffmetrics.com/total-football-advisor/total-football-advisor
*Draft Guide season access $29.99: https://ffmetrics.com/draft-guide/draft-guide
*How to get the free FFM App and FAQs on how to use: https://ffmetrics.com/5663-how-to-get-the-free-ffm-app
*Our Betting Subscription offering (including private Discord chat access): https://ffmetrics.com/betting/betting
=====================
