6/22 MON
(6:55amET)
Today/tomorrow
-- New DRD Mock Draft series, a five-round draft post-OTAs, started 6/16 TUE and runs one-a-day until we get through all 12 spots to draft from.
-- NOTE: I’m researching and working through all the main/key injuries lingering out there in the NFL/for FF as I work on the draft guide, which has ripple effects for all rankings and ratings and betting, etc. And I am getting a lot/learning a lot from them...and GEMINI does a lot of the heavy lifting/research, so everybody wins.
I’m gonna keep them coming as we dial in the 2026 Draft Guide projections and commentaries. I’m working my way down from the major/monster ones to the more curious/suspect/double-check-and-make-sure-things-will-be-OK injury Q&A’s...like with a Bo Nix (posting today).
-- The month of June is Draft Guide prep and reporting season. It’s pushed back a little bit from usual time ranges due to the Schedule release being so much later this year.
-- A ‘Strength of Schedule’ light reporting, daily series runs through June.
-- Miscellaneous reports on things that come my way and more scouting reports to come. I have a backlog of them to get published already.
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NEW DISCORD NOTIFICATION SYSTEM/INVITE: FFM Discord Notification System
This is not a chat room. It is a one-way channel for FFM notifications about newly posted items and critical breaking news.
This Week’s/Month’s Agenda…
-- 2026 Draft Guide studies...version 1.0 release July 1-4 range.
-- DRD rankings will now update rankings and add/update commentaries, etc., every THU or FRI for the rest of the preseason.
-- Dynasty and Best Ball rankings audits/updates weekly +/-.
-- Holy series QB and RB done. Holy RB Handcuffs underway (on hold for draft, since we’re this close)
-- Full scouting reports on various prospects from now until the NFL preseason. Deeper looks at Cyrus Allen and more all on deck.
-- Any FFM News & Notes or Special Reports during the day as I get them.
-- New coaching staff hire’s analysis series...trying to slot/schedule this. Once the Draft Guide is set, I hope/plan to turn to this.
== NEWS & NOTES & Xs ==
-- Sports Illustrated’s Nick Arvin anticipates the Titans using “a more balanced committee approach” in the backfield this season.
How ‘bout...NO.
Tony Pollard will lead this backfield with the other guys sprinkling in, and doubtful Nick Singleton sees much time at all.
Everyone/media/fan is typically trying to overthrow an older RB. For what Pollard has done the past 4 years, and for what he has done for the Titans the last 2 years versus what ‘nothing’ Tyjae Spears has done ever...it’s an absolute insult to think Pollard will suddenly be sharing heavy or getting surpassed. Give me a break. Just because a rookie like Nick Singleton sees a lot of snaps in OTAs doesn’t mean ‘he’s gonna play a lot more you think’...it’s because they don’t want or need Pollard taking any toll on his body for no reason, and OTAs are NO REASON. This may be one of the stupidest blurbs I read this year...because there was plenty of Singleton focus in the details of the headline item.
-- ESPN’s Rich Cimini reports a “person close to the situation” doubted the Jets’ interest in Texas Tech QB Brendan Sorsby.
Aaron Glenn has the power still in New York, but he’s also under the gun...the fans are turning on him, but management is still with him. It’s tenuous. You could tell by free agency and what they did to address the QB situation that Glenn is still in control inside the building. I think everything is gonna turn on him quickly if they out of the gates and go (0-4) or (1-5) start, etc., and for sure if they have another bottom 3-5 finish.
In order for Aaron Glenn to keep that job he has to get out to a quick start. He's not worried about the future; he's worried about now. Sorsby cannot help him now and Aaron Glenn has no interest or ability in developing QB for the future so I can buy rumor that The Jets are not interested.
That means, of the bad teams that need QB's/a Sorsby, it's coming down to the Cardinals or the Browns. I take the Cardinals in that choice situation. I still think Sorsby can get claimed in the late first round by a good team from 2025 that would sacrifice their 2027 first round pick because they (think they) know they're going to be nowhere near the top of the draft for a QB next year (Steelers, Eagles, Jags, Panthers). And from what I've seen so far, Sorsby has a case to be the QB with the best physical tools set out there among the 2027 group. It's just that teams have to determine what's going on in his head and is he worth the risk to try to develop.
When there's a QB with a quick release and big arm and good feet--there will be a team interested in his services.
== QUOTES & QUOTABLES (pulled from an internet A.I. search, I try to make sure it’s accurate but some of it is ‘trust in AI’) ==
-- 20.68 million watched Friday afternoon’s U.S. World Cup win
-- https://youtu.be/sp9FasMf3W8?si=ZR-S6KFfUxfPA3Ap
-- Good God Mike McDaniel is unlikable to me. If a video were to be the visual definition of the phrase PLEASE SHUT THE F... Up, here it is: https://x.com/rshereme/status/2068764179557699723
I’m shocked no one bought into the total bull $#!% in Miami.
He may be solid as an O-C...or just carried by the talent, but man I do not like him/his personality.
My 2022 new hire assessment of Mike McDaniel: https://ffmetrics.com/1097-2022-new-hire-nfl-head-coach-analysis-1-mike-mcdaniel-miami
Your moment of Zen for this day...
-- https://youtu.be/OAi7-8vm9RU?si=wrX1JDWNFoSd0bHv
== Daily Series ==
NEW for JUNE: 2026 Strength of Schedule analysis according to FFM!
I am putting my data into GEMINI and letting it do two things...do my calculations for me on our internal NFL-based ‘Strength of Schedule’...which takes a ton of things into consideration like our current win-loss projections for all teams 2026, analysis on weather, and travel, and BYE week impacts, etc.
I’m doing a slow burn for some daily fun/fare, BUT I’m also running my AI writer/creation AI_McGillicuddy1 to take all my data and guidance/notes and then make a report on the schedule as if he is an expert schedule analyzer (with our data) and then writes it in his comedic way that I constructed him to be like...a Frankenstein writer, half robot/half football writer/comedian.
We’ll add a team’s strength of schedule per day until we’re done. But we’ll begin with the first two, to get us started, the A’s group and then their quick schedule analysis reports from AI_McGillicuddy1 will hit during the day.
How we evaluate the SOS is a winning percentage (like everyone else), but ours is weighted for certain factors on top of our own internal projections for 2026 season strength of the 32 teams. The higher the % above .500, the tougher the schedule and vice-versa.
Our FFM Internal SOS for 2026, current:
*Adding Warren Sharp’s #1-32 rank on their S.O.S. calculations just for a fun check/parallel to a football research group that also gets that S.O.S. is a whole different animal than just “what was their record last year?” For Sharp Analysis notes, it’s displayed as #1 their easiest/#32 toughest scale.
45.81% = Cincinnati Bengals (#3)
45.83% = Detroit Lions (#1)
45.88% = New Orleans Saints (#2)
46.38% = Indianapolis Colts (#9)
48.27% = Chicago Bears (#27)
48.74% = Baltimore Ravens (#6)
49.73% = Carolina Panthers (#30)
49.75% = LA Chargers (#21)
49.99% = LA Rams (#28)
50.25% = New England Patriots (#12)
51.22% = Cleveland Browns (#4)
50.80% = Houston Texans (#26)
51.10% = Dallas Cowboys (#29)
51.38% = Kansas City Chiefs (#10)
51.90% = Miami Dolphins (#31)
52.10% = Jacksonville Jaguars (#15)
52.25% = Buffalo Bills (#14)
52.94% = Las Vegas Raiders (#19)
53.11% = Atlanta Falcons (#20)
53.29% = Minnesota Vikings (#16)
54.50% = Denver Broncos (#11)
56.81% = Green Bay Packers (#17)
57.98% = Arizona Cardinals (#32)
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