Just an open page for me to drop notes/ideas/things I'm hearing/seeing/working on or just caffeinated or lack of sleep thoughts on football items.
10/28 TUE
(7:34amET)
-- Today’s Agenda…
Tuesday Night Waivers Video Show 8:30pm-10pmET
Week 9 Projections day...they will debut/post approx. 5-7pmET
Game Reports today...mid-morning and hopefully another will post in the evening.
MNF first reactions...
-- This was a pretty miserable performance on both sides for a half...then KC kinda got going in the 2nd-half, but it wasn’t pretty. Washington never got going because their O-Line is dying and Marcus Mariota is the worst and the Washington game plan was a joke/didn’t help him out.
-- I think Isiah Pacheco took a good shot to the knee and had it bent back late in the game. He’s gonna feel that in the morning and maybe all week. On a short week, I wouldn’t be surprised if he didn’t play Week 9...or if he does it will probably be ill-advised. Those PCL type sprains and strains can be played through, but they cut the player effectiveness down for 1-3 weeks. Kareem Hunt might really be something this week. We’ll see.
-- Another week where Jacory Croskey-Merritt has nowhere to run. He’s doing the best he can with the little/no space, but it sucks for FF purposes. Unfortunately, he has two bad matchups with top run defenses in the next two weeks...SEA and DET. Week 11 v. Miami might be his next moment.
-- As we projected last week or so...Washington is NOT headed to a repeat playoff appearance it appears. They really need to get Jayden back and they must beat Seattle on SNF Week 9 or it’s about ‘over’ for them for the playoffs with their schedule ahead.
-- On the executive report Monday, I wrote the following: The RBs most likely dealt this next week: Mostert, Devin Singletary, Tony Pollard, Zamir White, Jerome Ford.
Let me play matchmaker with how I think this will go:
Raheem Mostert = Traded to Green Bay...Matt LaFleur is in the Shanahan/McVay ecosystem, so Mostert would get a recommendation to go there if the 49ers don’t feel like they need to make a move for him. Houston is possible as DeMeco Ryans used to be D-C in SF.
Devin Singletary = Will likely stay put. NYG’s staff is in jeopardy so they need ‘all hands on deck’ now that Skattebo is out. Daboll won’t help Dallas...and probably won’t help Green Bay because he’s not from that Shanny/McVay ecosystem...he’s more likely to help New England because he’s from the Belichick ecosystem.
Tony Pollard = Possibly back to Dallas. Won’t be New England, the Titans won’t want to help Vrabel. Possibly to Green Bay if Mostert doesn’t go to GB. Possible long shot to Houston.
Zamir White = Mostert traded probably means White stays in LV for depth/to take hits and workload off Jeanty a little bit.
Jerome Ford = Dallas is my top guess. Dallas needs a legit #2 bad. Jaydon Blue is not ready. Mafah is probably on IR all season. Malik Davis isn’t enough if a crisis hits.
-- Arizona Cardinals backfield stirrings...
Trey Benson is eligible to come off IR Week 10...but he may not be ready until Weeks 11-12-13 range. He’s not back practicing in any way yet that I have info on.
Arizona cut Michael Carter on Monday, which is VERY odd. Had to be an off-field incident with the coaching staff...OR they cut him with the intent of then re-adding him, they’re just making roster moves/maneuvering...but it’s odd they would do it with Carter.
I don’t think it means anything for Benson because they need RBs until Week 10 at least. Bam Knight would be in full control of the backfield if Carter is gone-gone, but that pesky D’Ernest Johnson is on the roster as well...but it should be/was already moving towards Bam as the lead and D’Ernest (or Carter) in support...again, unless the Carter move was just a temp move and he’ll be back today/tomorrow.
-- NBC HEADLINE: NFL Network’s Tom Pelissero reports free agent WR Tyler Lockett is expected to sign with the Raiders.
This move is a precursor to a Jakobi trade, I assume. ‘Where to?’
My rank of landing spots:
Falcons
Bucs (if they are worried about Godwin)
Ravens
Eagles
-- NBC HEADLINE: ESPN’s Adam Schefter reports Broncos CB Patrick Surtain (pectoral) is week-to-week with a strained pectoral.
The word going around is 4-6 games missed potentially. This is a KILLER to the Denver-DST. Defense is dead in the NFL and FF. Stream them a week at a time, or not...I don’t even know anymore. Surtain is getting a second opinion, so let’s see what develops today but this is a HUGE hit to Denver-DST and as a team...KC is being shoved ‘by fate’ back into winning the AFC West.
-- TE FF Scoring Trends (Weeks 4-8)...
Top 10 PPR PPG TEs (Wks 4-8)
18.3 = Kraft
18.0 = McBride
15.8 = Goedert
15.4 = Warren
15.0 = J Ferg
14.6 = Kelce
13.2 = Gadsden
12.7 = Pitts
12.1 = Barner
12.0 = LaPorta
Top 5 Yards (Wks 4-8):
340 = Kelce
339 = Gadsden
300 = Kraft
299 = Warren
246 = Otton
Top 5 TDs (Wk 4-8):
6 = Goedert
6 = J Ferg
4 = Kraft
4 = Theo Johnson
4 = Waller
Top 5 in 20+ Yard Catches (Wk 4-8):
6 = Warren
6 = Gadsden
5 = Kraft
5 = Otton
5 = Kincaid
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10/27 MON
(7:22amET)
-- Today Agenda...
Week 8 TNF MIN-LAC Game Recap scheduled to post midday today.
I’m working on the Executive Report all day ahead of MNF...planned to post 6-8pmET.
MNF Betting overview and my bets will post ahead of MNF.
-- Injury watch from Week 8 Sunday...
Quinshon Judkins Shoulder issue (AC joint sprain?) = Bye Week 9. Hopes to be OK for Week 10, but with the bye we won’t know the extent...could be 2-3 weeks on the bad side. Back Week 10 on the good side.
Saquon Barkley groin injury = Has a Week 9 bye, so will probably be OK for Week 10.
Marvin Mims concussion = But I could not care less because he’s gone from my rosters, concussion or not.
Alvin Kamara knee/ankle = Unknown extent
Carson Schwesinger high ankle = 4-6 weeks out, estimated.
Ed Oliver bicep = could be a bad one.
Joe Flacco AC Sprain = Bye Week 9, should be back for Week 10
Harold Fannin (unknown injury) = Bye Week 9, not sure if anything of concern.
-- It’s easy to say ‘bench the bum’ when QBs aren’t killing it...but they are human...
https://x.com/schultz_report/status/1982568560015614443?s=43
-- If the playoffs were locked in today...
The Colts and Packers would be #1 seeds.
Jacksonville and the 49ers would be the last teams in as wild cards.
Seattle would win the NFC West.
The last teams out of the playoffs would be Kansas City (a win tonight sneaks them ahead of JAX) and da Bears.
The top 3 picks for the 2026 NFL Draft would be: (1) Saints, (2) Jets, (3) Titans
Coaches most likely to be fired this offseason: (1) Mike McDaniel/MIA (2) Jonathan Gannon/ARI (3) Kevin Stefanski (4) Mike Tomlin (5) Brian Daboll
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