Using the rosters as they are as of Aug 28 (version 3.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and then taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.
This will be a series -- three weeks of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
AFC Wild Card Playoffs:
#1: CIN (13-4)
#5 BAL (11-6) at #4 NYJ (11-6) = BAL wins
#6 TEN (11-6) at #3 IND (11-6) = IND wins
#7 HOU (10-7) at #2 KC (11-6) = KC wins
NFC Wild Card Playoffs:
#1: LAR (13-4) BYE
#5 GB (12-5) at #4 WSH (8-9) = GB wins
#6 SF (11-6) at #3 ATL (10-7) = SF wins
#7 TB (10-7) at #2 DET (12-5) = DET wins
AFC Divisional Round:
#5 BAL (12-6) at #1 CIN (13-4) = BAL wins
#3 IND (12-6) at #2 KC (12-6) = KC wins
NFC Divisional Round:
#6 SF (12-6) at #1 LAR (13-4) = LAR wins
#5 GB (13-5) at #2 DET (13-5) = DET wins
AFC Conference Finals:
#5 BAL (13-6) at #2 KC (13-6) = BAL wins
NFC Conference Finals:
#2 DET (14-5) at #1 LAR (14-4) = DET wins
Super Bowl:
BAL (14-6) v. DET (15-5) = DET wins and are the 2024 Faux 3.0 champs!
