2024 Faux 3.0 FFM Computer Simulated Season (Weeks 16-18)

Using the rosters as they are as of Aug 28 (version 3.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and then taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.

This will be a series -- three weeks of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.

In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.

Notes from Weeks 16-18...

 -- The Jets (11-6) finish the race...the wire-to-wire leader in the AFC East with a healthy Aaron Rodgers and the NFL top defense...again...everyone is healthy in the Faux utopian world.

 -- The Bengals (13-4) win the AFC North...and are the #1 seed in the AFC with a fully healthy Joe Burrow.

 -- The Colts (11-5) and Titans (11-5) tie for the AFC South, and Indy wins the tiebreaker.

 -- The Chiefs (11-6) hold off a pesky Broncos team (9-8) to win the AFC West, because of course they do.

 -- Washington (8-9) wins the NFC East off a three-way tie with Dallas and Philly. All teams had a losing record in this division. Someone had to win it, Washington does.

 -- Detroit (12-5) catches Green Bay (12-5) at the wire...and takes the tiebreaker win of the division.

 -- The Falcons (10-7) get the tiebreaker over Tampa Bay (10-7) to take the NFC West.

 -- The Rams (13-4) win the NFC West...and are the NFC’s top seed.

 -- Baltimore (11-6) and Tennessee (11-6) are in the AFC wild card, but the last spot is between Buffalo (10-7) and Houston (10-7). You’ll find out who got in tomorrow, when we show the entire playoff outcomes. Denver (9-8) just misses out.

 -- Green Bay (12-5), San Fran (11-6), and Tampa Bay (10-7) are in as the NFC wild card.

 -- The Vikings (2-15) get the #1 pick in the draft. They aren’t the worst team in the NFL, but their schedule is wicked early on.

 -- Coaches who get fired after Faux 3.0’s results...

Doug Pederson

Mike McCarthy

Nick Sirianni

Matt Eberflus

Dennis Allen

Mike Tomlin avoids the chopping block, but Arthur Smith doesn’t.

 -- Faux 3.0 MVP: Joe Burrow

 -- Faux 3.0 ROY: Jayden Daniels

 -- Faux 3.0 COY: Brian Callahan