Using the rosters as they are as of July 1st (version 2.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.
This will be a series -- three weeks of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
The Faux 2.0 Super Bowl...
Baltimore Ravens (14-5) v. Detroit Lions (16-4)
1Q: Derrick Henry 1-yard TD run (XP good), 7-0 BAL
1Q: Amon-Ra St. Brown 7-yard pass from Jared Goff (XP good), 7-7 tie
2Q: Justin Tucker 54-yard FG, 10-7 BAL
2Q: Jahmyr Gibbs 41-yard TD pass from Jared Goff (XP good), 14-10 DET
3Q: Carlton Davis 34-yard INT return (XP good), 21-10 DET
3Q: Justin Tucker 51-yard FG, 21-13 DET
3Q: Justin Tucker 37-yard FG, 21-16 DET
4Q: Khalif Raymond 35-yard TD pass from Jared Goff (XP good), 28-16 DET
The Detroit Lions win Faux 2.0 Super Bowl, MVP = Jared Goff
That’s all for Faux 2.0. Faux 3.0 coming in late August, the final for going into the regular season.
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