Using the rosters as they are as of mid-May (version 1.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the new NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.
This will be a series -- three weeks of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
The NFC Wild Card...
#1 SEED BYE = Detroit (12-5)
#5 49ers (12-5) at #4 Eagles (10-7)
The 49ers win 71% of the simulations.
Brock Purdy’s revenge. An easy win for the Niners over the lucky-they-had-an-easy-division Eagles.
#6 Packers (10-7) at #3 Falcons (11-6)
The Packers wins 51% of the simulations.
Speaking of easy divisions... The Falcons win the AFC West by distance, but face a playoff experienced Packers and they get beat at home. Get ready for the Cousins unrest in the offseason...and his trade away to the Rams in 2025.
#7 Seahawks (9-8) at #2 Rams (12-5)
The Rams win 65% of the simulations.
The Seahawks were a pesky team all Faux 1.0 season long, but they run out of steam facing a gelling Rams team.
Next NFC Playoff Report:
#6 GB at #1 DET
#5 SF at #2 LAR
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