2022 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by Ross Jacobs *AFC and NFC Conference Championships



(Same intro everyday) Four analysts are running their own early models of the 2022 NFL season, as we know it today – looking at the current teams/rosters/starters/depth mixed with the schedule layout.

We will release the simulation results and short commentaries three weeks at a time (Weeks 1-3, 4-6, etc.) by each analyst daily -- and then each analyst will simulate their playoffs all the way up to crowning their early Super Bowl champ. This is pre-work looking for/searching and sharing possible great Over/Under win total bets ahead of the crowd.

The analysts have not seen each other’s simulations…they’ll be seeing them for the first time as the report’s release daily for the next 12 days.


Your 2022 Faux 1.0 Analyst Lineup:

Ross Jacobs, FFM analyst (every 8am ET for the entire series)

Xavier Cromartie, long-time contributor/NFL Draft guru (every noonET)

Chris Bilello, Bet the Close Podcast (every 4pmET)

RC Fischer, FFM analyst (every 8pmET)


Hope you enjoy this two-week daily series…it’s all the analyst’s favorite project – one that totally consumes them and drives them mad working on it all, trying to predict the unpredictable…then a major injury will hit in July and/or August and blow all the theories and models all up. But for now, here’s what the analysts are seeing…



#3 Buffalo Bills (12-5) at #1 Indianapolis Colts (13-4)

The Colts have home field advantage, a solid defense, and a powerful run game with Jonathan Taylor. The Bills have a top 5 defense and the best QB in the league. Josh Allen finally breaks through for his first Superbowl appearance. The Bills win 53% of the simulations.




#3 Los Angeles Rams (12-5) at #1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12-5)

The Rams beat the Bucs on the road in week 9 and are trying to do it again but they are tired from a hard-fought win over the Packers while the Bucs had the significantly easier game against the 49'ers. Being a little more rested and having home field advantage is enough for the Bucs to win a very even game. Tampa wins 51.5% of the simulations.