2022 Xavier Cromartie Faux/Computer Simulated Season 1.0 (Weeks 16-18)
INTRO:
(Same intro everyday) Four analysts are running their own early models of the 2022 NFL season, as we know it today – looking at the current teams/rosters/starters/depth mixed with the schedule layout.
We will release the simulation results and short commentaries three weeks at a time (Weeks 1-3, 4-6, etc.) by each analyst daily -- and then each analyst will simulate their playoffs all the way up to crowning their early Super Bowl champ. This is pre-work looking for/searching and sharing possible great Over/Under win total bets ahead of the crowd.
The analysts have not seen each other’s simulations…they’ll be seeing them for the first time as the report’s release daily for the next 12 days.
Your 2022 Faux 1.0 Analyst Lineup:
Ross Jacobs, FFM analyst (every 8am ET for the entire series)
Xavier Cromartie, long-time contributor/NFL Draft guru (every noonET)
Chris Bilello, Bet the Close Podcast (every 4pmET)
RC Fischer, FFM analyst (every 8pmET)
Hope you enjoy this two-week daily series…it’s all the analyst’s favorite project – one that totally consumes them and drives them mad working on it all, trying to predict the unpredictable…then a major injury will hit in July and/or August and blow all the theories and models all up. But for now, here’s what the analysts are seeing…
XC Notes:
It's over. First, we look at the 2023 Draft order and run a mini-mock draft:
1. Carolina Panthers (3-14): QB CJ Stroud - Take anyone who plays QB.
2. Chicago Bears (4-13): ED Will Anderson - They have a QB. They need talent everywhere else.
3. Houston Texans (4-13): QB Bryce Young - Young and Metchie reunited.
4. Atlanta Falcons (5-12): QB Will Levis - This team also needs a QB.
5. Detroit Lions (5-12): QB Anthony Richardson - They will not pay Jared Goff $30M in 2023.
6. Seattle Seahawks (6-11): QB Tyler Van Dyke - QB mania running wild.
7. Pittsburgh Steelers (6-11): DT Jalen Carter - This guy can pass rush.
AFC playoff seeds:
1. Cincinnati Bengals
2. Buffalo Bills
3. Los Angeles Chargers
4. Tennessee Titans
5. Cleveland Browns
6. New England Patriots
7. Kansas City Chiefs
NFC playoff seeds:
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2. Green Bay Packers
3. Los Angeles Rams
4. Philadelphia Eagles
5. Minnesota Vikings
6. Dallas Cowboys
7. New Orleans Saints
AFC East W L PCT
BUF … 12 - 5 = 0.706
NE …. 10 - 7 = 0.588
MIA … 9 - 8 = 0.529
NYJ … 7 - 10 = 0.412
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AFC North W L PCT
CIN … 13 - 4 = 0.765
CLE … 11 - 6 = 0.647
BAL … 8 - 9 = 0.471
PIT … 6 - 11 = 0.353
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AFC South W L PCT
TEN … 10 - 7 = 0.588
IND … 8 - 9 = 0.471
JAX … 6 - 11 = 0.353
HOU … 4 - 13 = 0.235
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AFC West W L PCT
LAC … 12 - 5 = 0.706
KC …. 9 - 8 = 0.529
LV … 9 - 8 = 0.529
DEN … 7 - 10 = 0.412
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NFC East W L PCT
PHI … 11 - 6 = 0.647
DAL … 10 - 7 = 0.588
WSH … 8 - 9 = 0.471
NYG … 7 - 10 = 0.412
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NFC North W L PCT
GB …. 12 - 5 = 0.706
MIN … 10 - 7 = 0.588
DET … 5 - 12 = 0.294
CHI … 4 - 13 = 0.235
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NFC South W L PCT
TB …. 13 - 4 = 0.765
NO …. 9 - 8 = 0.529
ATL … 5 - 12 = 0.294
CAR … 3 - 14 = 0.176
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NFC West W L PCT
LAR … 12 - 5 = 0.706
SF …. 9 - 8 = 0.529
ARI … 7 - 10 = 0.412
SEA … 6 - 11 = 0.353
