2022 Ross Jacobs Faux/Computer Simulated Season 1.0 (Weeks 16-18)
INTRO:
(Same intro everyday) Four analysts are running their own early models of the 2022 NFL season, as we know it today – looking at the current teams/rosters/starters/depth mixed with the schedule layout.
We will release the simulation results and short commentaries three weeks at a time (Weeks 1-3, 4-6, etc.) by each analyst daily -- and then each analyst will simulate their playoffs all the way up to crowning their early Super Bowl champ. This is pre-work looking for/searching and sharing possible great Over/Under win total bets ahead of the crowd.
The analysts have not seen each other’s simulations…they’ll be seeing them for the first time as the report’s release daily for the next 12 days.
Your 2022 Faux 1.0 Analyst Lineup:
Ross Jacobs, FFM analyst (every 8am ET for the entire series)
Xavier Cromartie, long-time contributor/NFL Draft guru (every noonET)
Chris Bilello, Bet the Close Podcast (every 4pmET)
RC Fischer, FFM analyst (every 8pmET)
Hope you enjoy this two-week daily series…it’s all the analyst’s favorite project – one that totally consumes them and drives them mad working on it all, trying to predict the unpredictable…then a major injury will hit in July and/or August and blow all the theories and models all up. But for now, here’s what the analysts are seeing…
Ross’s Notes:
--Indianapolis finishes the season with the best record at 13-4 courtesy of a weak schedule and grab the #1 seed in the AFC. How deep can they make it in the playoffs?
--Three teams finish with the same record in the NFC. The Packers, Rams, and Bucs all get 12 wins, but Tampa takes the top seed.
--The Falcons officially lock up the #1 pick in the draft with a mere 4 wins on the season. They are followed by the Seahawks, Panthers, Bears, and Texans with 5 wins each.
--Other notes of interest:
The Chargers sweep KC on the year and squeak out the division in the end. It's the first time Patrick Mahomes has not won the division.
Baltimore takes the AFC North in a bounce back season over the Bengals. An easier schedule and a fully healthy team are the extra edge they needed.
The Eagles take the NFC East a game up on Dallas and Washington. It wasn't pretty but they snag the #4 seed.
The Rams held on for a repeat win of the NFC West. SF and Arizona faded just a bit at the end.
AFC East W L PCT
BUF … 12 - 5 = 0.706
MIA … 8 - 9 = 0.471
NE …. 7 - 10 = 0.412
NYJ … 7 - 10 = 0.412
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AFC North W L PCT
BAL … 12 - 5 = 0.706
CIN … 10 - 7 = 0.588
CLE … 9 - 8 = 0.529
PIT … 6 - 11 = 0.353
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AFC South W L PCT
IND … 13 - 4 = 0.765
TEN … 8 - 9 = 0.471
JAX … 6 - 11 = 0.353
HOU … 5 - 12 = 0.294
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AFC West W L PCT
LAC … 11 - 6 = 0.647
KC …. 10 - 7 = 0.588
DEN … 10 - 7 = 0.588
LV … 9 - 8 = 0.529
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NFC East W L PCT
PHI … 9 - 8 = 0.529
WSH … 8 - 9 = 0.471
DAL … 8 - 9 = 0.471
NYG … 6 - 11 = 0.353
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NFC North W L PCT
GB …. 12 - 5 = 0.706
MIN … 8 - 9 = 0.471
DET … 7 - 10 = 0.412
CHI … 5 - 12 = 0.294
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NFC South W L PCT
TB …. 12 - 5 = 0.706
NO …. 9 - 8 = 0.529
CAR … 5 - 12 = 0.294
ATL … 4 - 13 = 0.235
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NFC West W L PCT
LAR … 12 - 5 = 0.706
SF …. 10 - 7 = 0.588
ARI … 9 - 8 = 0.529
SEA … 5 - 12 = 0.294
