2022 Chris Bilello (Bet The Close Podcast) Faux/Computer Simulated Season 1.0 (Weeks 13-15)
INTRO:
(Same intro everyday) Four analysts are running their own early models of the 2022 NFL season, as we know it today – looking at the current teams/rosters/starters/depth mixed with the schedule layout.
We will release the simulation results and short commentaries three weeks at a time (Weeks 1-3, 4-6, etc.) by each analyst daily -- and then each analyst will simulate their playoffs all the way up to crowning their early Super Bowl champ. This is pre-work looking for/searching and sharing possible great Over/Under win total bets ahead of the crowd.
The analysts have not seen each other’s simulations…they’ll be seeing them for the first time as the report’s release daily for the next 12 days.
Your 2022 Faux 1.0 Analyst Lineup:
Ross Jacobs, FFM analyst (every 8am ET for the entire series)
Xavier Cromartie, long-time contributor/NFL Draft guru (every noonET)
Chris Bilello, Bet the Close Podcast (every 4pmET)
RC Fischer, FFM analyst (every 8pmET)
Hope you enjoy this two-week daily series…it’s all the analyst’s favorite project – one that totally consumes them and drives them mad working on it all, trying to predict the unpredictable…then a major injury will hit in July and/or August and blow all the theories and models all up. But for now, here’s what the analysts are seeing…
Chris’s Notes:
-- AFC East, wow BUF really pulled away in this 3-game stretch…it was a 3 way tie with NE, MIA after 12 weeks.
-- AFC North, BAL holds on to the 1 game lead for the division.
-- AFC South and West look ok to me.
-- NFC East and North, working out as I expected, DAL/PHI and GB/MIN vying for the divisions.
-- NFC South is extreme but fine.
-- NFC West, seems too high on SF and too low on LAR but not by much.
AFC East W L PCT
BUF … 11 - 3 = 0.786
NE …. 9 - 4 = 0.692
MIA … 8 - 6 = 0.571
NYJ … 7 - 7 = 0.500
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AFC North W L PCT
BAL … 10 - 4 = 0.714
CIN … 9 - 5 = 0.643
CLE … 5 - 9 = 0.357
PIT … 4 - 10 = 0.286
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AFC South W L PCT
IND … 6 - 8 = 0.429
TEN … 6 - 8 = 0.429
JAX … 2 - 12 = 0.143
HOU … 2 - 12 = 0.143
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AFC West W L PCT
DEN … 12 - 2 = 0.857
LAC … 11 - 3 = 0.786
KC …. 9 - 5 = 0.643
LV … 8 - 6 = 0.571
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NFC East W L PCT
DAL … 10 - 4 = 0.714
PHI … 10 - 4 = 0.714
NYG … 7 - 7 = 0.500
WSH … 4 - 10 = 0.286
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NFC North W L PCT
GB …. 9 - 5 = 0.643
MIN … 9 - 5 = 0.643
CHI … 5 - 9 = 0.357
DET … 4 - 10 = 0.286
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NFC South W L PCT
TB …. 13 - 1 = 0.929
NO …. 7 - 7 = 0.500
CAR … 3 - 11 = 0.214
ATL … 2 - 12 = 0.143
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NFC West W L PCT
SF …. 12 - 2 = 0.857
LAR … 6 - 8 = 0.429
ARI … 3 - 11 = 0.214
SEA … 1 - 13 = 0.071
