2022 Chris Bilello (Bet The Close Podcast) Faux/Computer Simulated Season 1.0 (Weeks 4-6)
INTRO:
(Same intro everyday) Four analysts are running their own early models of the 2022 NFL season, as we know it today – looking at the current teams/rosters/starters/depth mixed with the schedule layout.
We will release the simulation results and short commentaries three weeks at a time (Weeks 1-3, 4-6, etc.) by each analyst daily -- and then each analyst will simulate their playoffs all the way up to crowning their early Super Bowl champ. This is pre-work looking for/searching and sharing possible great Over/Under win total bets ahead of the crowd.
The analysts have not seen each other’s simulations…they’ll be seeing them for the first time as the report’s release daily for the next 12 days.
Your 2022 Faux 1.0 Analyst Lineup:
Ross Jacobs, FFM analyst (every 8am ET for the entire series)
Xavier Cromartie, long-time contributor/NFL Draft guru (every noonET)
Chris Bilello, Bet the Close Podcast (every 4pmET)
RC Fischer, FFM analyst (every 8pmET)
Hope you enjoy this two-week daily series…it’s all the analyst’s favorite project – one that totally consumes them and drives them mad working on it all, trying to predict the unpredictable…then a major injury will hit in July and/or August and blow all the theories and models all up. But for now, here’s what the analysts are seeing…
Chris's Notes:
-- AFC East looks fine, a bit surprised the J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets are 3-3.
-- AFC North, PIT at 0-6 is a shock (@CIN, NE, @CLE, NYJ, @BUF, TB)…the answer to both questions seems to be my giving the NYJ the win @PIT…most won’t.
-- AFC South looks fine, I’m not high on IND so if they don’t win @JAX for the first time since 2014, I fear for them in the 3 games after (@HOU, @JAX, KC, TEN, @DEN, JAX)
-- AFC West, let’s go Chargers. And man is the Raiders (1-4) schedule tough before their week 6 bye (remind me to bet their season wins “over” if they start slow…@LAC, ARI, @TEN, DEN, @KC)
-- NFC East, PHI keeps the good times rolling, did you know they are currently +210 to win the division?
-- NFC North and South look fine
-- NFC West records are extreme but they reflect my opinion on those teams very well.
AFC East W L PCT
BUF … 4 - 2 = 0.667
NE …. 4 - 2 = 0.667
NYJ … 3 - 3 = 0.500
MIA … 3 - 3 = 0.500
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AFC North W L PCT
BAL … 5 - 1 = 0.833
CIN … 4 - 2 = 0.667
CLE … 3 - 3 = 0.500
PIT … 0 - 6 = 0.000
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AFC South W L PCT
IND … 4 - 2 = 0.667
TEN … 3 - 2 = 0.600
JAX … 1 - 5 = 0.167
HOU … 0 - 5 = 0.000
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AFC West W L PCT
LAC … 6 - 0 = 1.000
DEN … 5 - 1 = 0.833
KC … 3 - 3 = 0.500
LV …. 1 - 4 = 0.200
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NFC East W L PCT
PHI … 5 - 1 = 0.833
DAL … 4 - 2 = 0.667
NYG … 2 - 4 = 0.333
WSH … 1 - 5 = 0.167
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NFC North W L PCT
GB … 4 - 2 = 0.667
MIN …. 4 - 2 = 0.667
DET … 2 - 3 = 0.400
CHI … 2 - 4 = 0.333
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NFC South W L PCT
TB …. 6 - 0 = 1.000
NO … 3 - 3 = 0.500
ATL …. 1 - 5 = 0.167
CAR … 1 - 5 = 0.167
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NFC West W L PCT
SF … 5 - 1 = 0.833
LAR … 3 - 3 = 0.500
ARI … 2 - 4 = 0.333
SEA …. 0 - 6 = 0.000
