2022 RC’s Faux/Computer Simulated Season 1.0 (Weeks 1-3)

INTRO:

(Same intro everyday) Four analysts are running their own early models of the 2022 NFL season, as we know it today – looking at the current teams/rosters/starters/depth mixed with the schedule layout.

We will release the simulation results and short commentaries three weeks at a time (Weeks 1-3, 4-6, etc.) by each analyst daily -- and then each analyst will simulate their playoffs all the way up to crowning their early Super Bowl champ. This is pre-work looking for/searching and sharing possible great Over/Under win total bets ahead of the crowd.

The analysts have not seen each other’s simulations…they’ll be seeing them for the first time as the reports release daily for the next 12 days.

Your 2022 Faux 1.0 Analyst Lineup:

Ross Jacobs, FFM analyst (every 8am ET for the entire series)

Xavier Cromartie, long-time contributor/NFL Draft guru (every noonET)

Chris Bilello, Bet the Close Podcast (every 4pmET)

RC Fischer, FFM analyst (every 8pmET)

Hope you enjoy this two-week daily series…it’s all the analyst’s favorite project – one that totally consumes them and drives them mad working on it all, trying to predict the unpredictable…then a major injury will hit in July and/or August and blow all the theories and models all up. But for now, here’s what the analysts are seeing…

RC’s Notes:

 -- How about this AFC East start…a three-way tie at (2-1) between the Pats, the Jets, and Dolphins…with the Bills in last place (1-2)! It’s early.

The Bills start the season at LAC, then home with their nemesis TEN, and then one of the worst road games for NFL teams, at Miami.

 -- Cincy (2-1) and Tennessee (2-1) take early leads in their division, to no surprise.

 -- LAC (3-0) and DEN (3-0) are the only undefeated teams left in the AFC after three weeks. Tied for the AFC West lead.

 -- The AFC has the only two winless teams remaining…(0-3) PIT and (0-3) JAX.

 -- A mild shock start in the NFC East…NYG (2-1) and WSH (2-1) with the early lead. NYG a win at home over CAR Week 2 then a big win on MNF Week 3 hosting Dallas.

 -- A shock tie for the NFC North, MIN, and DET (2-1) out of the gates to lead the way!

 -- No surprise that TB (3-0) and SF/LAR (2-1) are out to division leads. The Bucs are the only NFC undefeated.

 *For my simulated season, Deshaun Watson is suspended 8 games.

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AFC East W L PCT

NE …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

NYJ … 2 - 1 = 0.667

MIA … 2 - 1 = 0.667

BUF … 1 - 2 = 0.333

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AFC North W L PCT

CIN … 2 - 1 = 0.667

CLE … 1 - 2 = 0.333

BAL … 1 - 2 = 0.333

PIT … 0 - 3 = 0.000

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AFC South W L PCT

TEN … 2 - 1 = 0.667

IND … 1 - 2 = 0.333

HOU … 1 - 2 = 0.333

JAX … 0 - 3 = 0.000

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AFC West W L PCT

DEN … 3 - 0 = 1.000

LAC … 3 - 0 = 1.000

KC …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

LV … 1 - 2 = 0.333

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NFC East W L PCT

WSH … 2 - 1 = 0.667

NYG … 2 - 1 = 0.667

DAL … 1 - 2 = 0.333

PHI … 1 - 2 = 0.333

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NFC North W L PCT

MIN … 2 - 1 = 0.667

DET … 2 - 1 = 0.667

GB …. 1 - 2 = 0.333

CHI … 1 - 2 = 0.333

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NFC South W L PCT

TB …. 3 - 0 = 1.000

NO …. 1 - 2 = 0.333

CAR … 1 - 2 = 0.333

ATL … 1 - 2 = 0.333

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NFC West W L PCT

LAR … 2 - 1 = 0.667

SF …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

ARI … 1 - 2 = 0.333

SEA … 1 - 2 = 0.333

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