2022 Chris Bilello (Bet The Close Podcast) Faux/Computer Simulated Season 1.0 (Weeks 1-3)
INTRO:
(Same intro everyday) Four analysts are running their own early models of the 2022 NFL season, as we know it today – looking at the current teams/rosters/starters/depth mixed with the schedule layout.
We will release the simulation results and short commentaries three weeks at a time (Weeks 1-3, 4-6, etc.) by each analyst daily -- and then each analyst will simulate their playoffs all the way up to crowning their early Super Bowl champ. This is pre-work looking for/searching and sharing possible great Over/Under win total bets ahead of the crowd.
The analysts have not seen each other’s simulations…they’ll be seeing them for the first time as the report’s release daily for the next 12 days.
Your 2022 Faux 1.0 Analyst Lineup:
Ross Jacobs, FFM analyst (every 8am ET for the entire series)
Xavier Cromartie, long-time contributor/NFL Draft guru (every noonET)
Chris Bilello, Bet the Close Podcast (every 4pmET)
RC Fischer, FFM analyst (every 8pmET)
Hope you enjoy this two-week daily series…it’s all the analyst’s favorite project – one that totally consumes them and drives them mad working on it all, trying to predict the unpredictable…then a major injury will hit in July and/or August and blow all the theories and models all up. But for now, here’s what the analysts are seeing…
Chris's Notes...
-- PIT 0-3 is a bit surprising but the schedule start is not kind (@CIN, NE, @CLE).
-- KC 1-2 also schedule driven, I gave them @ARI but not LAC and @IND.
-- PHI (3-0) is a hot team taking bets on season wins “over” with the number being driven up from 8.5 to 9.5…schedule starts nice for it (@DET, MIN, @WAS)
-- ARI (0-3) is a rough prediction for a team that usually starts hot then fades…but (KC, @LV, LAR)
AFC East W L PCT
BUF … 2 - 1 = 0.667
NE …. 2 - 1 = 0.667
MIA … 2 - 1 = 0.667
NYJ … 1 - 2 = 0.333
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AFC North W L PCT
CLE … 2 - 1 = 0.667
CIN … 2 - 1 = 0.667
BAL … 2 - 1 = 0.667
PIT … 0 - 3 = 0.000
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AFC South W L PCT
IND … 3 - 0 = 1.000
TEN … 2 - 1 = 0.667
JAX … 0 - 3 = 0.000
HOU … 0 - 3 = 0.000
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AFC West W L PCT
DEN … 3 - 0 = 1.000
LAC … 3 - 0 = 1.000
KC …. 1 - 2 = 0.333
LV … 1 - 2 = 0.333
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NFC East W L PCT
PHI … 3 - 0 = 1.000
DAL … 2 - 1 = 0.667
WSH … 1 - 2 = 0.333
NYG … 1 - 2 = 0.333
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NFC North W L PCT
MIN … 2 - 1 = 0.667
GB …. 1 - 2 = 0.333
CHI … 1 - 2 = 0.333
DET … 1 - 2 = 0.333
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NFC South W L PCT
TB …. 3 - 0 = 1.000
NO …. 2 - 1 = 0.667
ATL … 1 - 2 = 0.333
CAR … 0 - 3 = 0.000
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NFC West W L PCT
LAR … 2 - 1 = 0.667
SF …. 2 - 1 = 0.667
ARI … 0 - 3 = 0.000
SEA … 0 - 3 = 0.000
