2022 Xavier Cromartie Faux/Computer Simulated Season 1.0 (Weeks 1-3)
INTRO:
(Same intro everyday) Four analysts are running their own early models of the 2022 NFL season, as we know it today – looking at the current teams/rosters/starters/depth mixed with the schedule layout.
We will release the simulation results and short commentaries three weeks at a time (Weeks 1-3, 4-6, etc.) by each analyst daily -- and then each analyst will simulate their playoffs all the way up to crowning their early Super Bowl champ. This is pre-work looking for/searching and sharing possible great Over/Under win total bets ahead of the crowd.
The analysts have not seen each other’s simulations…they’ll be seeing them for the first time as the report’s release daily for the next 12 days.
Your 2022 Faux 1.0 Analyst Lineup:
Ross Jacobs, FFM analyst (every 8am ET for the entire series)
Xavier Cromartie, long-time contributor/NFL Draft guru (every noonET)
Chris Bilello, Bet the Close Podcast (every 4pmET)
RC Fischer, FFM analyst (every 8pmET)
Hope you enjoy this two-week daily series…it’s all the analyst’s favorite project – one that totally consumes them and drives them mad working on it all, trying to predict the unpredictable…then a major injury will hit in July and/or August and blow all the theories and models all up. But for now, here’s what the analysts are seeing…
Xavier’s Notes:
Weeks 1-3
It's difficult to draw any conclusions after only three games. But let's look at the teams that won or lost every game…
-- 0-3 teams are ATL, CAR, HOU, JAX, and PIT. The only surprising team is PIT. Who did they play? @CIN, NE, @CLE. Those are three tough games, and so they might still be a decent team.
In fact, CIN and CLE are two of the three teams that went 3-0, along with LAC. Deshaun Watson is not suspended for CLE.
-- Is LAC legitimate? LV, @KC, JAX. The win @KC is impressive, but LAC had a 48% chance of winning the game, and they just happened to win it. And so we shouldn't judge LAC based on one coin flip game.
AFC East W L PCT
NE …. 2 - 1 = 0.667
MIA … 2 - 1 = 0.667
BUF … 1 - 2 = 0.333
NYJ … 1 - 2 = 0.333
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AFC North W L PCT
CLE … 3 - 0 = 1.000
CIN … 3 - 0 = 1.000
BAL … 1 - 2 = 0.333
PIT … 0 - 3 = 0.000
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AFC South W L PCT
IND … 2 - 1 = 0.667
TEN … 2 - 1 = 0.667
JAX … 0 - 3 = 0.000
HOU … 0 - 3 = 0.000
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AFC West W L PCT
LAC … 3 - 0 = 1.000
KC …. 2 - 1 = 0.667
DEN … 2 - 1 = 0.667
LV … 1 - 2 = 0.333
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NFC East W L PCT
WSH … 2 - 1 = 0.667
NYG … 2 - 1 = 0.667
PHI … 2 - 1 = 0.667
DAL … 1 - 2 = 0.333
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NFC North W L PCT
GB …. 2 - 1 = 0.667
MIN … 1 - 2 = 0.333
CHI … 1 - 2 = 0.333
DET … 1 - 2 = 0.333
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NFC South W L PCT
NO …. 2 - 1 = 0.667
TB …. 2 - 1 = 0.667
CAR … 0 - 3 = 0.000
ATL … 0 - 3 = 0.000
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NFC West W L PCT
LAR … 2 - 1 = 0.667
SF …. 2 - 1 = 0.667
SEA … 2 - 1 = 0.667
ARI … 1 - 2 = 0.333
