2022 Ross Jacobs Faux/Computer Simulated Season 1.0 (Weeks 1-3)

 

INTRO:

(Same intro everyday) Four analysts are running their own early models of the 2022 NFL season, as we know it today – looking at the current teams/rosters/starters/depth mixed with the schedule layout.

We will release the simulation results and short commentaries three weeks at a time (Weeks 1-3, 4-6, etc.) by each analyst daily -- and then each analyst will simulate their playoffs all the way up to crowning their early Super Bowl champ. This is pre-work looking for/searching and sharing possible great Over/Under win total bets ahead of the crowd.

The analysts have not seen each other’s simulations…they’ll be seeing them for the first time as the report’s release daily for the next 12 days.

 

Your 2022 Faux 1.0 Analyst Lineup:

Ross Jacobs, FFM analyst (every 8am ET for the entire series)

Xavier Cromartie, long-time contributor/NFL Draft guru (every noonET)

Chris Bilello, Bet the Close Podcast (every 4pmET)

RC Fischer, FFM analyst (every 8pmET)

 

Hope you enjoy this two-week daily series…it’s all the analyst’s favorite project – one that totally consumes them and drives them mad working on it all, trying to predict the unpredictable…then a major injury will hit in July and/or August and blow all the theories and models all up. But for now, here’s what the analysts are seeing…

 

 

Ross’s Notes:

 

--Four 3-0 teams to start, none of them all that surprising…

The Broncos with their newly acquired star QB, the defending champ Rams, and the now healthy Ravens all start 3-0

The Saints are the mild surprise of the group. They have two cupcake games against the Panthers and Falcons and get a nice win over the Bucs, a team they just seem to beat no matter what.

 

--There are five 0-3 teams and it's exactly who you would expect…

The Jaguars, Falcons, Giants, Texans, and Deshaun Watson-less Browns.

Which of these teams will be able to pick themselves off the trash heap?

 

--Other notes of interest:

The Lions are feeling good at 2-1, tied for the NFC North lead with the Packers

Unsurprisingly the entire AFC West is 2-1 or better. They may only lose to each other this year

The Panthers start 2-1 with wins over the Giants and Browns sans Watson. This likely won't last

 

 

AFC East W L PCT

BUF … 2 - 1 = 0.667

NE …. 1 - 2 = 0.333

NYJ … 1 - 2 = 0.333

MIA … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

AFC North W L PCT

BAL … 3 - 0 = 1.000

PIT … 2 - 1 = 0.667

CIN … 2 - 1 = 0.667

CLE … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===============

AFC South W L PCT

IND … 2 - 1 = 0.667

TEN … 1 - 2 = 0.333

JAX … 0 - 3 = 0.000

HOU … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===============

AFC West W L PCT

DEN … 3 - 0 = 1.000

KC …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

LV … 2 - 1 = 0.667

LAC … 2 - 1 = 0.667

===============

NFC East W L PCT

PHI … 2 - 1 = 0.667

WSH … 1 - 2 = 0.333

DAL … 1 - 2 = 0.333

NYG … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===============

NFC North W L PCT

GB …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

DET … 2 - 1 = 0.667

MIN … 1 - 2 = 0.333

CHI … 1 - 2 = 0.333

===============

NFC South W L PCT

NO …. 3 - 0 = 1.000

TB …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

CAR … 2 - 1 = 0.667

ATL … 0 - 3 = 0.000

===============

NFC West W L PCT

LAR … 3 - 0 = 1.000

SF …. 2 - 1 = 0.667

ARI … 1 - 2 = 0.333

SEA … 1 - 2 = 0.333