(same intro everyday) Using the rosters as they are as of mid-June (version 2.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the new NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.
This will be a series -- three weeks of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
Weeks 13-15 Notes...
-- Best record, so far, in Faux 2.0: There’s a new team joining the top record group...the Chargers have won 7-in-a-row to get to (11-3). They join the two teams that have been on here, the Texans (11-3) and the Rams at (11-3).
-- The worst record through Week 15 in Faux 2.0: The Browns (2-12) have lost nine of their last 10 and are back to being the worst team in the league.
-- The most surprising positive surprise story so far in Faux 2.0: The Saints (7-7) continue to lead the NFC South but are now tied with the Bucs (7-7).
Another surprise this session: The Bengals (10-4) have won seven of their last 8 and have clinched the AFC North already.
-- The most surprising positive disappointment story so far in Faux 2.0: The Chiefs (5-9) are tied for last place in the AFC West with the Raiders (5-9).
Also, the Ravens and Steelers are both a flop to (6-8) and Cincy already won the division with 3 games to go.
Tomorrow brings the final regular season standings and then the playoff brackets are set...and THEN this daily series goes private because it will have some betting information and thoughts to consider on how the Faux 2.0 (and 1.0) have finished...the trends/what this series is saying to me, as a bettor.
AFC East
Team W-L PCT
BUF 8-6 0.571
NE 8-6 0.571
MIA 3-11 0.214
NYJ 3-11 0.214
AFC North
Team W-L PCT
CIN 10-4 0.714
BAL 6-8 0.429
PIT 6-8 0.429
CLE 2-12 0.143
AFC South
Team W-L PCT
HOU 11-3 0.786
JAX 7-7 0.500
IND 6-8 0.429
TEN 5-9 0.357
AFC West
Team W-L PCT
LAC 11-3 0.786
DEN 9-5 0.643
KC 5-9 0.357
LV 5-9 0.357
NFC East
Team W-L PCT
PHI 9-5 0.643
NYG 8-6 0.571
WSH 6-8 0.429
DAL 6-8 0.429
NFC North
Team W-L PCT
CHI 10-4 0.714
GB 9-5 0.643
DET 8-6 0.571
MIN 6-8 0.429
NFC South
Team W-L PCT
TB 7-7 0.500
NO 7-7 0.500
ATL 6-8 0.429
CAR 6-8 0.429
NFC West
Team W-L PCT
LAR 11-3 0.786
SF 9-5 0.643
SEA 8-6 0.571
ARI 3-11 0.214
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