(same intro everyday) Using the rosters as they are as of mid-June (version 2.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the new NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.
This will be a series -- three weeks of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
Weeks 10-12 Notes...
-- Best record, so far, in Faux 2.0: The Bears (8-3) fall off the list for the first time this Faux...and the Texans (9-2) are back in and they join the Rams at (9-2).
-- The worst record through Week 12 in Faux 2.0: The Jets (2-10) replace Cleveland (2-9) for the worst team in the league.
-- The most surprising positive surprise story so far in Faux 2.0: The Saints (6-5) continue to lead the NFC South but are now tied with the Bucs (6-5).
Another surprise this session: The Bills (7-4) win 3-in-a-row to take the AFC East lead over the Patriots (6-5).
-- The most surprising positive disappointment story so far in Faux 2.0: The Chiefs (4-7) continue to be stuck in last place in the AFC West, and the Raiders (5-7) keep holding on to 3rd place AND have playoff hopes at this point.
AFC East
Team W-L PCT
BUF 7-4 0.636
NE 6-5 0.545
MIA 3-8 0.273
NYJ 2-10 0.167
AFC North
Team W-L PCT
CIN 7-4 0.636
PIT 5-6 0.455
BAL 5-7 0.417
CLE 2-9 0.182
AFC South
Team W-L PCT
HOU 9-2 0.818
JAX 6-5 0.545
IND 6-6 0.500
TEN 3-8 0.273
AFC West
Team W-L PCT
LAC 8-3 0.727
DEN 6-5 0.545
LV 5-7 0.417
KC 4-7 0.364
NFC East
Team W-L PCT
PHI 6-5 0.545
NYG 6-5 0.545
DAL 6-6 0.500
WSH 4-7 0.364
NFC North
Team W-L PCT
CHI 8-3 0.727
DET 7-4 0.636
GB 6-5 0.545
MIN 5-6 0.455
NFC South
Team W-L PCT
TB 6-5 0.545
NO 6-5 0.545
CAR 5-6 0.455
ATL 4-7 0.364
NFC West
Team W-L PCT
LAR 9-2 0.818
SF 8-3 0.727
SEA 6-5 0.545
ARI 3-9 0.250
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