Here is Chris's take on the 2025 season, as of May/June. It's a no-Middle Class season for Chris...a heavy upper class and then the NFL dregs in the lower class. You'll see what I mean when you see the final standings.
Each day this week another FFM analyst will have their 2025 season results/projections posted, and then at the end will do a consolidated report to show all the differences/similarities, etc.
Enjoy...
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
PCT
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
BUF
|
14
|
3
|
0.824
|
|
NE
|
9
|
8
|
0.529
|
|
NYJ
|
3
|
14
|
0.176
|
|
MIA
|
2
|
15
|
0.118
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
PCT
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
BAL
|
15
|
2
|
0.882
|
|
PIT
|
9
|
8
|
0.529
|
|
CIN
|
7
|
10
|
0.412
|
|
CLE
|
1
|
16
|
0.059
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
PCT
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
HOU
|
10
|
7
|
0.588
|
|
JAX
|
9
|
8
|
0.529
|
|
IND
|
7
|
10
|
0.412
|
|
TEN
|
2
|
15
|
0.118
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
PCT
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
LAC
|
14
|
3
|
0.824
|
|
DEN
|
13
|
4
|
0.765
|
|
KC
|
12
|
5
|
0.706
|
|
LV
|
9
|
8
|
0.529
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
PCT
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
PHI
|
11
|
6
|
0.647
|
|
WSH
|
10
|
7
|
0.588
|
|
DAL
|
4
|
13
|
0.235
|
|
NYG
|
2
|
15
|
0.118
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
PCT
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
DET
|
13
|
4
|
0.765
|
|
GB
|
12
|
5
|
0.706
|
|
MIN
|
12
|
5
|
0.706
|
|
CHI
|
5
|
12
|
0.294
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
PCT
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
TB
|
12
|
5
|
0.706
|
|
CAR
|
10
|
7
|
0.588
|
|
ATL
|
5
|
12
|
0.294
|
|
NO
|
2
|
15
|
0.118
|
|
Team
|
W
|
L
|
PCT
|
|---|---|---|---|
|
LAR
|
13
|
4
|
0.765
|
|
SF
|
11
|
6
|
0.647
|
|
ARI
|
11
|
6
|
0.647
|
|
SEA
|
3
|
14
|
0.176
|
The challenge for me with the game-by-game format is I feel like I’m expressing the same opinion I have on these teams over and over each week and wind up with records that are at the extremes. It’s hard to consider things like tough scheduling spots and let down spots for all teams at all times. Just consider I didn’t try to correct for that. I only looked at the team’s records in Week 18 to see who might be resting for the playoffs. So, while I predicted each game, I’m NOT double checking to see if the regular season simulation records feels like a sensible prediction. FYI.
AFC - At a glance before the playoffs start I think Baltimore’s schedule will likely result in Buffalo having the #1 seed. The AFC West has such a tailwind with easy schedules, but I don’t think it will carry 3 teams to 12+ wins! In general, I like the team here except for the fact that there is on average 50% turnover in playoff teams year to year and I don’t have much.
AFC
1 - Baltimore 15-2
2 - Buffalo 14-3
3 - LA Chargers 14-3
4 - Houston 10-7
5 - Denver 13-4
6 - Kansas City 12-5
7 - Jacksonville 9-8
Las Vegas, New England, Pittsburgh also 9-8
Super Wild Card Weekend
Jacksonville @ Buffalo (-7) - closer than you might think, the Jaguars give the Bills all they can handle but the Bills pulling it out in the end on a Josh Allen tush push as 9 of the league owners shake their heads. BUF 24-20.
Kansas City (-1.5) @ LA Chargers - 60% of the crowd leaves happy as the Chiefs remind their division rivals that this is the playoffs. KC 31-16.
Denver @ Houston (-1) - The Broncos bring a defense that is very strong and an offense with several guys Sean Payton refers to as jokers, but the Texans has been waiting a year to get that “almost beat the Chiefs in the playoffs” taste out of their mouths. I’ll take the under. HOU 12-7
Divisional Round
Kansas City @ Baltimore (-1) - I want KC out of these playoffs but they just keep drawing favorable matchups. The only thing worse than the Ravens in the playoffs is the Ravens in the playoffs with an upset probability increasing bye week. KC 28-17.
Houston @ Buffalo (-6) - Not closer than you might think, the Bills back to back AFC South opponent their way to the AFC Championship Game.
AFC Championship
Kansas City @ Buffalo - As usual, the Bills do all of the things you need to do to lose to KC by a field goal, but this time it’s wide right. The Bills capitalize and finally get their SuperBowl appearance.
-----------------------------
NFC - At a glance, like the AFC, I think there is not enough turnover from last year’s playoffs. TB record surprises me (I went back through their week by week schedule and found 7 games they could easily lose 🤷🏻♂️). Minnesota number seems awfully high (and I did most of this work before JJM’s glowing reviews from OTAs).
NFC
1 - LA Rams 13-4
2 - Detroit 13-4
3 - Tampa Bay 13-5
4 - Philadelphia 11-6
5 - Green Bay 12-5
6 - Minnesota 12-5
7 - San Francisco 11-6
Super Wild Card Weekend
San Francisco @ Detroit (-5) - The 49ers rode a nice schedule to the playoffs and their reward is the best team in the league. DET 49-6.
Minnesota @ Tampa Bay (-2.5) - Not easy to go on the road in the playoffs, good thing JJM isn’t a rookie. MIN 20-17.
Green Bay @ Philadelphia (-4) - Eagles start their title defense with another win over the Packers but this time J.Love stays healthy. PHI 27-13.
Divisional Round
Minnesota @ LA Rams (-2.5) - Harbaugh in attendance is a boost from JJM but the Rams defense does just enough in an instant classic. LAR 31-30
Philadelphia @ Detroit (-2.5) - The Lions remind everyone that they were the best team in the NFC before their entire defense went on IR last year. DET 31-21.
NFC Championship
LA Rams @ Detroit (-3.5) - Defenses are going to be tired that game after playing JJM. DET 32-20.
Super Bowl in New Orleans
Buffalo vs Detroit
I have no idea, I just hope this happens. What a thrilling SuperBowl Sunday if we get this matchup. I’ll take the over 57.5 and since we can’t count on either of these coaches, I’ll go with the best player on the field (J.Allen) to give Buffalo the victory. BUF 52-49.
