Using the rosters as they are as of mid-May (version 1.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the new NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.
This will be a series -- three weeks of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
Playoffs (Super Bowl/Faux)
As we do, for the finale...a box score reveal, for fun, to show the winner...
Super Faux 1.0: #1 Bills v. #1 Lions
(7-0 DET) 1Q: St. Brown 7-yard TD pass from Goff (XP good)
(7-3 DET) 1Q: Bass 41-yard FG
(14-3 DET) 2Q: Montgomery 2-yard run (XP good)
(14-10 DET) 2Q: Allen 3-yard TD run (XP good)
*HALFTIME*
(17-10 DET) 3Q: Bates 55-yard FG
(20-10 DET) 3Q: Bates 49-yard FG
(20-17 DET) 3Q: C. Samuel 33-yard TD pass from Allen (XP good)
(23-17 DET) 4Q: Bates 52-yard FG
(30-17 DET) 4Q: Branch 44-yard INT return TD (XP good)
Detroit wins the Faux 1.0 title.
Game MVP: DB Brian Branch
Next Faux (2.0) will likely be in July. The final Faux season will run right before the season begins, in September/after the 53-man rosters are settled.
