Using the rosters as they are as of mid-May (version 1.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the new NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.

This will be a series -- three weeks of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.

In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.

 

Notes from Weeks 13-15...

 -- The tie for best record in the Faux 1.0 has finally been broken, there is one team on top of the mountain: Buffalo is (12-2)...having NE-MIA-NYJ in the same division is a big help! Also the NFC South and AFC North aren’t bad rotational divisions on the schedule to face.

 -- And, we have a lone ‘worst team’ in Faux 1.0...the leader for the #1 pick in the draft = the New Orleans Saints are (1-13).

 -- The Bills (12-2) have opened up a 4-game lead in the AFC East on the Patriots (8-6) and are most certainly going to win this division. They are shooting for a #1 seed, which is HUGE if the road to the Super Bowl in the AFC has to go through AT Buffalo in January/February.

 -- The Ravens (10-4) have also opened up a big division lead...3 games over (7-7) Cincy, who would be once again on the outside looking in as the last team out of the current wild card...the last team in is New England, right now.

 -- The Texans (8-6) are starting to push away from the .500 mark and from the rest of the AFC South. They lead JAX (6-8) by 2 games. Indy (4-10) is on a 4-game losing streak and faded away from any division hope.

 -- Well, well, well...KC (8-5) won all three games this go-round, now winners of 4 in-a-row, as the schedule has finally loosened a bit. Probably too late to catch AFC West leader LAC (11-3) but Denver (9-5) is in KC’s sights in the wild card. KC is now a wild card team through Week 15.

 -- The Eagles (11-3) are about to put away the NFC East again...two games ahead of the Commanders (9-5).

 -- The Lions (10-4) have all but won the NFC North...leading MIN and GB (7-7) by 3 games going into the last 3 games of the season. MIN and GB are in a 4-way tie for the final wild card spot...tied with two NFC West teams.

 -- The Buccaneers (10-4) are trying to get away from the Falcons (8-6) for another NFC South title.

 -- The Rams (11-3) are the first team to clinch their division...the Cardinals (7-7) sweet schedule has turned them into wild card hopefuls with Seattle (7-7). The 49ers (6-8) still have some outside wild card hope if they can win out and get help.

 -- Tomorrow we wrap up the regular season, then it’s off to the playoffs!

 

 

AFC Standings
AFC East
Team
W
L
PCT
BUF
12
2
0.857
NE
8
6
0.571
MIA
6
8
0.429
NYJ
5
9
0.357

AFC North
Team
W
L
PCT
BAL
10
4
0.714
CIN
7
7
0.500
PIT
6
8
0.429
CLE
3
11
0.214

AFC South
Team
W
L
PCT
HOU
8
6
0.571
JAX
6
8
0.429
IND
4
10
0.286
TEN
2
12
0.143

AFC West
Team
W
L
PCT
LAC
11
3
0.786
DEN
9
5
0.643
KC
8
6
0.571
LV
6
8
0.429

NFC Standings
NFC East
Team
W
L
PCT
PHI
11
3
0.786
WSH
9
5
0.643
DAL
6
8
0.429
NYG
3
11
0.214

NFC North
Team
W
L
PCT
DET
10
4
0.714
GB
7
7
0.500
MIN
7
7
0.500
CHI
5
9
0.357

NFC South
Team
W
L
PCT
TB
10
4
0.714
ATL
8
6
0.571
CAR
5
9
0.357
NO
1
13
0.071

NFC West
Team
W
L
PCT
LAR
11
3
0.786
SEA
7
7
0.500
ARI
7
7
0.500
SF
6
8
0.429