Commanders at Eagles (-6.0)
This game may go with as healthy as Hurts’ knee is or isn’t. Yes, he’s been cleared/practicing in full...but he’ll be wearing a knee brace and it’s possible his injury can be played through -- but slows the athlete down, has them favor the knee on throws...and possible accuracy issues could ensue + a lack of his running + they may shy away from doing any ‘tush pushes’. It could be the difference in the game...and not a-one of us, probably not even Hurts, knows how his knee will affect him (or not) Sunday.
I think you have to straight up pick/favor the home team with a big-time defense, that has Quinyon Mitchell back practicing in full. Washington missing Sam Cosmi off the O-Line is a killer thing for the Commanders to pull this upset off...No Daron Payne is also a hit.
Washington has one hope...they play so outside the box as Philly plays straight up to grind out the win, that they catch Philly like they did Detroit...AND it would help them if Hurts is really restricted.
FFM Computer Models say: Eagles win 59% of the simulations.
Bills at Chiefs (-1.5)
Who knows with this game.
It makes a ton of sense to go with the Chiefs...at home...history on their side/history against Buffalo. But I got this nagging feeling this Bills team is different (not Diggs dependent in the passing game)...and I feel the Chiefs are overrated, but it’s when I think that...that KC goes on and wins the Super Bowl.
I will say this...if Christian Benford can’t play, I can’t in good conscious go with Buffalo.
I’m just gonna sit back and try to enjoy this one.
FFM Computer Models say: Chiefs win 53% of the simulations.
