PIT (-3.0) at BAL
This game has to be a Steelers conservative game thinking they should beat the Ravens ‘B team’ if they don’t make mistakes. I expect to see a heavy run game, especially in the constant rain expected. Tyler Huntley is ‘meh’...and the Ravens will likely counter with Melvin Gordon, and I’m not afraid of that.
I expect this to be a dull, sloppy (rain) low scoring game favoring the heavy run game which means Najee gets a lot of touches and will likely be the FF MVP of this game.
George Pickens in the rain with Mason Rudolph...hard to predict.
Outside of Nelson Agholor playing for a reachable contract incentive...I’m not sure what Ravens will have any value in this game – the backups vs. everything the Steelers got.
*Prop betting ideas will post in the handicapping note page today
HOU (-1.5) at IND
I’m not betting on this game...it’s too close to call. I think Houston has the edge with Stroud AND a top run D to counter Indy’s desire to be led by Jon Taylor – the on-paper matchup favors Houston if they make this into a Minshew v. Stroud game. But Minshew is tricky, so I’m not betting real money on him or against him.
I think this will be a Stroud-led victory with a lot of Nico Collins and some Devin Singletary facing a lot of Minshew-Pittman.
*Prop betting ideas will post in the handicapping note page today
For FF, I think the top performers will be (this day):
QB = Stroud
RB = Najee
WR = Nico
TE = Schultz
DST = Steelers
PK = Gay/Fairbairn
Today’s long shots for shock performances:
QB = Minshew
RB = Justice Hill (if he even plays)
WR = Robert Woods (if active)
TE = Will Mallory for an anytime TD
DST = Ravens
PK = Tucker...although, the Ravens should sit him out completely.
