Using the rosters as they are as of July 1st, obviously everyone is healthy, and running our data to the NFL schedule and seeing ‘what happens’ and then taking that right through the playoffs.
This will be a series -- three weeks of results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
When the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all this in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially ‘unders’ -- if a team’s projected win total isn’t close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
#2 seed Seahawks (13-6) at #1 seed Eagles (13-5)
The Eagles win 63% of the simulations.
Bad matchup for the upstart Seahawks. Seattle is led by its ace pass defense with its great corner play of Woolen-Witherspoon-Jackson, but Philly will attack them on the ground with Hurts-Penny-Swift and pull the victory out…as Rachaad Penny rushes for 150+ yards and 2 TDs to lead the way as a poetic justice moment for 2023.
