Using the rosters as they are as of July 1st, obviously everyone is healthy, and running our data to the NFL schedule and seeing 'what happens' and then taking that right through the playoffs.
This will be a series -- three weeks of results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
When the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all this in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
-- After leading the league in wins/win% most of the season, Kansas City (13-4) ends up tied with CIN and MIA for the best record in the league/AFC #1 seed. See who got that #1 seed from tiebreakers tomorrow when the wild card round of the playoffs begins.
-- The Eagles (13-4) take the top seed in the NFC.
-- Arizona (2-15) gets the #1 pick in the draft…they also own Houston's 1st-round pick which projects to be #7 overall in our faux season.
-- Miami (13-4) takes down Buffalo (11-6) for the AFC East crown…the Bills first time off the top spot in a couple years.
-- Tennessee (8-9) wins the tiebreaker in a three-way tie for the AFC South with Indy and Jacksonville.
-- Detroit (9-8) ties Minnesota for the NFC South but wins the tiebreaker to move on to the playoffs.
-- The Atlanta Falcons (9-8) pull it off…AFC South champs…winning their Week 18 do-or-die showdown game with the Saints (8-9).
-- Seattle (11-6) wins the NFC West tiebreaker with the 49ers…and Seattle takes the #2 seed in the NFC.
-- The final AFC playoff spots went to the Chargers and Cleveland…one game ahead of NYJ, BAL, PIT.
-- NFC wild card…Dallas, NYG, and SF get in. The Giants finished ahead of Dallas for seeding.
-- Coaches projected to be fired after this 'Faux' season…
Josh McDaniel, Ron Rivera, Todd Bowles (and Arians).
On the bubble, depending upon playoffs: Mike McCarthy, Brandon Staley
Bill Belichick may retire after a last place finish.
AFC East W L PCT
MIA … 13 - 4 = 0.765
BUF … 11 - 6 = 0.647
NYJ … 9 - 8 = 0.529
NE …. 8 - 9 = 0.471
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AFC North W L PCT
CIN … 13 - 4 = 0.765
CLE … 10 - 7 = 0.588
BAL … 9 - 8 = 0.529
PIT … 9 - 8 = 0.529
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AFC South W L PCT
TEN … 8 - 9 = 0.471
JAX … 8 - 9 = 0.471
IND … 8 - 9 = 0.471
HOU … 6 - 11 = 0.353
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AFC West W L PCT
KC …. 13 - 4 = 0.765
LAC … 10 - 7 = 0.588
DEN … 6 - 11 = 0.353
LV … 4 - 13 = 0.235
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NFC East W L PCT
PHI … 12 - 5 = 0.706
NYG … 10 - 7 = 0.588
DAL … 10 - 7 = 0.588
WAS … 6 - 11 = 0.353
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NFC North W L PCT
DET … 9 - 8 = 0.529
MIN … 9 - 8 = 0.529
GB …. 7 - 10 = 0.412
CHI … 7 - 10 = 0.412
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NFC South W L PCT
ATL … 9 - 8 = 0.529
NO …. 8 - 9 = 0.471
TB …. 6 - 11 = 0.353
CAR … 5 - 12 = 0.294
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NFC West W L PCT
SEA … 11 - 6 = 0.647
SF …. 11 - 6 = 0.647
LAR … 5 - 12 = 0.294
ARI … 2 - 15 = 0.118
