Using the rosters as they are as of July 1st, obviously everyone is healthy, and running our data to the NFL schedule and seeing 'what happens' and then taking that right through the playoffs.
This will be a series -- three weeks of results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
When the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all this in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
-- The Chiefs (12-2) continue to set the pace in the NFL…the best record in the faux season, so far…but Miami (11-3) and Cincy (11-3) have gotten to within a game of them for the AFC #1 seed.
-- The Eagles (10-4) are the NFC #1 seed leaders, a game ahead of fast-approaching Dallas (9-5) and San Fran (9-5).
-- Arizona (2-12) leads the way for the #1 draft pick, followed by Carolina (3-11).
-- Miami (11-3) continues to be a step ahead of Buffalo (10-4) for the AFC East lead…while the Jets are still in last but have climbed to (7-7).
-- The Titans (8-6) have pulled ahead of the AFC South pack by 2 games.
-- The Saints (8-6) have jumped Atlanta (7-7) for the NFC West lead.
AFC East W L PCT
MIA … 11 - 3 = 0.786
BUF … 10 - 4 = 0.714
NE …. 8 - 6 = 0.571
NYJ … 7 - 7 = 0.500
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AFC North W L PCT
CIN … 11 - 3 = 0.786
CLE … 9 - 5 = 0.643
BAL … 8 - 6 = 0.571
PIT … 7 - 7 = 0.500
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AFC South W L PCT
TEN … 8 - 6 = 0.571
IND … 6 - 8 = 0.429
JAX … 6 - 8 = 0.429
HOU … 4 - 10 = 0.286
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AFC West W L PCT
KC …. 12 - 2 = 0.857
LAC … 8 - 6 = 0.571
DEN … 4 - 10 = 0.286
LV … 3 - 11 = 0.214
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NFC East W L PCT
PHI … 10 - 4 = 0.714
DAL … 9 - 5 = 0.643
NYG … 8 - 6 = 0.571
WAS … 4 - 10 = 0.286
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NFC North W L PCT
DET … 8 - 6 = 0.571
MIN … 7 - 7 = 0.500
GB …. 6 - 8 = 0.429
CHI … 5 - 9 = 0.357
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NFC South W L PCT
NO …. 8 - 6 = 0.571
ATL … 7 - 7 = 0.500
TB …. 4 - 10 = 0.286
CAR … 3 - 11 = 0.214
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NFC West W L PCT
SF …. 9 - 5 = 0.643
SEA … 8 - 6 = 0.571
LAR … 4 - 10 = 0.286
ARI … 2 - 12 = 0.143
