Using the rosters as they are as of July 1st, obviously everyone is healthy, and running our data to the NFL schedule and seeing 'what happens' and then taking that right through the playoffs.
This will be a series -- three weeks of results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
When the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all this in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
-- KC (10-1) continues to have the league's best record. Arizona (2-10) continues to have the league's worst record.
-- Miami (8-3) is holding a half-game lead over Buffalo (8-4) in the AFC East, while the Jets are still disappointing, in last place.
--Tennessee (6-5) still holds the AFC South lead with (kinda) surprising Indianapolis (5-6) just a game behind, as is the defending division winners Jacksonville (5-6).
-- Dallas (7-4) wins their last three games to get within 2 games of Philly (9-2).
-- The Lions (6-5) move ahead of the Packers (5-6), who they were tied with last report) to lead the NFC North.
-- Atlanta (6-5) moves ahead of the Saints (5-6) for the NFC South lead.
-- The 49ers (7-4) and Seahawks (7-4) are tied for the NFC West lead.
AFC East W L PCT
MIA … 8 - 3 = 0.727
BUF … 8 - 4 = 0.667
NE …. 6 - 5 = 0.545
NYJ … 5 - 6 = 0.455
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AFC North W L PCT
CIN … 8 - 3 = 0.727
BAL … 7 - 5 = 0.583
CLE … 6 - 5 = 0.545
PIT … 6 - 5 = 0.545
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AFC South W L PCT
TEN … 6 - 5 = 0.545
IND … 5 - 6 = 0.455
JAX … 5 - 6 = 0.455
HOU … 3 - 8 = 0.273
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AFC West W L PCT
KC …. 10 - 1 = 0.909
LAC … 6 - 5 = 0.545
DEN … 4 - 7 = 0.364
LV … 3 - 9 = 0.250
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NFC East W L PCT
PHI … 9 - 2 = 0.818
DAL … 7 - 4 = 0.636
NYG … 7 - 5 = 0.583
WAS … 4 - 8 = 0.333
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NFC North W L PCT
DET … 6 - 5 = 0.545
MIN …. 6 - 6 = 0.500
GB … 5 - 6 = 0.455
CHI … 5 - 7 = 0.417
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NFC South W L PCT
ATL … 6 - 5 = 0.545
NO …. 5 - 6 = 0.455
TB …. 3 - 8 = 0.273
CAR … 2 - 9 = 0.182
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NFC West W L PCT
SF … 7 - 4 = 0.636
SEA …. 7 - 4 = 0.636
LAR … 3 - 8 = 0.273
ARI … 2 - 10 = 0.167
