2022 Week 10 NFL Handicapping: All Picks ATS and Survivor Pool Pick
Last week, not my best week…after a hot run the past several weeks…lost my best bet (IND) in embarrassing fashion, so I had the coach fired. Went (2-3) in the Blazing Five. Did go (7-6) overall ATS but that’s not great. You’re gonna have one of these weeks when you’re as hot as we’ve been.
Moving on to Week 10…that I feel REALLY good about…best I’ve felt about a week in a while, top-to-bottom. And more of my picks are the opposite of the other experts than any other week this season, so this will be quite a test. Midseason, I feel like I’ve got a very good handle/feel for teams -- so, let’s put that to the test!!
Week 9 results…
FFM All picks straight up: 10-3
FFM ATS: 7-6
FFM Best Bet: 0-1
FFM Blazing Five (no TNF): 2-3
FFM Calling a dog for an outright win: 2-1
Chris ATS: 6-7
Ross ATS: 5-8
Chris Best Bet: 0-1
Ross Best Bet: 1-0
When All 3 analysts agree: 2-2
When both analysts disagree with my pick: 4-2, for me
FFM Survivor: MIA (W)
Chris Survivor: BUF (L)
Ross Survivor: TB (W)
All Underdogs ATS = 9-4
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YTD results…
All picks straight up: 98-47-1
ATS: 75-57-4 (56.8%)
Best Bet: 6-3
Blazing Five (no TNF): 29-14-2 (67%)
Calling a dog for an outright win: 9-6
Chris ATS: 88-44-4 (maybe you should listen to the expert! That record is INSANE!!!!)
Ross ATS: 64-68-4
Chris Best Bet: 8-1 (maybe you should listen to the expert!)
Ross Best Bet: 5-4
When All 3 analysts agree: 34-19-1
When both analysts disagree with my pick: 11-12, for me
FFM Survivor: BAL(W), BUF(W), LAC(L), PHI(W), TB(W), CIN(W), KC(W), MIA(W)
Chris Survivor: BAL(W), GB(W), LAC(L), PHI(W), TB(W), LAR(W), CIN(W), DAL(W), BUF(L)
Ross Survivor: DEN(L), XXX, BUF (L), GB(W), PHI(W), SF(L), LV(W), DAL(W), TB(W),
All Underdogs ATS = 72-60-4
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Week 10 Picks….
DEN at TEN (-2.5)
The Computer says: TEN by 7.7 (a 5.2 spread differential)
LOVE this bet. Tennessee is such the superior team here. This could be a 10-15+ point win by the Titans over a sad Denver team.
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: TEN
Ross Jacobs: DEN
NO (-2.5) at PIT *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*
The Computer says: PIT by 2.6 (a 5.1 spread differential)
I have loved this game for 2-3+ weeks now. You’re gonna get the Steelers defense finally healthy and back together again and pushing Jaylen Warren more and at home in the cold…vs. a dome southern team coming north as the inferior team as it is.
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: NO
Ross Jacobs: PIT
SEA v. TB (-3.0) in Germany *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*
The Computer says: SEA by 1.9 (a 4.9 spread differential)
It shouldn’t be too much longer before the public realizes that Seattle has one of the best records in the league and the Bucs suck. Easy play here.
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: TB
Ross Jacobs: TB
LAC at SF (-7.0)
The Computer says: SF by 10.8 (a 3.8 spread differential)
Love this bet because I think the Chargers are the worst winning record team in the league, and that’s holding the line down some. The Chargers are much worse than people realize and SF is probably going to be so much better than we all already think they are. Coming off an extra week of prep and LAC without Allen-Williams likely, love this bet!!!
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: SF
Ross Jacobs: SF *BEST BET*
ATL (-3.0) at CAR
The Computer says: ATL by 6.3 (a 3.3 spread differential)
What I saw from Carolina last week was the worst football of 2022. They’re a dead team…playing a team with life in Atlanta.
Rain and wind, perfect for the ATL run-heavy offense. I’ll take the Falcons to go ‘will’ their way to a big win against the dying Panthers.
*FFM SURVIVOR PICK*
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: CAR
Ross Jacobs: CAR
DET at CHI (-3.0) *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*
The Computer says: DET by 0.1 (a 3.1 spread differential)
The Lions should have a .500 or better record right now, which would have changed this line drastically if it were true. Detroit is playing better each week for the last few weeks and been solid all season -- they are the better team going into this game.
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: DET
Ross Jacobs: DET
MIN at BUF (-3.5)
The Computer says: BUF by 0.8 (a 2.7 spread differential)
I’m pre-banking on Josh Allen not playing, throwing this game into a toss-up…so I’m taking the early points with Minny.
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: MIN
Ross Jacobs: MIN
IND at LV (-5.5)
The Computer says: LV by 3.1 (a 2.4 spread differential)
I love taking teams with coaching or O-C changes, and I get both here. The opponents have no ‘book’ on what the Colts are going to do this week and that will help Indy possibly get a full upset here.
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: LV
Ross Jacobs: LV
WSH at PHI (-10.5)
The Computer says: PHI by 8.3 (a 2.2 spread differential)
Washington is too ‘OK’ to give 10.5 points to. Philly had some difficulty with Houston last week. The Eagles beat the Commanders by 16 in Week 3…but Washington played them tough/fearless and have gotten to be a much better team in recent weeks. Chase Young may debut. This is a potential upset alert on top of everything else. Philly is definitely better -- but the undefeateds are ‘the hunted’.
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: WSH
Ross Jacobs: WSH
ARI at LAR (-1.5) *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*
The Computer says: ARI by 0.3 (a 1.8 spread differential)
I’m pre-betting Matt Stafford will miss this game…I could be wrong, so I’ll run it with Arizona…who could win regardless of Stafford in/out. But Arizona has a million injuries potentially too. Don’t bet this game either way!
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: LAR
Ross Jacobs: ARI
DAL (-5.0) at GB
The Computer says: DAL by 3.3 (a 1.7 spread differential)
So many people are selling Green Bay, and I get it…but that’s a perfect time to buy. Especially a game at Lambeau in the cold with a southern dome team coming north.
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: DAL
Ross Jacobs: GB
JAX at KC (-9.5)
The Computer says: KC by 10.8 (a 1.3 spread differential)
A Florida-based team going to the cold Midwest with a nice home field crowd regardless…take the Chiefs to dismantle the Jags.
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: JAX
Ross Jacobs: KC *SURVIVOR*
CLE at MIA (-3.5)
The Computer says: MIA by 3.8 (a 0.3 spread differential)
My first urge was Cleveland, but the Computer says no way…going to Miami in the fall/winter is not easy and Miami is the far superior team…so, go with the Dolphins.
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: CLE *BEST BET*
Ross Jacobs: CLE
HOU at NYG (-5.5)
The Computer says: NYG by 5.3 (a 0.2 spread differential)
I am coming around on the Giants, but that’s a lot of points…but NYG’s defense is so good, and HOU is so bad…and they’re traveling to the northeast for a cold, possible rain, weather game. I want to go with the better team but I’ll take the healthy amount of points instead with the dog.
Chris ‘Bet The Close’ Podcast: HOU
Ross Jacobs: HOU
