(same intro everyday) Using the rosters as they are as of mid-June (version 2.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the new NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.
This will be a series -- three weeks of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
Weeks 4-6 Notes...
-- The Texans lasted the longest undefeated this go-round...five wins to start the season but then tripped up against Jacksonville in an international affair Week 6. Houston (5-1) and Chicago (5-1).
-- We still have one winless team remaining...the (0-5) Miami Dolphins.
-- The biggest (good) surprise event through these first 6 weeks? The Giants (4-2) lead the NFC East, but the entire division is (3-3) right behind them.
-- The biggest (bad) surprise through these first 6 weeks? Kansas City is (2-3) and in last place behind the surprising (3-3) Raiders.
AFC East
Team W-L PCT
NE 4-2 0.667
BUF 3-3 0.500
NYJ 2-4 0.333
MIA 0-5 0.000
AFC North
Team W-L PCT
CIN 3-2 0.600
BAL 3-3 0.500
PIT 3-3 0.500
CLE 1-5 0.167
AFC South
Team W-L PCT
HOU 5-1 0.833
JAX 4-2 0.667
IND 3-3 0.500
TEN 1-5 0.167
AFC West
Team W-L PCT
LAC 4-2 0.667
DEN 3-3 0.500
LV 3-3 0.500
KC 2-3 0.400
NFC East
Team W-L PCT
NYG 4-2 0.667
PHI 3-3 0.500
WSH 3-3 0.500
DAL 3-3 0.500
NFC North
Team W-L PCT
CHI 5-1 0.833
GB 4-2 0.667
DET 2-3 0.400
MIN 2-3 0.400
NFC South
Team W-L PCT
TB 4-2 0.667
NO 3-3 0.500
CAR 2-3 0.400
ATL 2-4 0.333
NFC West
Team W-L PCT
LAR 4-2 0.667
SF 4-2 0.667
SEA 3-3 0.500
ARI 1-5 0.167
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