Using the rosters as they are as of mid-May (version 1.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the new NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.
This will be a series -- three weeks of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
Notes from the Faux season-to-date...
-- The last of the undefeateds fell...the Bears got to (4-0) before they lost...the only team to get to (4-0).
The best records on the Faux season so far are all (5-1) = IND, LAR, CHI, GB.
-- We have two winless teams...(0-6) ARI and (0-5) MIA.
-- BUF and NE are tied for the AFC East still at (4-2).
-- Cincy (4-2) extends their AFC North lead to 2 games over (2-4) CLE, PIT, BAL.
-- Indy (5-1) leads HOU (4-2) by a game in the AFC South...the Jags (3-3) are starting to get back into it.
-- KC (4-1) takes the AFC West lead over LAC (4-2).
-- NYG (4-2) expands their NFC East lead to 2 games over the rest of the pack at (2-4).
-- CHI and GB are both (5-1) leading the NFC North over DET (4-1).
-- NO and TB (4-2) lead the NFC South.
-- LAR (5-1) takes control of the NFC West despite a tough schedule...a 1-game lead over SF (4-2).
AFC East
Team W-L PCT
BUF 4-2 0.667
NE 4-2 0.667
NYJ 2-4 0.333
MIA 0-5 0.000
AFC North
Team W-L PCT
CIN 4-1 0.800
BAL 2-4 0.333
PIT 2-4 0.333
CLE 2-4 0.333
AFC South
Team W-L PCT
IND 5-1 0.833
HOU 4-2 0.667
JAX 3-3 0.500
TEN 1-5 0.167
AFC West
Team W-L PCT
KC 4-1 0.800
LAC 4-2 0.667
DEN 3-3 0.500
LV 1-5 0.167
NFC East
Team W-L PCT
NYG 4-2 0.667
PHI 2-4 0.333
WSH 2-4 0.333
DAL 2-4 0.333
NFC North
Team W-L PCT
GB 5-1 0.833
CHI 5-1 0.833
DET 4-1 0.800
MIN 1-4 0.200
NFC South
Team W-L PCT
TB 4-2 0.667
NO 4-2 0.667
CAR 2-3 0.400
ATL 1-5 0.167
NFC West
Team W-L PCT
LAR 5-1 0.833
SF 4-2 0.667
SEA 3-3 0.500
ARI 0-6 0.000
