(same intro every day) Using the rosters as they are as of August (version 2.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the new NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.
This will be a series -- three weeks/games of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
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Week 10-12
-- Best record in Faux 2.0 continues to be Baltimore (9-2) and Buffalo (9-2) but now joined by Denver (9-2).
-- The Browns (1-10) overtake the Saints (2-9) for the worst record/Arch Manning sweepstakes, which if this holds...Arch goes another year at Texas instead.
-- The Bills (9-2) are starting to pull away from the AFC East pack...a three-game lead over the Pats (6-6).
-- The Ravens (9-2) go two games up on the Bengals (7-4) in the AFC North.
-- The Texans (7-4) are starting to heat up...and now have a two-game lead in the AFC South on the Colts (5-6).
-- Denver (9-2) breaks the AFC West tie, going a game up on LAC (8-3). KC sits (7-4).
-- A three-way tie in the NFC East between (6-5) Philly, Dallas, and Washington.
-- The Lions (7-4) take back the NFC North lead...a game over GB (6-5) and MIN (6-5).
-- Tampa Bay (5-6) and Atlanta (5-6) stay tied for the NFC South...both under .500. The Wirfs injury hurt Tampa’s start.
-- The Rams (8-3) hold the NFC West by one game over Arizona (7-4).
AFC East | W | L | PCT | |||
BUF | … | 9 | - | 2 | = | 0.818 |
NE | …. | 6 | - | 6 | = | 0.500 |
MIA | … | 4 | - | 7 | = | 0.364 |
NYJ | … | 4 | - | 7 | = | 0.364 |
=============== | ||||||
AFC North | W | L | PCT | |||
BAL | … | 9 | - | 2 | = | 0.818 |
CIN | … | 7 | - | 4 | = | 0.636 |
PIT | … | 6 | - | 5 | = | 0.545 |
CLE | … | 1 | - | 10 | = | 0.091 |
=============== | ||||||
AFC South | W | L | PCT | |||
HOU | … | 7 | - | 4 | = | 0.636 |
IND | … | 5 | - | 6 | = | 0.455 |
JAX | … | 4 | - | 7 | = | 0.364 |
TEN | … | 3 | - | 8 | = | 0.273 |
=============== | ||||||
AFC West | W | L | PCT | |||
DEN | … | 9 | - | 2 | = | 0.818 |
LAC | … | 8 | - | 3 | = | 0.727 |
KC | …. | 7 | - | 4 | = | 0.636 |
LV | … | 5 | - | 6 | = | 0.455 |
=============== | ||||||
NFC East | W | L | PCT | |||
PHI | … | 6 | - | 5 | = | 0.545 |
WSH | … | 6 | - | 5 | = | 0.545 |
DAL | … | 6 | - | 5 | = | 0.545 |
NYG | … | 3 | - | 9 | = | 0.250 |
=============== | ||||||
NFC North | W | L | PCT | |||
DET | … | 7 | - | 4 | = | 0.636 |
GB | … | 6 | - | 5 | = | 0.545 |
MIN | …. | 6 | - | 5 | = | 0.545 |
CHI | … | 4 | - | 7 | = | 0.364 |
=============== | ||||||
NFC South | W | L | PCT | |||
TB | …. | 5 | - | 6 | = | 0.455 |
ATL | … | 5 | - | 6 | = | 0.455 |
CAR | … | 3 | - | 9 | = | 0.250 |
NO | …. | 2 | - | 9 | = | 0.182 |
=============== | ||||||
NFC West | W | L | PCT | |||
LAR | … | 8 | - | 3 | = | 0.727 |
ARI | … | 7 | - | 4 | = | 0.636 |
SEA | …. | 5 | - | 6 | = | 0.455 |
SF | … | 5 | - | 7 | = | 0.417 |