(same intro every day) Using the rosters as they are as of August (version 2.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the new NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.
This will be a series -- three weeks/games of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
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Weeks 7-9
-- Buffalo (7-1) and Baltimore (7-1) have the top records in Faux 2.0, so far.
-- The Saints (1-8) have the ‘Arch Manning sweepstakes’ lead over the Browns (1-7).
-- The Bills lead the AFC East by 2 games over NE (5-4).
-- The Ravens (7-1) are fighting off good seasons by the Bengals (6-3) and Steelers (5-3) for the AFC North lead.
-- Houston (5-4) is just above .500, but that’s good enough for the AFC South lead over Indy (4-5).
-- LAC (7-2) and Denver (7-2) lead the AFC West with KC (6-3) a game behind.
-- Philly (5-3) has a half-game lead for the NFC East over Dallas (5-4).
-- Detroit (6-2) extends its NFC North lead over GB (4-4) and Minnesota (4-4).
-- The Bucs (4-4) are scuffling without Tristan Wirfs, but he’s back and TB has the NFC South lead with Atlanta (4-4).
-- The Rams (6-2) lead the NFC West by a game over Arizona (5-3).
| AFC East | W | L | PCT | |||
| BUF | … | 7 | - | 1 | = | 0.875 |
| NE | …. | 5 | - | 4 | = | 0.556 |
| NYJ | … | 3 | - | 5 | = | 0.375 |
| MIA | … | 3 | - | 6 | = | 0.333 |
| =============== | ||||||
| AFC North | W | L | PCT | |||
| BAL | … | 7 | - | 1 | = | 0.875 |
| CIN | … | 6 | - | 3 | = | 0.667 |
| PIT | … | 5 | - | 3 | = | 0.625 |
| CLE | … | 1 | - | 7 | = | 0.125 |
| =============== | ||||||
| AFC South | W | L | PCT | |||
| HOU | … | 5 | - | 3 | = | 0.625 |
| IND | … | 4 | - | 5 | = | 0.444 |
| JAX | … | 3 | - | 5 | = | 0.375 |
| TEN | … | 2 | - | 7 | = | 0.222 |
| =============== | ||||||
| AFC West | W | L | PCT | |||
| LAC | … | 7 | - | 2 | = | 0.778 |
| DEN | … | 7 | - | 2 | = | 0.778 |
| KC | …. | 6 | - | 3 | = | 0.667 |
| LV | … | 3 | - | 5 | = | 0.375 |
| =============== | ||||||
| NFC East | W | L | PCT | |||
| PHI | … | 5 | - | 3 | = | 0.625 |
| DAL | … | 5 | - | 4 | = | 0.556 |
| WSH | … | 4 | - | 5 | = | 0.444 |
| NYG | … | 2 | - | 7 | = | 0.222 |
| =============== | ||||||
| NFC North | W | L | PCT | |||
| DET | … | 6 | - | 2 | = | 0.750 |
| GB | … | 4 | - | 4 | = | 0.500 |
| MIN | …. | 4 | - | 4 | = | 0.500 |
| CHI | … | 2 | - | 6 | = | 0.250 |
| =============== | ||||||
| NFC South | W | L | PCT | |||
| TB | …. | 4 | - | 4 | = | 0.500 |
| ATL | … | 4 | - | 4 | = | 0.500 |
| CAR | … | 2 | - | 7 | = | 0.222 |
| NO | …. | 1 | - | 8 | = | 0.111 |
| =============== | ||||||
| NFC West | W | L | PCT | |||
| LAR | … | 6 | - | 2 | = | 0.750 |
| ARI | … | 5 | - | 3 | = | 0.625 |
| SEA | …. | 4 | - | 4 | = | 0.500 |
| SF | … | 3 | - | 6 | = | 0.333 |
