(same intro every day) Using the rosters as they are as of August (version 2.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the new NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.

This will be a series -- three weeks/games of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.

In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.

   

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Weeks 4-6

 -- No more undefeated teams, but one winless team...the Browns (0-6).

 -- The Bills (5-1) lead the AFC East by a game over the Patriots (4-2).

 -- The Ravens (5-1) lead the AFC North by 1.5 games over the Steelers (3-2).

 -- The Texans (3-2) hold a half-game lead over the Jags and Colts (3-3).

 -- Denver (5-1) takes the AFC West lead by a game over KC and LAC (4-2)

 -- A three-way tie for the NFC East for the second report in a row...PHI-DAL-WSH are all (3-3).

 -- The Vikings (4-1) take a half-game lead over the Lions (4-2).

 -- The Bucs (3-3) are only .500 but lead the NFC South by a half-game over Atlanta (2-3).  

 -- The Rams (4-2) and Cardinals (4-2) lead the NFC West.

 

AFC East W L PCT
BUF   5  - 1  = 0.833
NE  …. 4  - 2  = 0.667
MIA   3  - 3  = 0.500
NYJ   2  - 4  = 0.333
===============
AFC North W L PCT
BAL   5  - 1  = 0.833
PIT   3  - 2  = 0.600
CIN   3  - 3  = 0.500
CLE   0  - 6  = 0.000
===============
AFC South W L PCT
HOU   3  - 2  = 0.600
JAX   3  - 3  = 0.500
IND   3  - 3  = 0.500
TEN   1  - 5  = 0.167
===============
AFC West W L PCT
DEN   5  - 1  = 0.833
LAC   4  - 2  = 0.667
KC   4  - 2  = 0.667
LV  …. 2  - 4  = 0.333
===============
NFC East W L PCT
PHI   3  - 3  = 0.500
WSH   3  - 3  = 0.500
DAL   3  - 3  = 0.500
NYG   1  - 5  = 0.167
===============
NFC North W L PCT
MIN  …. 4  - 1  = 0.800
DET   4  - 2  = 0.667
GB   3  - 2  = 0.600
CHI   1  - 4  = 0.200
===============
NFC South W L PCT
TB  …. 3  - 3  = 0.500
CAR   2  - 4  = 0.333
ATL  …. 2  - 3  = 0.400
NO   1  - 5  = 0.167
===============
NFC West W L PCT
LAR   4  - 2  = 0.667
ARI   4  - 2  = 0.667
SEA  …. 3  - 3  = 0.500
SF   2  - 4  = 0.333