Using the rosters as they are as of mid-May (version 1.0), obviously everyone is healthy in this simulation, and we run our data to the new NFL schedule to see 'what happens' (in our world) and taking the win-loss record projections right through the playoffs for an eventual title winner projection.

This will be a series -- three weeks of regular season results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time playoff results until a Super Bowl winner is declared.

In reality, when the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all these projections in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.

 

Notes from Weeks 1-3...

 -- Just two undefeated teams remain after the first 3 games...BUF (3-0) and PHI (3-0).

But three teams remain winless...LV, NO, IND all (0-3).

 -- The Bills (3-0) lead the AFC North but are surprisingly trailed by just one game by (2-1) Miami and the Patriots.

 -- The Bengals and Ravens start out (2-1) to lead the AFC North.

 -- The weak AFC South has a three-way tie at the top...HOU and JAX (1-2) aren’t a shock to be there, but likely this is the only time TEN (1-2) will be near 1st-place...I’m sure.

 -- What about KC (1-2) starting out sub-.500 in the NFC West and in 3rd-place behind LAC (2-1) and DEN (2-1).

 -- The Eagles (3-0) have the NFC East lead over WSH (2-1), which is not a surprise...but DAL (2-1) might be a surprise.

 -- GB-MIN-DET all start out (2-1) in the NFC North lead.

 -- The Bucs (2-1) are not surprisingly in the NFC South lead.

 -- And the NFC West has the statistically odd 4-way lead with all teams at (2-1).

 -- Tomorrow we’ll reveal Weeks 4-5-6 as we head towards the Super Bowl for Faux 1.0

 

AFC East W L PCT
BUF   3  - 0  = 1.000
MIA   2  - 1  = 0.667
NE  …. 2  - 1  = 0.667
NYJ   1  - 2  = 0.333
===============
AFC North W L PCT
CIN   2  - 1  = 0.667
BAL   2  - 1  = 0.667
PIT   1  - 2  = 0.333
CLE   0  - 3  = 0.000
===============
AFC South W L PCT
TEN   1  - 2  = 0.333
HOU   1  - 2  = 0.333
JAX   1  - 2  = 0.333
IND   0  - 3  = 0.000
===============
AFC West W L PCT
LAC   2  - 1  = 0.667
DEN   2  - 1  = 0.667
KC  …. 1  - 2  = 0.333
LV   0  - 3  = 0.000
===============
NFC East W L PCT
PHI   3  - 0  = 1.000
WSH   2  - 1  = 0.667
DAL   2  - 1  = 0.667
NYG   1  - 2  = 0.333
===============
NFC North W L PCT
GB  …. 2  - 1  = 0.667
DET   2  - 1  = 0.667
MIN   2  - 1  = 0.667
CHI   1  - 2  = 0.333
===============
NFC South W L PCT
TB  …. 2  - 1  = 0.667
ATL   1  - 2  = 0.333
CAR   1  - 2  = 0.333
NO  …. 0  - 3  = 0.000
===============
NFC West W L PCT
LAR   2  - 1  = 0.667
SEA   2  - 1  = 0.667
SF  …. 2  - 1  = 0.667
ARI   2  - 1  = 0.667