Using the rosters as they are as of July 1st, obviously everyone is healthy, and running our data to the NFL schedule and seeing 'what happens' and then taking that right through the playoffs.
This will be a series -- three weeks of results at a time released daily with some light commentary, up to the playoffs where we will publish a round at a time until a Super Bowl winner is declared.
When the first key injury happens to any team -- throw all this in the trash. But we are using this as a guide looking for over/under win total bets, especially 'unders' -- if a team's projected win total isn't close to their Vegas O/U line fully healthy…then there might be handicapping opportunity there.
-- One undefeated team left in the league, no surprise -- it's Kansas City (6-0).
-- Miami and Buffalo are deadlocked atop the AFC East at (5-1) each.
-- The Eagles (5-1) race out to a two-game lead over the rest of the NFC East that all have a (3-3) record.
-- Atlanta (4-2) maintains its lead in the NFC South.
-- Two teams haven't won a game yet…Carolina (0-6) and Arizona (0-6).
-- Jacksonville (3-3) finishes the 4-game Cam Robinson suspension and sits atop the AFC South with Tennessee (3-3).
AFC East W L PCT
MIA … 5 - 1 = 0.833
BUF … 5 - 1 = 0.833
NE …. 3 - 3 = 0.500
NYJ … 2 - 4 = 0.333
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AFC North W L PCT
CIN … 5 - 1 = 0.833
CLE … 4 - 1 = 0.800
PIT … 3 - 2 = 0.600
BAL … 3 - 3 = 0.500
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AFC South W L PCT
JAX … 3 - 3 = 0.500
TEN … 3 - 3 = 0.500
IND … 2 - 4 = 0.333
HOU … 1 - 5 = 0.167
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AFC West W L PCT
KC … 6 - 0 = 1.000
LAC … 3 - 2 = 0.600
LV …. 3 - 3 = 0.500
DEN … 1 - 5 = 0.167
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NFC East W L PCT
PHI … 5 - 1 = 0.833
DAL … 3 - 3 = 0.500
WAS … 3 - 3 = 0.500
NYG … 3 - 3 = 0.500
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NFC North W L PCT
DET … 3 - 2 = 0.600
MIN …. 3 - 3 = 0.500
CHI … 3 - 3 = 0.500
GB … 2 - 3 = 0.400
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NFC South W L PCT
ATL …. 4 - 2 = 0.667
NO … 3 - 3 = 0.500
TB …. 2 - 3 = 0.400
CAR … 0 - 6 = 0.000
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NFC West W L PCT
SF … 4 - 2 = 0.667
SEA …. 2 - 3 = 0.400
LAR … 1 - 5 = 0.167
ARI … 0 - 6 = 0.000