RC's daily streaming notes on football, and other, things going on this week...

5/24 SUN

(6:51amET)

 

Today/tomorrow

 -- FAUX 2026 Computer Simulated season 1.0...a 10-part daily series studying, going through the win-loss projections of the season a couple weeks at a time and then going through the playoffs.

 -- DRD rankings will now settle into once a week (min.) publishing the DRD top 300+ updates and adding/updating commentaries, etc. Likely every THU or FRI the rest of the preseason.   

 -- Miscellaneous reports on things that come my way and more scouting reports to come. I have a backlog of them to get published already.

 -- Next Scouting Report Kaelon Black coming up Mon/Tue (projected)

  

This Week’s/Month’s Agenda…

 -- 2026 Draft Guide studies and commentary writing is about to start...all month of May. More info on timings of the first reports to hit, etc., coming/debuting 2nd-half of May.   

 -- DRD valuations/rankings top 300+ board updates/adds to everyday post-NFL Draft week and every week through the entire offseason.

 -- Prospect grades by position and rookie rankings boards are being debuted, updated and added to daily/weekly up to kick off 2026.

 -- Dynasty and Best Ball rankings audits/updates daily/weekly.

 -- Holy series QB and RB done. Holy RB Handcuffs underway (on hold for draft, since we’re this close)

 -- Full scouting reports on various prospects from now until the NFL preseason. Deeper looks at Demond Claiborne, Kaelon Black, Cyrus Allen and more all on deck.

 -- Any FFM News & Notes or Special Reports during the day as I get them.

 -- New coaching staff hire’s analysis series...going through the entire staff...I am working on the framework of how I want to present that. This will be a first ever series (for me) where I go beyond ‘just the new head coaches’. ETA in June to start it up.

 

 

 == NEWS & NOTES & Xs ==

 -- Tomorrow, Monday/Memorial Day, is gonna kick off a week of ‘change’. I had like 35+ hours in my car driving to Texas and back...so a lot of time to just ‘think’.

‘Thinking’ about ways to do things better, for FFM and in my personal life...especially on my cancer battle still underway. There are projects that I want to get to, there’s things I want to streamline, there’s things that are taking way too much of my time/taking my focus away from what my core work and personal things should be prioritized as.

So many things, so little time.

...and that’s a problem. It’s been a problem. I have literally 30 hours of work a day but only have, what?, 8-12 legit hours in a day to do it? I map out my day first thing in the morning. I have a calendar/scheduler I built to slot tasks and estimate time so I can try not to over schedule.

When I don’t complete a task or I add a new-thought or real-need task it is ‘alive’ on my scheduler as a line item...so I can just move an undone item to the next day or 3 days out or whenever...like an accounting move. The problem is I have so many task items building up that I legit have ‘accrued’/moved around approx. 200 hours of (mostly work/football) projects and tasks needing/wanting to be completed in the next 5 days.

Today, for example, I have 9.3 hours of work scheduled...I won't finish that for any number of reasons, because it doesn't account for emails to respond to or sources sending me information I need to discuss or investigate. 2-3 hours of today's schedule...will get sent to tomorrow or the next 3 days...and the hamster wheel keeps spinning, and the tasks stack up higher and higher. 9.3 hours scheduled today...19.4 hours already pushed off to 'I'll do it tomorrow/Mon.' You don't even want to know what Tuesday has accrued for tasks pushed off.  

When I am trying to defeat my to-do list...when I try to win this game of (over)schedule Tetris, I start missing things...or I don’t give them the time they need, and that drives me crazy...the feeling that I might be missing something haunts me. If I just read one more mainstream report. If I listened to one more coach's press conference. If I watched 10 minutes of tape on this UDFA player that I have not seen. If I spent 2 hours looking at 2025 season film of a questionable player to get more insight. Some of that is real, some of that is perceived and is a ‘driver’ of working like a maniac. Fear is a motivator. It’s not a bad thing, per se. But...my schedule accounting of 'things to do or would like to do' is about to collapse on top of me.

So, I spent time driving cross country thinking about my schedule, the way I do things--am I just doing things/putting things on my FFM schedule because ‘I always do THAT at THIS time’. Can it be different? Should it be chopped out completely? Do I need help? What are my core/critical items vs. what is nice but not critical but takes as much time as the core items.

AI is not helping. It is only allowing me to explore new worlds and the time it does save me, ends up being used for other sidetrack items or initial setup of the AI programs.

I’m not totally sure what the answer is, but I see the schedule accounting...it’s an Enron shell game of tasks that’s about to collapse on me. Something has to change. Cancer and the medications I’m on have changed my available energy levels. I can’t do the 16+ hour days as easily as I used to...or just ‘can’t’...and I shouldn’t be trying–because it’s not helping my cancer battle/recovery.

So, all this upcoming week, I am going to announce some attempts to correct, cancel, or launch some things...and most of all, ask for help on some things...help that could be an opportunity for others. I’ll get into all that starting Monday.

 

 -- HEADLINE: Tampa Bay Times’ Rick Stroud believes Buccaneers RB coach Skip Peete “has always done a good job of balancing the workload between his backs, and 2026 should be no different.”

Buried in an article comparing Bucs RBs Bucky Irving and Kenneth Gainwell, Stroud notes that RB3 Sean Tucker “morphed into the Bucs’ short-yardage and goal-line specialist a year ago and led the club with seven rushing touchdowns.”

More things that make me nervous about Bucky Irving.

My Spidey Senses are tingling on Bucky, and I can’t prove anything on why I feel it.

When Bucky hit/2024...all the preseason talk was about Bucky. Rachaad was like nobody, coming off a good+ season, because the great Bucky Irving had arrived...and TB was right, Bucky was really good. And it turned out...Bucky got the push, then the job by midseason his rookie year.

Bucky was the lead guy in 2025 started out OK, then he got hurt...then what was supposed to be 1-2 weeks of missed time turned into like 2 months with rumors that Bucky may be shut down due to mental health issues. He made it back by seasons end but wasn’t near as good as before.

In 2026, the new O-C is talking about ‘who knows’ workloads and the coaches talking up Kenneth Gainwell being ‘just like Bucky’. Then Sean Tucker got $3.5M to stay and be a #3 RB...he of his 7 rushing TDs on 86 carries last season, while Bucky had 1 rushing TDs in 173 carries, to go with a 3.4 yards per carry.  

I think the walls are closing in on Bucky...and he may fight out of it, but why should anyone put all their chips on Bucky for FF for the price tag it takes? Bucky’s ADP and momentum are slowly sinking.

 

-- HEADLINE ESPN’s Kris Rhim reports that Chargers tight ends “could be featured much more than tight ends have been in this offense in years.”

Just what Mike McDaniel is known for ‘making TEs Fantasy stars’!

Enjoy an entire offseason of speculation from fans and them media on LAC having the greatest running game, due to the O-Line back healthy...but also Justin Herbert will be an MVP...but also Keaton Mitchell is  gonna be a star along with Omarion...but also Ladd will have his best year...but don’t forget QJ is Julio Jones...and Brenan Thompson is Tyreek Hill...and David Njoku is now the lead TE, but don’t worry the Chargers will use 3-7 TEs per play so Gadsden and Kolar will be TE1s along with Njoku.

There are so many ways this can go with the LAC offense...and no one knows, not even Jim Harbaugh, how this is all gonna go...for FF. They are gonna talk-talk-talk about it forever this offseason, but what they do in reality...I could see a fight coming between Harbaugh and McDaniel at some point. Both incredibly arrogant in their own ways.

This is getting to be a very weird stew they are creating in L.A. It’s great for NFL purposes, a ton of options, but it could get FF-frustrating fast with the WRs and TEs...and maybe even the RBs. There is only one FF-given = Herbert.

 

 -- The 13 personnel/heavy TE offense explained (15+ min. video that explains it simply and visually): https://youtu.be/UzT-O6DdTX8?si=N-OvfkSm6sIoPqJB

 

 

 == QUOTES & QUOTABLES (pulled from an internet A.I. search, I try to make sure it’s accurate but some of it is ‘trust in AI’) ==

 -- Bleacher Report’s James Palmer is the most recent NFL insider to link Jacksonville to a potential AJ Brown trade, while also reporting that he’s heard conflicting information behind closed doors, that Brian Thomas Jr. both is and isn’t available depending on who you ask. Even Adam Schefter weighed in on his podcast, stating he expects Brown to be traded after June 1st, though he had no specific word on Jacksonville’s interest level, if any exists at all.

 

 -- (YAHOO) The other starting safety spot in nickel is up for grabs, but Epps has the inside track. “It’s open,” Fangio said. “I think Marcus (Epps) is someone that will put a good claim to it… “When we go to nickel and Coop comes up and plays nickel, it’ll be Epps. We’re taking a good look at Michael Carter back there. Andre Sam. Then we signed an undrafted free agent, Gush [DB Kapena Gushiken]. J.T. Gray has been mainly a special teams player, but he’ll get a look. We’ll look at all those guys. It’s an open competition.”

Fangio also spoke a little more at length about Epps’ play in 2025. “I was pleasantly surprised,” he said. “Maybe surprised is the wrong word because I just really didn’t know him. But when he had to play last year, he came in and showed his experience, showed his instincts that he has for the game. I was pleased with the way he played last year. I wasn’t considering him an old player at this point, but he’s obviously a veteran. I think he’ll do fine. I’m not sure what his injury history has been, but I think if he stays injury-free and if he wins the job, we’ll be fine.” Carter, normally a slot corner, played a little safety for the Eagles in 2025.

 

 -- (YAHOO) California Post’s Vincent Bonsignore, who also shed some light on the (Jermod McCoy) injury situation.

I’ve talked to a couple of general managers around the league who shared what their intel was on [McCoy], and by the way, he was not lasting very much longer in the fourth round. People were ready to pounce,” Bonsignore said while guest hosting on Raider Nation Radio’s “JT the Brick”.

They took the red flag off of him by that point in the draft across the league. So the Raiders did a good job of beating everybody to the punch and the way it’s been explained to me is it’s not a ‘right now’ issue. It’s a potentially long-range issue, the longevity of it. And Todd Gurley was a name that was brought up. He had suffered that devastating knee injury at Georgia, but he was recovered from it, was fantastic for a period of time in the NFL.”

But then the longevity issue came into play [for Gurley]. People are looking for all these signs about the knee. Is it good? Is he good to go? It’s not that. It’s the longevity issue.”

 

 

Your moment of Zen for this day...

Some light-hearted fare:

Part I: https://youtu.be/xcukqIKHLIM?si=RBky5O54vMScXFdW

The Sequel: https://youtu.be/mrW2ld-13iQ?si=Jq6YPKtCUto0Aj4W

  

 

 == New Daily Series ==

Let’s rank The Best players/The Most Important players in the NFL!

The NFL does that series each summer where the players (and maybe others?) vote on the top 100 for the prior season, and the outcome (to me) is like a voting by people who never watch football besides highlights and people without a clue voting in very bizarre ways. You know this series, right?

Well, I was wanting to do a kinda top 100 type thing myself, but I am going to tone it down to the top 64...but using two players from each team, so it may be more of a true top 40-50(?) with some forced stragglers on there for the player’s after 40-50+...but it should be ‘close enough’ and ‘interesting enough’, and I guarantee my rankings will be way different than the NFL voting.

I’ll do a team a day, two players from it and when we get enough you’ll see 4-5 tiers develop. I’ll go alphabetical order, but to switch up my usual pattern...I’ll do a reverse alphabetical order. We start with Washington and add two more each day until we get to Arizona.

*When I have an offensive lineman, I’m going to add their overall grades from PFF last year for some context...XX Overall Grade/rank at their position...XX/x, XX/x Pass/Run Block grade with the rank at their position for 2025.

Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert/Patrick Mahomes, Caleb Williams, Matt Stafford, Tristan Wirfs (93/2nd OT...85/4th, 92/3rd), Penei Sewell (95/1st OT...80/11th, 97/1st), Trent Williams (92/3rd OT...80/12th, 93/2nd), Garrett Bolles (89/5th OT...91/1st, 81/14th), Baker Mayfield

Cam Ward, Jaxson Dart, Jayden Daniels, Creed Humphrey (89/1st OC...84/1st, 89/2nd), Puka Nacua, Andrew Thomas (90/4th OT...87/3rd, 85/7th), Rashawn Slater (2024 numbers: 91/2nd OT...90/3rd, 78/15th), JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, Drake Maye

Jordan Mailata (88/6th OT...82/6th, 82/6th), Laremy Tunsil (85/8th OT...89/2nd, 75/21st), Grey Zabel (From Wk14 on, the SEA march to SB: 82/8th OG...79/10th, 82/5th...9 grades in the playoffs), Brock Purdy, Sam Darnold, Quinn Meinerz (89/1st OG...71/20th, 92/1st),  Zach Tom (84/7th OT...79/15th, 82/12th), Kolton Miller (hurt 2025, 2024: 81/14th OT, 82/11th, 72/25th), Aaron Brewer (87/2nd OC...71/10th, 92/1st), Quinyon Mitchell, Christian Gonzalez, Dak Prescott, Joe Thuney (78/5th OG...88/1st, 71/15th)

Sauce Gardner, Derek Stingley, Christian Darrisaw (healthy...he’s top tier, but injuries are killing him), Jared Goff, Tyler Linderbaum (80/4th OC...63/22nd, 84/4th), Daniel Jones, Jordan Love, Aaron Rodgers, Travis Hunter, Peter Skoronski (79/5th OG...85/2nd, 73/10th)

Joey Porter Jr., George Pickens, Myles Garrett, Malik Willis, Breece Hall, Parker Washington, Carson Schwesinger, Kelvin Banks (74/29th OT...70/41st, 76/19th), Will Anderson, Armand Membou (73/31st OT...74/31st, 72/27th), Erik McCoy (68/16th OC...84/1st, 62/25th)

 

----------------------------------------------------------

 

*How to sign up for our monthly or annual access: https://ffmetrics.com/total-football-advisor/total-football-advisor

*How to get the free FFM App and FAQs on how to use: https://ffmetrics.com/5663-how-to-get-the-free-ffm-app

*Our Betting Subscription offering (including private Discord chat access):  https://ffmetrics.com/betting/betting

 

 

 

=====================

5/23 SAT

(7:40amET)

 

Today/tomorrow

 -- FAUX 2026 Computer Simulated season 1.0...a 10-part daily series studying, going through the win-loss projections of the season a couple weeks at a time and then going through the playoffs.

 -- DRD rankings will now settle into once a week (min.) publishing the DRD top 300+ updates and adding/updating commentaries, etc. Likely every THU or FRI the rest of the preseason.   

 -- Miscellaneous reports on things that come my way and more scouting reports to come. I have a backlog of them to get published already.

 -- Next Scouting Report will be either Demond Claiborne or Kaelon Black.

  

This Week’s/Month’s Agenda…

 -- 2026 Draft Guide studies and commentary writing is about to start...all month of May. More info on timings of the first reports to hit, etc., coming/debuting 2nd-half of May.   

 -- DRD valuations/rankings top 300+ board updates/adds to everyday post-NFL Draft week and every week through the entire offseason.

 -- Prospect grades by position and rookie rankings boards are being debuted, updated and added to daily/weekly up to kick off 2026.

 -- Dynasty and Best Ball rankings audits/updates daily/weekly.

 -- Holy series QB and RB done. Holy RB Handcuffs underway (on hold for draft, since we’re this close)

 -- Full scouting reports on various prospects from now until the NFL preseason. Deeper looks at Demond Claiborne, Kaelon Black, Cyrus Allen and more all on deck.

 -- Any FFM News & Notes or Special Reports during the day as I get them.

 -- New coaching staff hire’s analysis series...going through the entire staff...I am working on the framework of how I want to present that. This will be a first ever series (for me) where I go beyond ‘just the new head coaches’. ETA in May/June to start it up.

 

 

 == NEWS & NOTES & Xs ==

 -- HEADLINE: Rams coach Sean McVay revealed that the team almost placed QB Matthew Stafford (back) on short-term injured reserve to begin the 2025 season.

Stafford aggravated a disc injury between the offseason workout program and training camp last year. He did not practice until August 18th. Reports on the injury ran the gamut. At one point, The Athletic’s Jourdan Rodrigue reported that the Rams “aren’t worried” about the injury, before later reporting that the back injury “is going to be a thing” all year.

If you remember back to July and August, we were all dissecting Sean McVay’s every word about this and we were all getting scared (beyond the normal scared of everything in FF) about the Stafford situation. And it looks like we had a right to be. McVay was not joking when he was being ‘political’ with his answers/non-answers /changing answers about Stafford’s health. We didn’t realize how close it was to being a nuclear bomb for the Rams and for Puka, and Davante among others.

You can do all the great football research you want, but one unfortunate injury could knockdown down a bunch of other players/situations...and it not be a ‘bad football scouting’...just an unlucky ‘thing’ that happened.

That’s why you will never hear me say you will ‘DOMINATE your league with Fantasy Football Metrics’. I hear that so much in Fantasy advertising...it should be a warning, not a siren call. But I used to get sucked in like everyone else before I got ‘woke’ to FFM.

I pride myself in, and I should trademark this for advertising (if we did any): “When FF-things/seasons start falling to shit, we’re really good/better at this anyone on earth at making the maneuvers to help keep you in the game when turmoil hits.” It’s a little wordy, but...

Fantasy Football is not ‘draft and forget’ (unless you do Best Ball)...there’s too many weeks, too many injuries, too much talent in the league -- the best FF players are the ones who adjust the best to the everchanging NFL and it’s situations.

 

 -- HEADLINE Former Broncos QB Ben DiNucci believes new OC Davis Webb’s offensive scheme “will be spread and up-tempo for QB Bo Nix and these receivers to let it rip.”

Maybe. We’ll see if Sean Payton allows it. I find it hard to believe Payton is just divorcing himself from the offense...because he’s such an arrogant ass that thinks he invented modern day offense. I just can’t see Payton walking away from it. I wish he would. He might intend to, but in reality--will he? I’m skeptical.

 

 -- HEADLINE ESPN’s Josh Weinfuss reports that the Cardinals and QB Jacoby Brissett are “significantly” far apart on a reworked deal for this season.

This may rectify quickly. I’m sure Arizona is trying to find a way out of having to pay Brissett a ton of money to be their starter. But Arizona can’t trade Brissett anywhere, really...but they have yet to find another option.

This is a serious watch item for Trey McBride and Michael Wilson.

Arizona has been trying to get Tyson Bagent, but they won’t pay the high price for it...yet. Arizona will not give their 1st-round pick/2027 away, so they likely won’t do better than Brissett.

 

 

 == QUOTES & QUOTABLES (pulled from an internet A.I. search, I try to make sure it’s accurate but some of it is ‘trust in AI’) ==

 -- The rising star is no stranger to performing in front of New York crowds, but May 22 wasn't your classic NFL game. Instead, the quarterback that plays for "Big Blue" was on the red team, introducing President Donald Trump at a campaign-style rally for Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in Suffern, New York.

Jaxson Dart opened the event for Trump, walking out on stage to deliver some opening remarks. With "Eye of the Tiger" playing in the background, Dart played to the crowd.

"Big Blue nation, it's a pleasure to be here," Dart said, encouraging the crowd to join him in a Giants chant. “What an honor, what a privilege it is to be here and, without further ado, I'm grateful, I'm honored, I'm pleasured to introduce the 45th and 47th president of the United States of America, President Donald J. Trump."

 

 -- AdamSchefter on Malik Nabers: “I just don't like the way that any of this sounds. ... The Giants don't know if he'll be ready for opening day."

 

 -- Texans linebacker E.J. Speed partially tore a quadriceps and a quadriceps tendon while lifting weights in the offseason program, Aaron Wilson of KPRC reports.

 

 -- “We want to put a lot of pressure on Ashton,” Klint Kubiak said. “The next guy that steps up, whoever that may be, that’s going to be seen here in practice, OTAs and training camp, but we think we should continue to challenge Ashton and get more out of him. It’s important to have a quality second back, but the best player has got to play, and we’ve got to get them on the field as much as we can. I don’t know the play-snap percentage, but you look at [49ers running back] Christian McCaffrey, his play-snap percentage is high. So, those great backs, they don’t want to come off the field.”

 

 -- Via Andy Villamarzo of On3.com, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed the so-called “Teddy Bridgewater Act” into law on Friday.

The law allows middle-school and high-school head coaches to spend up to $15,000 of their own funds to support student-athletes with food, transportation and recovery services.

 

 -- (YAHOO) “He’s our guy,” Derrick Brown said, via NFL.com. “We ride with [No.] 9 (Bryce Young) all the way through. That’s one of those things that people don’t want to admit how good he’s becoming because they’re going to have to go back and admit how wrong they were. As we all know, people don’t like doing that.”

While Young started 16 games in his first season, he was benched after two particularly poor games to start his second year — completing just 31-of-56 passes for 245 yards with three interceptions while taking six sacks. But when Andy Dalton was unable to play due to injury a few weeks later, Young came back in and didn’t give the starting role back up.

The way Young handled that situation left an impression on Young.

He took the benching and, man, he just came into work every single day and killed it,” Brown said. “He didn’t care. He went right back to doing what he does. To him, it was about playing football.

I’m going to be honest, I know everybody’s got an opinion about him, but I would never want to be a quarterback in the NFL. It might be the worst job to have. It’s the highest-paying, but it is the worst job to have in the NFL. I salute Bryce every single day, just dealing with all the outside noise and then still being able to come in there and be efficient in the work.

 

 

Your moment of Zen for this day...

Someone, inspired by my PieCaken talk yesterday, sent me this as the next food I need to try:  https://youtu.be/evUWersr7pc?si=us1XEkq5mfgC7Eum

 

 

 == New Daily Series ==

Let’s rank The Best players/The Most Important players in the NFL!

The NFL does that series each summer where the players (and maybe others?) vote on the top 100 for the prior season, and the outcome (to me) is like a voting by people who never watch football besides highlights and people without a clue voting in very bizarre ways. You know this series, right?

Well, I was wanting to do a kinda top 100 type thing myself, but I am going to tone it down to the top 64...but using two players from each team, so it may be more of a true top 40-50(?) with some forced stragglers on there for the player’s after 40-50+...but it should be ‘close enough’ and ‘interesting enough’, and I guarantee my rankings will be way different than the NFL voting.

I’ll do a team a day, two players from it and when we get enough you’ll see 4-5 tiers develop. I’ll go alphabetical order, but to switch up my usual pattern...I’ll do a reverse alphabetical order. We start with Washington and add two more each day until we get to Arizona.

*When I have an offensive lineman, I’m going to add their overall grades from PFF last year for some context...XX Overall Grade/rank at their position...XX/x, XX/x Pass/Run Block grade with the rank at their position for 2025.

Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert/Patrick Mahomes, Tristan Wirfs (93/2nd OT...85/4th, 92/3rd), Penei Sewell (95/1st OT...80/11th, 97/1st), Trent Williams (92/3rd OT...80/12th, 93/2nd), Garrett Bolles (89/5th OT...91/1st, 81/14th), Matt Stafford, Baker Mayfield

Cam Ward, Jaxson Dart, Jayden Daniels, Creed Humphrey (89/1st OC...84/1st, 89/2nd), Puka Nacua, Andrew Thomas (90/4th OT...87/3rd, 85/7th), Rashawn Slater (2024 numbers: 91/2nd OT...90/3rd, 78/15th), JaMarr Chase, Justin Jefferson, Drake Maye

Jordan Mailata (88/6th OT...82/6th, 82/6th), Laremy Tunsil (85/8th OT...89/2nd, 75/21st), Grey Zabel (From Wk14 on, the SEA march to SB: 82/8th OG...79/10th, 82/5th...9 grades in the playoffs), Brock Purdy, Sam Darnold, Quinn Meinerz (89/1st OG...71/20th, 92/1st),  Zach Tom (84/7th OT...79/15th, 82/12th), Kolton Miller (hurt 2025, 2024: 81/14th OT, 82/11th, 72/25th), Aaron Brewer (87/2nd OC...71/10th, 92/1st), Quinyon Mitchell, Christian Gonzalez, Dak Prescott

Sauce Gardner, Derek Stingley, Christian Darrisaw (healthy...he’s top tier, but injuries are killing him), Tyler Linderbaum (80/4th OC...63/22nd, 84/4th), Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Aaron Rodgers, Jordan Love, Travis Hunter, Peter Skoronski (79/5th OG...85/2nd, 73/10th)

Joey Porter Jr., George Pickens, Myles Garrett, Malik Willis, Breece Hall, Parker Washington, Carson Schwesinger, Kelvin Banks (74/29th OT...70/41st, 76/19th), Will Anderson, Armand Membou (73/31st OT...74/31st, 72/27th), Erik McCoy (68/16th OC...84/1st, 62/25th)

 

----------------------------------------------------------

 

*How to sign up for our monthly or annual access: https://ffmetrics.com/total-football-advisor/total-football-advisor

*How to get the free FFM App and FAQs on how to use: https://ffmetrics.com/5663-how-to-get-the-free-ffm-app

*Our Betting Subscription offering (including private Discord chat access):  https://ffmetrics.com/betting/betting

 

 

 

=====================

5/22 FRI

(8:09amET)

 

Today/tomorrow

 -- FAUX 2026 Computer Simulated season 1.0...a 10-part daily series studying, going through the win-loss projections of the season a couple weeks at a time and then going through the playoffs.

 -- DRD rankings will now settle into once a week (min.) publishing the DRD top 300+ updates and adding/updating commentaries, etc. Likely every THU or FRI the rest of the preseason.   

 -- Miscellaneous reports on things that come my way and more scouting reports to come. I have a backlog of them to get published already.

 -- Next Scouting Report will be either Demond Claiborne or Kaelon Black.

  

This Week’s/Month’s Agenda…

 -- 2026 Draft Guide studies and commentary writing is about to start...all month of May. More info on timings of the first reports to hit, etc., coming/debuting 2nd-half of May.   

 -- DRD valuations/rankings top 300+ board updates/adds to everyday post-NFL Draft week and every week through the entire offseason.

 -- Prospect grades by position and rookie rankings boards are being debuted, updated and added to daily/weekly up to kick off 2026.

 -- Dynasty and Best Ball rankings audits/updates daily/weekly.

 -- Holy series QB and RB done. Holy RB Handcuffs underway (on hold for draft, since we’re this close)

 -- Full scouting reports on various prospects from now until the NFL preseason. Deeper looks at Demond Claiborne, Kaelon Black, Cyrus Allen and more all on deck.

 -- Any FFM News & Notes or Special Reports during the day as I get them.

 -- New coaching staff hire’s analysis series...going through the entire staff...I am working on the framework of how I want to present that. This will be a first ever series (for me) where I go beyond ‘just the new head coaches’. ETA in May/June to start it up.

 

 

 == NEWS & NOTES & Xs ==

 -- HEADLINE: Eagles DC Vic Fangio said DB Cooper DeJean will play safety in base formation and cover the slot in nickel.

We knew this day would come...the eventual move of DeJean to safety, where he should be...I have always thought.

A bump up in his IDP projections coming.

Who knows what will happen in 2027+, after Fangio leaves (my prediction) after this season? A full move to safety is likely to happen someday soon.

 

 -- HEADLINE: Chargers GM Joe Hortiz said “the door is not closed” for Keenan Allen to return to the Chargers.

This getting to be too much for me. Are the Chargers gonna carry 10 WRs this year or what? Are they gonna unleash 5-6 WR sets?

You know, we ordered a 5-layer ‘Piecaken’ for my Dad for his birthday this year. It literally has five individual desserts stacked all in one dessert/cake monstrosity. It has...

A butterscotch brown butter blondie cookie-ish base.

Then a full chocolate cream pie layer.

Then a coffee cake layer.

Then a full cheesecake layer with pretzel buttercream and fudge frosting.

It’s topped with dulce de leche dallops and cookie dough crumbles with brownie bits.

All wrapped in a chocolate outer layer with chocolate sprinkles.

I love every single one of those desserts. Love them. But all together...man, it’s too much happening. It’s a majestic, delicious traffic jam.

I feel like that is the Chargers right now for FF. They are so good...have so many good players...but every week it seems they add another delicious layer. Individually awesome...but all crammed together, you can’t fully FF-enjoy it.

How is, example, Ladd McConkey gonna have a breakout season in this traffic jam/LACaken situation?

 

You think I’m joking?

https://www.goldbelly.com/restaurants/the-piecaken-shop/the-10-year-anniversary-decacaken?ref=merchant

I don’t joke about desserts.

 

 

 == QUOTES & QUOTABLES (pulled from an internet A.I. search, I try to make sure it’s accurate but some of it is ‘trust in AI’) ==

 -- The Bears reiterated Thursday that they plan to leave Chicago as they continue to look at building a stadium in suburban Illinois or Hammond, Indiana.

"The Chicago Bears have exhausted every opportunity to stay in Chicago, which was our initial goal," the team said in a statement. "There is not a viable site in the city. As a result, the only sites under consideration are in Arlington Heights and Hammond."

 

 -- ESPN sources: reigning NFL MVP Matthew Stafford and the Rams reached agreement today on a one-year, $55 million extension worth up to $60 million with incentives. Stafford now has two years and up to $105 million remaining on his deal with the Rams.

 

 -- Giants sign GM Joe Schoen to multiyear extension’

 

 -- (YAHOO) Jaxson Dart looks bigger and stronger than his rookie year in the NFL with the New York Giants. He insists he weighs the same.

"I’m not like Tim Tebow," Dart said with a smile. "I’m not like that."

Still built like a quarterback and not like Tebow, who became a tight end as a pro, Dart made a concerted effort in recent months to build muscle. That was evident as he took the field for the first week of organized team activities.

"I just think I’m just leaner, and our strength staff has done an amazing job," Dart said Thursday. "When you just get into the league, there’s a little bit more resources that you have when it comes to a nutrition standpoint, building out a plan. Had a really good offseason, and I was happy to make it through this past season healthy."

 

 -- Report: Jack Campbell’s four-year extension is worth $81 million, with $51.5 million guaranteed

 

 -- (ESPN) The New York Giants don't know when star wide receiver Malik Nabers will be back from what coach John Harbaugh said Thursday was "not a simple knee" injury.

Nabers tore the ACL in his right knee in September. He underwent the original surgery, which included a full meniscus repair, several weeks later. A second surgery was required recently to remove scar tissue that was causing stiffness.

It has the Giants hopeful but uncertain if he will return for Week 1. They open their season in a "Sunday Night Football" game Sept. 13 against the Dallas Cowboys at MetLife Stadium.

"He's in the middle of it. It's such a hard thing. It's an ACL, and whatever else he had in that knee," coach John Harbaugh said after his team's third organized team activity practice. "Not a simple knee [injury], you know? So, um, he's in the slog of it, the grind of it, I would say. So, he's fighting through it, and he's here every day working hard at it.

"Just impossible to predict. I mean, the goal is to start the season and get out there sometime in training camp. That'd be the goal, and we'll see what happens."

 

 -- (YAHOO) The Giants currently have three placekickers on their 90-man roster — Ben Sauls, Jason Sanders, and undrafted free agent rookie Dominic Zvada.

Sauls and Sanders kicked on Thursday. Sauls went 2 of 4, badly yanking the first kick wide right. We were unable to see if the snap by Zach Triner or the hold by Dalen Cambre were problematic on that kick. Sanders went 4 of 6, pulling his last two attempts wide left.

 

Your moment of Zen for this day...

A couple people recommended this to me and I thought it would be just a lot of hot air, but it’s actually very compelling...

https://youtu.be/IWIN7OC6vCg?si=qilzxJUMmFZlySZ1

 

 

 == New Daily Series ==

Let’s rank The Best players/The Most Important players in the NFL!

The NFL does that series each summer where the players (and maybe others?) vote on the top 100 for the prior season, and the outcome (to me) is like a voting by people who never watch football besides highlights and people without a clue voting in very bizarre ways. You know this series, right?

Well, I was wanting to do a kinda top 100 type thing myself, but I am going to tone it down to the top 64...but using two players from each team, so it may be more of a true top 40-50(?) with some forced stragglers on there for the player’s after 40-50+...but it should be ‘close enough’ and ‘interesting enough’, and I guarantee my rankings will be way different than the NFL voting.

I’ll do a team a day, two players from it and when we get enough you’ll see 4-5 tiers develop. I’ll go alphabetical order, but to switch up my usual pattern...I’ll do a reverse alphabetical order. We start with Washington and add two more each day until we get to Arizona.

*When I have an offensive lineman, I’m going to add their overall grades from PFF last year for some context...XX Overall Grade/rank at their position...XX/x, XX/x Pass/Run Block grade with the rank at their position for 2025.

Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, Tristan Wirfs (93/2nd OT...85/4th, 92/3rd), Penei Sewell (95/1st OT...80/11th, 97/1st), Trent Williams (92/3rd OT...80/12th, 93/2nd), Garrett Bolles (89/5th OT...91/1st, 81/14th),  Matt Stafford, Baker Mayfield

Cam Ward, Jaxson Dart, Jayden Daniels, Creed Humphrey (89/1st OC...84/1st, 89/2nd), Puka Nacua, Andrew Thomas (90/4th OT...87/3rd, 85/7th), Rashawn Slater (2024 numbers: 91/2nd OT...90/3rd, 78/15th), Justin Jefferson, Drake Maye

Jordan Mailata (88/6th OT...82/6th, 82/6th), Laremy Tunsil (85/8th OT...89/2nd, 75/21st), Grey Zabel (From Wk14 on, the SEA march to SB: 82/8th OG...79/10th, 82/5th...9 grades in the playoffs), Brock Purdy, Sam Darnold, Quinn Meinerz (89/1st OG...71/20th, 92/1st),  Zach Tom (84/7th OT...79/15th, 82/12th), Kolton Miller (hurt 2025, 2024: 81/14th OT, 82/11th, 72/25th), Aaron Brewer (87/2nd OC...71/10th, 92/1st), Quinyon Mitchell, Christian Gonzalez, Dak Prescott

Sauce Gardner, Derek Stingley, Christian Darrisaw (healthy...he’s top tier, but injuries are killing him), Tyler Linderbaum (80/4th OC...63/22nd, 84/4th), Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Aaron Rodgers, Jordan Love, Travis Hunter, Peter Skoronski (79/5th OG...85/2nd, 73/10th)

Joey Porter Jr., George Pickens, Myles Garrett, Malik Willis, Breece Hall, Parker Washington, Carson Schwesinger, Kelvin Banks (74/29th OT...70/41st, 76/19th), Will Anderson, Armand Membou (73/31st OT...74/31st, 72/27th), Erik McCoy (68/16th OC...84/1st, 62/25th)

 

----------------------------------------------------------

 

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*Our Betting Subscription offering (including private Discord chat access):  https://ffmetrics.com/betting/betting

 

  

=====================

5/21 THU

(7:52amET)

 

Today/tomorrow

 -- FAUX 2026 Computer Simulated season 1.0...a 10-part daily series studying, going through the win-loss projections of the season a couple weeks at a time.

 -- New Scouting Report (Adam Randall) posts midday.

 -- DRD rankings will now settle into once a week (min.) publishing the DRD top 300+ updates and adding/updating commentaries, etc. Likely every THU or FRI the rest of the preseason.   

 -- Miscellaneous reports on things that come my way and more scouting reports to come. I have a backlog of them to get published already.

  

This Week’s/Month’s Agenda…

 -- 2026 Draft Guide studies and commentary writing is about to start...all month of May. More info on timings of the first reports to hit, etc., coming/debuting 2nd-half of May.   

 -- DRD valuations/rankings top 300+ board updates/adds to everyday post-NFL Draft week and every week through the entire offseason.

 -- Prospect grades by position and rookie rankings boards are being debuted, updated and added to daily/weekly up to kick off 2026.

 -- Dynasty and Best Ball rankings audits/updates daily/weekly.

 -- Holy series QB and RB done. Holy RB Handcuffs underway (on hold for draft, since we’re this close)

 -- Full scouting reports on various prospects from now until the NFL preseason. Deeper looks at Demond Claiborne, Adam Randall, Kaelon Black, Cyrus Allen all on deck.

 -- Any FFM News & Notes or Special Reports during the day as I get them.

 -- New coaching staff hire’s analysis series...going through the entire staff...I am working on the framework of how I want to present that. This will be a first ever series (for me) where I go beyond ‘just the new head coaches’. ETA in May/June to start it up.

 

 

 == NEWS & NOTES & Xs ==

 

 -- HEADLINE: Raiders coach Klint Kubiak called Brock Bowers “a football robot from heaven.”

I’m no expert or anything, but it sounds like Bowers is gonna be a big part of the offense...no? He’s the WR1 playing TE in that offense. You pray your WR1 has the least competition for targets/the coach’s heart...Bowers has that situation when you think about it, but classified as a TE.

The string of headlines I pulled for today, let’s file them all under “let’s FF-believe these words that are being thrown about freely.”

 

 -- HEADLINE: Aaron Rodgers said he will retire after the 2026 season.

I believe him. I think he’s wanted to retire for a few years, but it has been so easy for him to grab $20M+ for a season without breaking a lot of sweat. Some might saying he is suckering/playing these teams...and I think he is, in a good way. He can’t help it that NFL teams are stupid and poorly planned and bottom teams are desperate for QB miracles.

“...let’s FF-believe these words that are being thrown about freely.”

 

 -- HEADLINE: Jaxson Dart said the Giants offense would be run-first in 2026.

My great fear has already been confirmed.

You can almost 100% count on defensive-minded head coaches to desire a ‘power run game and good defense’.

Dart also provided detail, and it was the detail that rattled me: “It sounds like we’re not going to be throwing the ball a lot,” Dart said during a recent town hall with Giants fans and reporters when asked about how New York’s offense might look under new OC Matt Nagy. “We’re going to keep giving it to [Cam Skattebo] until they can stop it.”

Why is Dart saying this out loud?

I can believe 100% that the Andy Reid coaching tree will produce rotten fruit...Nagy for NYG. Bieniemy for KC.

Projections UP for the RBs.

Projections DOWN for the QB and related passing game.

“...let’s FF-believe these words that are being thrown about freely.”

 

 -- ‘Balls’/maturity for a young kid to see this and act on it...

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/eli-manning-reveals-why-he-refused-to-play-for-chargers/

 

 -- RC’s “Tales from the Road...

And then it was over.

I got back home today from what was a whirlwind ‘vacation’...away from home 10 days total, but 3 + 3 days of driving cross country. And I worked every day but one of them. So, I’m not sure I would call this a vacation.

Now, to be sure...it was a blast in Houston...and Alabama the first night (upgraded to the penthouse suite)! I got to do a lot of cool things this past week, but when I step back and take a look at it...it wasn’t a vacation; not in my book.

Every day, I was hustling to somewhere to do something...all fun things, but it wasn’t relaxing, it was like that TV show/game show ‘Amazing Race’--I went from thing to task to meeting to work to packing up to driving to the next town or driving to downtown Houston for games to sleeping in strange beds with all different kinds of AC units and fans to find food to find coffee. I had my dog with me...and I love her but she’s a burden on vacation.

Whenever there was a break in the ‘vacation’ travel or action, then I would be frantically working, catching up on football news, editing material, creating material...generally feeling bad that I was NOT working as much and constantly feeling like I was falling behind.

I’m sure a lot of people could agree with this following statement/assessment of a vacation you take...

I’m the one that plans the details. I’m the one that sets up the hotels or AirBNBs. I’m the one who drives. I’m the one who is living a constant personal battle against traffic. I’m the one with a ton of stuff to pack and make sure I don’t forget my work setup (monitors, plugs, etc.) and also don’t forget my lifesaving meds/therapies that you can’t replace if they get lost or stolen.

It is a hectic, frantic race against my schedule to get to the place I’m ‘vacationing’ at. And taking all the meds and recovering from radiation treatments...I couldn’t sleep like I would at home, I couldn’t, so instead of recovery sleep...I’m pushing myself with Starbucks and Alani Nu’s to get more awake time out of a day. The first part of a ‘vacation’ for me is like a race/sprint to get to the finish line/place. It’s not in any way ‘fun’ or ‘relaxing’.

Then after a day or two of learning the AirBNB light switches and learning the surrounding area, I settled into it (the vacation), finally. And just as I’m getting settled in and relaxing a bit and enjoying the things we do...then the trip is getting towards the end of it and I start pre-thinking about the race to home, the planning, the growing to-do list of work. Suddenly, I am not relaxing towards the end of the time because I’m planning the exit strategy and focused on that.

I rarely just get to ‘show up’ or have someone else do all the work/planning, etc., and just veg out and relax at my own pace. I’m always on a high pace unlike my regular life on most vacations.

Why am I complaining about this? People might think: You’re complaining about a 10-day trip to do cool things? Cry me a river! I am saying this/typing this...to myself...a question I have been asking myself for years. And that is the statement/debate of...I don’t think I’ve ever enjoyed a ‘vacation’.

I honestly way more enjoy a regular-paced day at home working and walking my dog and taking a nap at my home...my home where everything is the way I like it/invested in. Hotels and AirBNBs are rarely set up for ‘work’...and definitely not like I made my office set up at home.

If I never went to the ocean again, I’d be fine. And I don’t want to ever leave the USA. And there is nothing in the USA that I urgently need to see or do. I’d rather quietly work on a hobby or task at home than go do anything. I enjoy watching sports on TV rather than going in person. I enjoy watching football in-season and chatting with FFMers on Discord and cutting up about it. I enjoyed going to Buffalo Wild Wings with my close friend back in Ohio and just watching football on a TNF or MNF game, watching it for FF purposes and chatting about all the things going on and eating too much food. I don’t want to see the Eiffel Tower. I don’t want to parachute out of a plane. I get all the intrigue I want following the NFL and the Stock Market, and the Astros and watching the occasional great TV show/series.

I’m not saying I’m right in this stance...I’m just saying: this is my stance. This is me. So why do I keep trying to take ‘vacations’? Going to either of my son’s hometowns and going for a walk/hike and out to dinner and watching sports together and having a lot of downtime/worktime in-between...I’m totally content. I love it. So why do I waste time and money on ‘vacations’ to ‘do things’?

What’s retirement gonna be like? Will I want to retire? Will I drive my wife insane NOT wanting to travel?

I left out for a vacation 10 days ago, but I had plenty of windshield time to think about my future and improving FFM and listening to stock market streams...and I came back questioning my entire future. Why am I like how I am? I don’t know, but my bottom line is...I really don’t give a $#!& anymore about it. I’m gonna do what I like/want to do and I’m gonna try to NOT to do things I get no value out of. I’m not going to beat myself up over it. I’m on a mission of not wasting my time. 

So...did I have fun on my trip? Yes, mostly--I did a lot of memorable stuff with my dad and sons. Most memorable? Teaching my son how to bet on sports for the first time and then all of us totally engaged in the baseball game because we bet on long shot parlays.  

So...am I glad to be back home? Absolutely.

Vacation = mostly wound up and harried. Driving in the car was the most peaceful time but gets old quick.

Home = relaxing, tranquil, back at my peaceful work station.

Three weeks from now, off to Niagara Falls! 30th anniversary trip with the whole family...where I will try to ‘relax’ on a vacation once again. I think I know what will probably happen, however. This one is a sacrifice…gift to my wife who has earned it.

I haven’t peacefully read a good book in years. No time for it. I might just try to do that at Niagara Falls.

Colin Cowherd once said (from memory): “Most people live for the weekend...wanting to do a bunch of stuff because they hate their job/life Mon-Fri. But me (Colin), I live for Mondays. I love my work. I love the engagement of it, and trying to be great at it. Then I want to relax on the weekends. I’d rather enjoy five of 7 days of the week than loathe them and only enjoy two (the weekend) of the 7 days.”

That always stuck with me.

Why all these words about ‘nothing’/not-football and so many words about a trip? It’s not nothing. I’m collecting these thoughts in a diary of sorts so I can look back and consider or reconsider. Even in your 50’s...you’re still trying to figure out what makes you happy and how you can embrace that...and avoid what doesn’t make you happy. Sometimes you just fight through an unhappy period to try to get yourself to the happy times. I’ve been broke, hating a job, frustratingly single…then saving/investing, loving a job, and then happily married (most days). 

More content, peaceful days than aggravating, social media competition with ‘the joneses’ days = the goal.

YOLO doesn’t mean do and see a bunch of stuff, unless that makes you happy. YOLO for me is trying to figure out–what does make me content/happy/peaceful. Vacations and ‘travel’ does NOT bring me contentment or happiness or peace...especially when I see the price tag of what it just cost me.  

But...I was hellbent on going around and seeing a bunch of people I owed personal thank you’s to this past week. So, I will not say this trip was a waste...not at all. But it was not the relaxing vacation that I hoped it might be. 

 

 

 == QUOTES & QUOTABLES (pulled from an internet A.I. search, I try to make sure it’s accurate but some of it is ‘trust in AI’) ==

 

 -- "This is the most talented roster we’ve had since I’ve been here," Joe Burrow said. "The front office has taken a lot of heat from the fans, the public, the media. We can put all of that behind us. They went and made it happen with free agency."

But that wasn't the only bold proclamation Burrow made on Wednesday, either.

"The No. 1 thing is you have to win," Burrow said, as the Bengals are seeking to make the postseason for the first time since 2022. "We’re going to go win a lot of games this year and play great and win a Super Bowl."

 

 -- The Raiders drafted Fernando Mendoza to be their quarterback of the future. The No. 1 overall pick has been “as advertised” thus far, coach Klint Kubiak said Wednesday.

"[He has] not disappointed,” Kubiak said, via Ryan McFadden of ESPN. “He’s working his tail off. It’s very important to him that he asks a lot of great questions when he gets on the field. He’s no B.S.; he’s all ball.”

 

 -- A new wave of something I barely ever remember happening over the past years/decades...

https://www.essentiallysports.com/nfl-active-news-jaguars-lose-player-to-sudden-retirement-just-days-after-handing-him-a-three-point-one-million-contract/?utm_source=Reddit&utm_medium=subreddit&utm_campaign=es_reddit

 

 -- An excellent breakdown of the new Rashee Rice situation...things I didn’t know/weren’t reported on accurately...you could say, as well as just a great overview and examination of future risks: https://x.com/drewdavenportff/status/2056864409297818111?s=46

 

 

Your moment of Zen for this day...

The future is robots: https://x.com/YaBoyRoshi/status/2056920151493058895

https://x.com/justinboldaji/status/2056962090657780168

 

 

 == New Daily Series ==

Let’s rank The Best players/The Most Important players in the NFL!

The NFL does that series each summer where the players (and maybe others?) vote on the top 100 for the prior season, and the outcome (to me) is like a voting by people who never watch football besides highlights and people without a clue voting in very bizarre ways. You know this series, right?

Well, I was wanting to do a kinda top 100 type thing myself, but I am going to tone it down to the top 64...but using two players from each team, so it may be more of a true top 40-50(?) with some forced stragglers on there for the player’s after 40-50+...but it should be ‘close enough’ and ‘interesting enough’, and I guarantee my rankings will be way different than the NFL voting.

I’ll do a team a day, two players from it and when we get enough you’ll see 4-5 tiers develop. I’ll go alphabetical order, but to switch up my usual pattern...I’ll do a reverse alphabetical order. We start with Washington and add two more each day until we get to Arizona.

*When I have an offensive lineman, I’m going to add their overall grades from PFF last year for some context...XX Overall Grade/rank at their position...XX/x, XX/x Pass/Run Block grade with the rank at their position for 2025.

Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, Tristan Wirfs (93/2nd OT...85/4th, 92/3rd), Penei Sewell (95/1st OT...80/11th, 97/1st), Trent Williams (92/3rd OT...80/12th, 93/2nd), Garrett Bolles (89/5th OT...91/1st, 81/14th),  Matt Stafford, Baker Mayfield

Cam Ward, Jaxson Dart, Jayden Daniels, Creed Humphrey (89/1st OC...84/1st, 89/2nd), Puka Nacua, Andrew Thomas (90/4th OT...87/3rd, 85/7th), Rashawn Slater (2024 numbers: 91/2nd OT...90/3rd, 78/15th), Justin Jefferson, Drake Maye

Jordan Mailata (88/6th OT...82/6th, 82/6th), Laremy Tunsil (85/8th OT...89/2nd, 75/21st), Grey Zabel (From Wk14 on, the SEA march to SB: 82/8th OG...79/10th, 82/5th...9 grades in the playoffs), Brock Purdy, Sam Darnold, Quinn Meinerz (89/1st OG...71/20th, 92/1st),  Zach Tom (84/7th OT...79/15th, 82/12th), Kolton Miller (hurt 2025, 2024: 81/14th OT, 82/11th, 72/25th), Aaron Brewer (87/2nd OC...71/10th, 92/1st), Quinyon Mitchell, Christian Gonzalez, Dak Prescott

Sauce Gardner, Derek Stingley, Christian Darrisaw (healthy...he’s top tier, but injuries are killing him), Tyler Linderbaum (80/4th OC...63/22nd, 84/4th), Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Aaron Rodgers, Jordan Love, Travis Hunter, Peter Skoronski (79/5th OG...85/2nd, 73/10th)

Joey Porter Jr., George Pickens, Malik Willis, Breece Hall, Parker Washington, Kelvin Banks (74/29th OT...70/41st, 76/19th), Will Anderson, Armand Membou (73/31st OT...74/31st, 72/27th), Erik McCoy (68/16th OC...84/1st, 62/25th)

 

----------------------------------------------------------

 

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*Our Betting Subscription offering (including private Discord chat access):  https://ffmetrics.com/betting/betting

 

 

 

=====================

5/20 WED

(6:15amET)

 

Today/tomorrow

 -- FAUX 2026 Computer Simulated season 1.0...a 10-part daily series studying, going through the win-loss projections of the season a couple weeks at a time.

 -- New Scouting Report (Adam Randall)

 -- IDP Dynasty projections 1.0 posted Monday.

 -- DRD rankings will now settle into once a week (min.) publishing the DRD top 300+ updates and adding/updating commentaries, etc. Likely every THU or FRI the rest of the preseason.   

 -- Miscellaneous reports on things that come my way and more scouting reports to come. I have a backlog of them to get published already.

  

This Week’s/Month’s Agenda…

 -- 2026 Draft Guide studies and commentary writing is about to start...all month of May. More info on timings of the first reports to hit, etc., coming/debuting 2nd-half of May.   

 -- DRD valuations/rankings top 300+ board updates/adds to everyday post-NFL Draft week and every week through the entire offseason.

 -- Prospect grades by position and rookie rankings boards are being debuted, updated and added to daily/weekly up to kick off 2026.

 -- Dynasty and Best Ball rankings audits/updates daily/weekly.

 -- Holy series QB and RB done. Holy RB Handcuffs underway (on hold for draft, since we’re this close)

 -- Full scouting reports on various prospects from now until the NFL preseason. Deeper looks at Demond Claiborne, Adam Randall, Kaelon Black, Cyrus Allen all on deck.

 -- Any FFM News & Notes or Special Reports during the day as I get them.

 -- New coaching staff hire’s analysis series...going through the entire staff...I am working on the framework of how I want to present that. This will be a first ever series (for me) where I go beyond ‘just the new head coaches’. ETA in May/June to start it up.

 

 

 == NEWS & NOTES & Xs ==

 

 -- HEADLINE #1: KSHB’s Matt Foster reports Chiefs WR Rashee Rice violated his probation by testing positive for marijuana. Rice reportedly tested positive for marijuana, released in court documents dated Tuesday, 19 May. The court order states that the defendant (Rice) was placed in custody Tuesday and has been ordered to serve 30 days in jail, to end 16 June.

HEADLINE #2: ESPN’s Adam Schefter reports Chiefs WR Rashee Rice is expected to be sidelined two months due to a clean-up surgery on his right knee.

This guy is never gonna wise up. He doesn’t have it in him. He’s an idiot...you can tell it when you listen to him talk. But does it ever FF-matter? Not yet. Eventually it will.

The NFL is starting to naturally flush themselves of turds like this...not for anything purposeful the NFL is doing, they couldn’t do anything smart on purpose if they tried...it’s the young kids (and their parents) coming up through the system see that there are pots of gold to capture in playing football, so now high school and college football is pumping out Honor Roll students and great community/charity work humans who also live in the gym and eat perfectly and don’t drink or do drugs and don’t date much or abuse women or steal crab legs from grocery stores, etc.

I was stunned when scouting this year’s class at how many daft prospects had such ‘boy scout’ backgrounds/resume’s.

Rashee Rice’s era is pretty much the last of the idiots that get revered/excused...Rashee and George Pickens, Keon Coleman and guys of that ilk are not gonna even get a chance in the NFL in a few years. The future is one of Amon-Ra St. Brown’s and not the Tyreek Hill’s. Diego Pavia may be the tip of the spear of “if you don’t act right, you’re out/not welcome...no matter if you’re talented or not.”

For now, Rashee will continue to get away with things.

Don’t forget -- this is the guy Patrick Mahomes connected with and had to have out of Rice’s draft. Do we need to question Mahomes’ leadership/mental acumen?

 

 -- HEADLINE: The Philadelphia Inquirer’s Jeff McLane reports the Eagles offense in 2026 “is expected to have Shanahan/McVay influences.”

Jalen Hurts is not a Shanahan/McVay style QB?

I really hate the setup, and coaching, on the Eagles in 2026.

 

 -- More things of interest involving Jalen Hurts...

https://x.com/mlfootball/status/2056504981633556673?s=43

 

 -- A must read/note on Fibula fractures and performance the following year...

https://x.com/ryanj_heath/status/2056752913913991666?s=43

 

-- This is a fun/interesting read...

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-2026-scheduling-quirks-oddities/

 

 -- RC’s “Tales from the Road...

Two kinda weird stories from the road yesterday.

1) Mid-morning, I scoped out an exit in a nice-looking area that had a Chik Fil A.

I am being more maniacal about only supporting great service businesses and punishing (not giving my money to) bad service/quality businesses (like McDonald’s, Cracker Barrel, Wendy’s, etc.).

I hit Chik Fil A multiple times this road trip. Quality food...great service...and usually clean bathrooms.

This particular Chik Fil A, I mobile ordered my food for pickup after I parked, then raced into the store to hit their restroom. I go in and it’s a one urinal and one seater...and the seater was occupied. So, I went outside the door and waited...and waited. But I couldn’t wait much longer. There were only 3-4 people in the store. No one in line for food. So, I had to make an emergency decision.

A first for me...

I trepidatiously opened the women’s bathroom door...not sure what horror I might find/cause. Thankfully, no one was in there. Two empty seats with stall doors opened. I ‘went for it’. I was praying to God that no women would walk in...and thankfully my prayers were answered. I did a quick military mission operation and bolted out of there undetected by the fairer species (so they say...).

I made many memories on this vacation/trip. This was one of them... Fortunately, it wasn’t a worse memory. Instead it was lighthearted and felt like I committed a crime that I will never get caught on.

2) So, I travel with a plug-in, pretty decent sized travel refrigerator...which has been awesome on all my solo trips or trips with my wife. One of the best things I’ve ever received as a gift (from my wife).

Keeps my drinks ice cold for travelling, no $3 bottles of soda on the road for us. Got all I need with my fridge that carries about 20+ cans if I wanted it to. And I can bring it into the hotel room and plug it in an outlet and keep the drinks cold there too...especially great for hotel stays with those crappy mini-fridges.

But it is also good for me to be able to take my dog’s ‘FreshPet’ food she’s now hooked on. So, when my girl Molly comes with me--I double Ziplock bag her food and toss it in there for the road trip. Monday night I got the FreshPet out and prepared her bowl as I listened to some stock market podcast and was watching the NBA playoff game on mute...and as she ate, I went back to work.

I got up Tuesday morning, and went to prepare some more FreshPet for her while I did my morning work...and where did I put that? It wasn’t in my fridge, so I must have put it in the full fridge at a TownePlace Suites. Nope...not there. Dammit! I forgot to put it back into the fridge because I was distracted. It was just sitting there, blended in among some stuff on the kitchen counter.

I have some various travel treats for her, but no real meal stuff for her otherwise. What to do? Well, she doesn’t typically eat in the morning, so I just gave her some healthy treats Tuesday morning and packed up and we headed out on the road. On our trip, she shared some of my Starbucks Lemon Loaf and then some of my Chik Fil A at lunch. Then I ordered dinner. I had an UberEats gift card given to me and decided to use it at the hotel because I just didn’t want to leave out again because it was super-hot outside and I was feeling sick from my therapies and radiation final recovery...all good excuses to order in.

So, I made my order...but I had to be sure to pick a place that had a grilled chicken option so I could feed my dog. So, I got a Red Robin burger, fries, campfire sauce...and a kid’s meal grilled chicken for Molly...and we ate our Red Robin dinner together. No one was happier that I ruined the FreshPet than Molly girl when she got to chomp down on a freshly grilled chicken breast and a few fries.

I have never ordered a meal for a dog before...nor have I ever singularly snuck in and used the women’s rest room before (without my wife running interference/keeping guard). Two firsts for me to add to my trip diary.

Tomorrow, Molly and I head for home...finally!

 

 

 == QUOTES & QUOTABLES (pulled from an internet A.I. search, I try to make sure it’s accurate but some of it is ‘trust in AI’) ==

 -- After the season, Philadelphia fired offensive coordinator Kevin Patullo and an ESPN report detailed friction between Jalen Hurts and the organization, including head coach Nick Sirianni. One team source called the three-time Pro Bowler “not always bought in, not the most coachable.” That didn’t match Loeffler’s experience. “I absolutely loved it,” Loeffler said of his time in Philly.

I loved the people, really loved working with Jalen Hurts and the rest of the quarterbacks. We’ve got a great relationship, still to this day, and I wish him nothing but the best. He’s a super coachable, championship-type of guy, and being able to work with him for a year was awesome. He’s a champion in every aspect of the word. He’s hard working, smart, and he’s a great competitor.”

How about his continued work with Hurts? Naturally, the photo Hurts posted on April 18 of a training session with Loeffler — long after the Eagles had hired a new QB coach — lit up talk radio in Philadelphia, with many interpreting it as a shot across the bow. “Now, he’s with the new staff, and he’s got to be around them 100 percent of the time,” Loeffler said. “I was just continuing to work on the fundamentals and techniques that we started. He liked what we did, and I just wanted to brush his toolbox up and clean his toolbox up to be able to go out and start work with the new staff. I wish nothing but great success for the Eagles and Jalen, in particular.”

 

 -- Conflicting medical opinions:  https://x.com/jmthrivept/status/2055807700882378953?s=43

 

 -- Brian Flores, the former Miami Dolphins head coach and now Minnesota Vikings defensive coordinator, has been in a legal fight with the NFL for over four years in a case that currently sits with the Supreme Court. In February 2022, he sued the league and three teams -- the Dolphins, Broncos and Giants -- for being "rife with racism," in their hiring and promotion of Black coaches.

Among his allegations: that Dolphins owner Stephen Ross offered him $100,000 per loss in 2019 to help with the team's draft position and that the Giants and Broncos conducted "sham" in-person interviews with him to comply with the Rooney Rule. He was fired on Jan. 10, 2022, despite leading the Dolphins' first back-to-back winning seasons since 2003

 

 -- "I'd say it's probably the best I've felt in my career at this point in the year... I feel really good." Dalton Kincaid says he's not even thinking about his knee anymore.

 

 -- (YAHOO) "For me, (this season) it's make or break," Keon Coleman said.

"[If you are] (expletive), you might not be here. Simple as that, [simply] put, man. ... I know what I'm capable of. So, if I fall anything short of that, I'm doing myself a disservice and my team."

Coleman noted that it's time for him to put it all together, but he isn't worried about the outside noise.

"I mean, it's on the outside," Coleman said. "That's why it's on the outside. I just don't let it bother me. So it just is what it is.

"I know what they saying. I hear it. I just don't care. You know what I'm saying? None of them going to come lace them up and try to stand in front of me. None of those things. So, it's just people say they going to say what they want to say. At the end of the day, my job is to come out here, put my cleats on, strap them up, and prove my worth."

Coleman finished his second season with 38 catches, 404 receiving yards and four touchdowns in only 13 games. The receiver found himself on the sidelines more than he would've liked, another thing he addressed on May 19.

"Getting benched four games, some (expletive) like that. Unacceptable," Coleman said. "Ended off on a decent note, had a touchdown [in the playoffs], so that was – I wouldn't even call that a confidence boost, it was just a positive to end the season on. But we lost. So, that was another negative to erase that. But, I mean, I don't need self-motivation, though. I know what I am here to do and what I am capable of doing."

 

 -- "Deshaun has a great chance, fresh start, offensive-minded coach, who has, in his past, been able to work with all kinds of different quarterbacks and make him successful," Jimmy Haslam said at the league meetings in Phoenix two months ago. "So Deshaun has a great chance to do that now."

 

 -- "Tom leaving was absolutely the right thing for him to do," Bill Belichick told Sean Hannity.

"We didn’t have a good team in 2020. We just didn’t have a good football team. We had all those guys that left –[Rob] Gronkowski and [Julian] Edelman. Most of our team was gone. [Devin] McCourty and a few others were still there, but they were about to go too. We were just at the end."

Belichick added that he was happy things worked out for Brady, saying they would've gone much differently if he had stayed in New England.

"It wouldn’t have gone well in 2020 in New England," he said. "On this, I can guarantee that. We put everything we had into the '19 season, including paying him a lot of money at the end of the year without anything for it. There was no first right of refusal, there was no franchise tag, nothing.

"And so we all understood that there was a good chance he would leave. And I think he made a great career decision, obviously. I wish we could have done more, but we went as far as we could. And look, he proved it – he played longer than anybody, played at a higher level than anybody. And again, tremendous credit to him. Nobody else did that – that was him."

 

 -- (PFT) Running back Derrick Henry down on the ground holding his knee is just about the last thing that the Ravens want to see at an OTA practice, but they got a glimpse of it on Tuesday.

Henry stayed down for a bit after banging knees with a teammate during drills. He eventually got up and got more work in 11-on-11 drills before giving himself a clean bill of health while speaking to reporters.

I laid on the ground a little bit. The ground felt like a bed for a little while,” Henry said, via the team’s website. “And I saw you all looked hot and bored, so I was like, ‘I’ve got to give them something to tweet and write.’”

 

 -- (PFT) Falcons quarterback Michael Penix isn’t a full participant in the team’s OTA practices this week, but his recovery from a torn ACL has gone well enough for him to take part in 7-on-7 work at this point in the offseason.

Penix said on Tuesday that he “feels like himself” on the field and that his goal has “always been” to be ready for the team’s season opener in September. Once Penix is cleared for full football activities, Penix will have to beat out Tua Tagovailoa to start against the Steelers in Pittsburgh.

That competition has miles to go and Penix said his focus will be on his road rather than on anything Tagovailoa is doing.

I’m running my own race,” Penix said, via the team’s website. “I can’t look into another lane. But at the same time, we are working together. That’s what its all about. Working together and working with each other to finish the race.”

 

 

Your moment of Zen for this day...

https://x.com/HectorCama80562/status/2056878297640780188?s=20

One of the GOATs that came up in my feed today: https://youtu.be/Z_XbtYfrNYI?si=2d2MuKAZmlvgXKez

 

 

 == New Daily Series ==

Let’s rank The Best players/The Most Important players in the NFL!

The NFL does that series each summer where the players (and maybe others?) vote on the top 100 for the prior season, and the outcome (to me) is like a voting by people who never watch football besides highlights and people without a clue voting in very bizarre ways. You know this series, right?

Well, I was wanting to do a kinda top 100 type thing myself, but I am going to tone it down to the top 64...but using two players from each team, so it may be more of a true top 40-50(?) with some forced stragglers on there for the player’s after 40-50+...but it should be ‘close enough’ and ‘interesting enough’, and I guarantee my rankings will be way different than the NFL voting.

I’ll do a team a day, two players from it and when we get enough you’ll see 4-5 tiers develop. I’ll go alphabetical order, but to switch up my usual pattern...I’ll do a reverse alphabetical order. We start with Washington and add two more each day until we get to Arizona.

*When I have an offensive lineman, I’m going to add their overall grades from PFF last year for some context...XX Overall Grade/rank at their position...XX/x, XX/x Pass/Run Block grade with the rank at their position for 2025.

Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, Tristan Wirfs (93/2nd OT...85/4th, 92/3rd), Penei Sewell (95/1st OT...80/11th, 97/1st), Trent Williams (92/3rd OT...80/12th, 93/2nd), Garrett Bolles (89/5th OT...91/1st, 81/14th),  Matt Stafford, Baker Mayfield

Cam Ward, Jaxson Dart, Jayden Daniels, Creed Humphrey (89/1st OC...84/1st, 89/2nd), Puka Nacua, Andrew Thomas (90/4th OT...87/3rd, 85/7th), Rashawn Slater (2024 numbers: 91/2nd OT...90/3rd, 78/15th), Justin Jefferson, Drake Maye

Jordan Mailata (88/6th OT...82/6th, 82/6th), Laremy Tunsil (85/8th OT...89/2nd, 75/21st), Grey Zabel (From Wk14 on, the SEA march to SB: 82/8th OG...79/10th, 82/5th...9 grades in the playoffs), Brock Purdy, Sam Darnold, Quinn Meinerz (89/1st OG...71/20th, 92/1st),  Zach Tom (84/7th OT...79/15th, 82/12th), Kolton Miller (hurt 2025, 2024: 81/14th OT, 82/11th, 72/25th), Aaron Brewer (87/2nd OC...71/10th, 92/1st), Quinyon Mitchell, Christian Gonzalez

Sauce Gardner, Derek Stingley, Christian Darrisaw (healthy...he’s top tier, but injuries are killing him), Tyler Linderbaum (80/4th OC...63/22nd, 84/4th), Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Aaron Rodgers, Jordan Love, Travis Hunter, Peter Skoronski (79/5th OG...85/2nd, 73/10th)

Joey Porter Jr., Malik Willis, Breece Hall, Parker Washington, Kelvin Banks (74/29th OT...70/41st, 76/19th), Will Anderson, Armand Membou (73/31st OT...74/31st, 72/27th), Erik McCoy (68/16th OC...84/1st, 62/25th)

 

----------------------------------------------------------

 

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=====================

5/19 TUE

(6:11am CST)

 

Today/tomorrow

 -- FAUX 2026 Computer Simulated season 1.0...a 10-part daily series studying, going through the win-loss projections of the season a couple weeks at a time.

 -- IDP Dynasty projections 1.0 posted yesterday.

 -- DRD rankings will now settle into once a week (min.) publishing the DRD top 300+ updates and adding/updating commentaries, etc. Likely every THU or FRI the rest of the preseason.   

 -- Miscellaneous reports on things that come my way and more scouting reports to come. I have a backlog of them to get published already.

  

This Week’s/Month’s Agenda…

 -- 2026 Draft Guide studies and commentary writing is about to start...all month of May. More info on timings of the first reports to hit, etc., coming/debuting 2nd-half of May.   

 -- DRD valuations/rankings top 300+ board updates/adds to everyday post-NFL Draft week and every week through the entire offseason.

 -- Prospect grades by position and rookie rankings boards are being debuted, updated and added to daily/weekly up to kick off 2026.

 -- Dynasty and Best Ball rankings audits/updates daily/weekly.

 -- Holy series QB and RB done. Holy RB Handcuffs underway (on hold for draft, since we’re this close)

 -- Full scouting reports on various prospects from now until the NFL preseason. Deeper looks at Demond Claiborne, Adam Randall, Kaelon Black, Cyrus Allen all on deck.

 -- Any FFM News & Notes or Special Reports during the day as I get them.

 -- New coaching staff hire’s analysis series...going through the entire staff...I am working on the framework of how I want to present that. This will be a first ever series (for me) where I go beyond ‘just the new head coaches’. ETA in May/June to start it up.

 

 

 == NEWS & NOTES & Xs ==

 

 -- HEADLINE: ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reports Deshaun Watson has “hit it off with Todd Monken” ahead of Browns OTAs.

The person I met with last night happened to comment on this situation...he believes/confirms that Watson is taking that job (or already has) from the competition, and that Shedeur can feel it and is trying (with Deion’s help) to get traded away from Cleveland.

My contact said to get ready for Shedeur to be traded to Dallas, as Jerry does Deion a ‘solid’. That’s his top ‘murmuring’ he’s hearing on Shedeur’s next landing spot...but a trade to Dallas is just talk/guessing by insiders at this point. My friend also said something else to me that made a lot of sense...

One of the reasons why there’s not much of a Shedeur market/why Deion can’t push for/create a move (like he’s trying to) is that--Deion has nothing to offer an NFL owner.

A couple years ago, some NFL coaches were kinda interested in befriending Deion so they could get inside intel on his Colorado players when they hit the draft...but then Deion’s Colorado program turned to crap, and no one is interested in his opinion/intel on football players anymore.

People inside the NFL think he should/will be fired (in general) at Colorado after the 2026 season, at the latest 2027, for poor performance--but it’s not as easy as you’d think...

(from GEMINI): In March 2025, Deion Sanders and the University of Colorado agreed to a massive five-year, $54 million contract extension that runs through the 2029 season.  Under the terms of his deal, if Colorado decides to fire him without cause (i.e., "dump him" simply for poor on-field performance), the university is on the hook to pay him 75% of his remaining salary. 

Firing a coach with that kind of price tag attached is virtually impossible for Colorado right now. As of late 2025, reports indicated that the Colorado athletic department was facing a record financial deficit driven heavily by climbing player costs and Sanders's $10 million annual salary. Paying $25.5 million in dead money just to make him go away after 2026 would be financially devastating.

This massive buyout penalty—combined with the massive national exposure and enrollment spikes he still generates for Boulder—is exactly why Colorado's Athletic Director recently responded to fan complaints about a rough 2025 season by bluntly stating, "The seat is not hot."

The drama is just beginning in Cleveland...and Colorado...as it pertains to the Sanders’s.

 

 -- Speaking of ridiculously awful football coaches...

Justice was served: https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/urban-meyer-loses-30-million-004328130.html

 

 -- RC’s “Tales from the Road”...

From Texas to Louisiana to Mississippi yesterday. It’s a really casual/pleasant drive. I’m purposefully avoiding Atlanta altogether and the Greenville, SC/I-85 construction on my way back to NC. It adds an hour+ more drive to go over the top and drop back down, but it is100% less stress.

I also got to meet up with a friend/football contact for a nice visit. I thank him for driving all the way over.

I don’t have anything major/detailed I can report from my friend. He wants to keep his profile low. He did weigh in on Deshaun (above). And he did say it was OK to say we talked about Rico Dowdle, but I can’t get into detail...just consider our various rankings on him is all I’m gonna say.

He was also telling me all along (for months) that De’Von Achane was staying in Miami, but I was skeptical.

Off to Knoxville today PLUS back to East coast time, then finally home Wednesday. The next posts from me will be this evening, once I get to my nightly stop.

 

 

 == QUOTES & QUOTABLES (pulled from an internet A.I. search, I try to make sure it’s accurate but some of it is ‘trust in AI’) ==

 -- Saints QB Tyler Shough said Jordyn Tyson is “an elite separator.”

 -- Steelers OT Troy Fautanu said the team wants him to move to left tackle.

 -- Saints GM Mickey Loomis said the team is “trying to see” how Alvin Kamara will fit on the roster in 2026.

 -- NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport reports Jacoby Brissett was not present for the start of the Cardinals’ voluntary OTAs.

 -- Cardinals wide receiver Michael Wilson said he understands why Brissett is holding out but added that the "organization is going to keep going."

"I'm not going to hold anything against Jacoby because he's trying to figure out his situation, which I think everyone in the building understands and can relate to that," Wilson said. "But hopefully, we can get Jacoby back whenever that situation figures itself out, but it's just business as usual."

"I mean, obviously we love to have Jacoby," Wilson said. "I think words can't describe how I feel about playing with Jacoby. Obviously, what he did for my career, I'm forever indebted to him."

 -- (YAHOO) Cam Skattebo indicated during Monday’s Town Hall event at the Bergen Theatre that he isn’t as far along in his return from last season’s devastating leg injury as might have been hoped. “I’m a little ways off, not too far, but I’ll be ready to go,” Skattebo said. “Week 1, I’ll be ready to go.”

 -- (PFT) During the extended interview with Pardon My Take, the issue of Belichick’s “no days off” motto came up. After all these years, Belichick explained that it doesn’t reflect a maniacal mandate to working every single day but a commitment to working hard on work days.

Most people don’t really understand what that means — or what it meant to us, I should say — what it meant to us,” Belichick said. “What it meant to us was, when you come to work, you go to work. You don’t come to work and dillydally around and like, ‘I was here, I broke a sweat, I showed up,’ and go home. That’s a day off.

When we said, ‘no days off,’ we meant, ‘You come to work, you’re ready to work, you’re prepared, you put in a good day’s work,’ OK? Maybe tomorrow’s an off day. . . . That’s fine. I’m not saying like, ‘Don’t take a day off.’ We’re saying, ‘Don’t come to the stadium and take a day off.’ And so the ‘no days off’ was when you come in here, man, we expect your best and we expect you to work at it. When we’re done, we’re done, and, you know, you’re with your family or you’re, you know, whatever you’re doing. Sure, there’s days off. But don’t take them here.”

 

 

Your moment of Zen for this day...

This is a very compelling video (7+ minutes). A causal interview with Darren Waller.

Especially listen out for what Mike McDaniel was planning to do at QB on ‘running it back’ (when he assumed he was still the Miami coach) in Miami with Waller...and who Waller thinks the Dolphins should build the team around:

https://youtu.be/JdlsLOyektw?si=rNS4npcjrwJVOp3h

 

 

 == New Daily Series ==

Let’s rank The Best players/The Most Important players in the NFL!

The NFL does that series each summer where the players (and maybe others?) vote on the top 100 for the prior season, and the outcome (to me) is like a voting by people who never watch football besides highlights and people without a clue voting in very bizarre ways. You know this series, right?

Well, I was wanting to do a kinda top 100 type thing myself, but I am going to tone it down to the top 64...but using two players from each team, so it may be more of a true top 40-50(?) with some forced stragglers on there for the player’s after 40-50+...but it should be ‘close enough’ and ‘interesting enough’, and I guarantee my rankings will be way different than the NFL voting.

I’ll do a team a day, two players from it and when we get enough you’ll see 4-5 tiers develop. I’ll go alphabetical order, but to switch up my usual pattern...I’ll do a reverse alphabetical order. We start with Washington and add two more each day until we get to Arizona.

*When I have an offensive lineman, I’m going to add their overall grades from PFF last year for some context...XX Overall Grade/rank at their position...XX/x, XX/x Pass/Run Block grade with the rank at their position for 2025.

Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, Penei Sewell (95/1st OT...80/11th, 97/1st), Trent Williams (92/3rd OT...80/12th, 93/2nd), Tristan Wirfs (93/2nd OT...85/4th, 92/3rd), Matt Stafford, Baker Mayfield

Cam Ward, Jaxson Dart, Jayden Daniels, Creed Humphrey (89/1st OC...84/1st, 89/2nd), Puka Nacua, Andrew Thomas (90/4th OT...87/3rd, 85/7th), Rashawn Slater (2024 numbers: 91/2nd OT...90/3rd, 78/15th), Justin Jefferson, Drake Maye

Jordan Mailata (88/6th OT...82/6th, 82/6th), Laremy Tunsil (85/8th OT...89/2nd, 75/21st), Grey Zabel (From Wk14 on, the SEA march to SB: 82/8th OG...79/10th, 82/5th...9 grades in the playoffs), Brock Purdy, Quinyon Mitchell, Christian Gonzalez, Sam Darnold, Aaron Brewer (87/2nd OC...71/10th, 92/1st), Zach Tom (84/7th OT...79/15th, 82/12th), Kolton Miller (hurt 2025, 2024: 81/14th OT, 82/11th, 72/25th)

Sauce Gardner, Derek Stingley, Christian Darrisaw (healthy...he’s top tier, but injuries are killing him), Tyler Linderbaum (80/4th OC...63/22nd, 84/4th), Jared Goff, Daniel Jones, Aaron Rodgers, Jordan Love, Travis Hunter, Peter Skoronski (79/5th OG...85/2nd, 73/10th)

Joey Porter Jr., Malik Willis, Breece Hall, Parker Washington, Kelvin Banks (74/29th OT...70/41st, 76/19th), Will Anderson, Armand Membou (73/31st OT...74/31st, 72/27th), Erik McCoy (68/16th OC...84/1st, 62/25th)

 

----------------------------------------------------------

 

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*Our Betting Subscription offering (including private Discord chat access):  https://ffmetrics.com/betting/betting

 

 

 

=====================

5/18 MON

(4:53amCST)

 

Today/tomorrow

 -- FAUX 2026 Computer Simulated season 1.0...a 10-part daily series studying, going through the win-loss projections of the season a couple weeks at a time.

 -- IDP Dynasty projections 1.0

 -- New Scouting Report: DT Caleb Banks

 -- DRD rankings will now settle into once a week (min.) publishing the DRD top 300+ updates and adding/updating commentaries, etc. Likely every THU or FRI the rest of the preseason.   

 -- Miscellaneous reports on things that come my way and more scouting reports to come. I have a backlog of them to get published already.

  

This Week’s/Month’s Agenda…

 -- 2026 Draft Guide studies and commentary writing is about to start...all month of May. More info on timings of the first reports to hit, etc., coming/debuting 2nd-half of May.   

 -- DRD valuations/rankings top 300+ board updates/adds to everyday post-NFL Draft week and every week through the entire offseason.

 -- Prospect grades by position and rookie rankings boards are being debuted, updated and added to daily/weekly up to kick off 2026.

 -- Dynasty and Best Ball rankings audits/updates daily/weekly.

 -- Holy series QB and RB done. Holy RB Handcuffs underway (on hold for draft, since we’re this close)

 -- Full scouting reports on various prospects from now until the NFL preseason. Deeper looks at Jam Miller, Kaelon Black, Cyrus Allen all on deck.

 -- Any FFM News & Notes or Special Reports during the day as I get them.

 -- New coaching staff hire’s analysis series...going through the entire staff...I am working on the framework of how I want to present that. This will be a first ever series (for me) where I go beyond ‘just the new head coaches’. ETA in May/June to start it up.

 

 

 == NEWS & NOTES & Xs ==

 

 -- HEADLINE: Buccaneers GM Jason Licht said Bucky Irving (shoulder) “will be limited during organized team activities but should be ready for training camp.” Tampa Bay Times’ Rick Stroud describes Irving as “the chair” of what looks to be a running back by committee with Kenneth Gainwell and Sean Tucker.

I’ve had a bad feeling about Bucky Irving all offseason, and I do think that Kenneth Gainwell signing is going to have some kind of negative FF-impact on Bucky, at a minimum (like RB2 is more likely than RB1). At maximum, there may be a battle for the lead role week-to-week.

Bucs beat reporter Rick Stroud has a good insight into many TB things...

https://www.tampabay.com/sports/bucs/2026/05/16/bucky-irving-kenneth-gainwell-sean-tucker-rachaad-white-zac-robinson/

 

Zac Robinson’s words from the Stroud report:

I think there’s always a sweet spot with the number of carries throughout the course of the season that you’re trying to hit with those guys,” Robinson said. “And then sometimes, sure, he’s running the rock great and he ends up with 25 carries, but he’s got 140 yards and you’re like, ‘Man, we needed every single one.’

“So there is a fine balance with it. But in terms of run concepts, I think Bucky can run everything. You know, he’s got some toughness, so you have to kind of save him from himself sometimes just because he is such a mentally tough, physically tough player. But yeah, I’m excited to see just what Bucky can (do).

Better yet would be seeing Irving and Gainwell both on the field.

Obviously, we’re missing (Irving) right now, but once he gets out there, I think it’s going to be great to see him and Kenny go hand in hand,” Robinson said. “Shoot, one guy might get this amount the next week. They might end up balanced, feeling the hot hand, and we’ll see where it goes.”

 

Every time I think about Bucky Irving for FF 2026, this plays in my head: https://youtu.be/FoIo33eOQw0?si=x4aWMkSwFY7Mqg7C

.

 -- HEADLINE: The Athletic’s Joseph Person reports the Panthers aren’t expected to extend Bryce Young before the 2026 season.

Smart. Very smart. Don’t do it. Don’t commit long term to him or your franchise we’ll never get to the promised land! For the sake of Tet, please don’t do it!!!

Young/rookie QBs aren’t worth what they used to be.

The 2023 NFL Draft:

#1 pick Bryce Young...not early extended.

#2 pick C.J. Stroud...not early extended.

#4 pick Anthony Richardson...colossal bust.

And I was right there chirping about Stroud and AR as top of the draft assets. 2022 and 2023 were the pivot points but the NFL hasn’t fully noticed yet, and in 2023 none of us knew the sea change coming.

If I were an NFL GM, I would never draft a QB anymore. I’d do all my scouting and movement around guys who have been in the league as backups, developmentals and target them. Target the guy’s Shanahan, Ben Johnson, O’Connell, Coen, etc., are grooming.

Let other teams waste time and money riding the first few years of QBs, then you swoop in and get 1-2 of them in trade deals or as free agents.

I’d rather have trained/matured Tyson Bagent or Mac Jones on a decent 3-year deal than commit a fortune to any of the 2027 rookie QBs, at this point, except if I were the Indy GM especially, I’d consider Arch Manning or maybe Denver for the name appeal.  

If were to draft a QB out of college it would have to be Joe Burrow 2.0, and I wouldn’t be planning on ever having the #1 pick in any draft, so...

 

 

 -- RC’s “Tales from the Road”...

The Houston trip wraps up this morning, as I pack up for the 3-day trek back to home this day. I could do it in two days, but three reasons why I am not...

1) I like shorter days driving so I can enjoy it and it not be such a grind. Plus, in my condition with the meds I’m taking...taking more breaks and getting to the hotel for a nap is critical.

2) I could save time going through Atlanta but every time I go around/through ATL it is a nightmare. I don’t need that stress. The little longer way that I go back home was wonderful on the way out, so I’m following it on the way back.

3) Knowing I was going a longer/specific route back home, I set up meetings for FFM/business and to see family/friends to thank them for their support of my prostate cancer battle in each of my overnight stays on the way back, as I did on the way out. Tax write-offs baby!

This Houston trip is the most vacation-y type thing I’ve done in decades. It was great and weird.

My idea of a vacation is more on the relaxing side, but this trip has had something booked every hour it seemed. All good and wonderful things I did, but now I am a week behind on work. I tried to cram work in the morning and at night but there wasn’t as much time as I had hoped. And my point on doing this trip was not work and definitely not overwork.

I am focused on 2026 schedule release studies...so, I am behind on answering emails and working on the draft guide and IDP rankings. I got 3 weeks to crunch/catchup before my next trip...planned a year ago+ before I knew I had cancer -- a 30th anniversary trip to Niagara Falls. We’ve tried to go to the Falls at our 25- and 20-year marks, but COVID and a freak thing that closed the hotel for 2 weeks last second, one of them when we were booked a year ahead. Maybe this time we’ll actually get to go for our first time ever!!

So many great memories made on this Houston trip, but I am ready to get back to normal...in 3 days...because the next 3 days are travel home and work at the hotel days.

 

 

 == QUOTES & QUOTABLES (pulled from an internet A.I. search, I try to make sure it’s accurate but some of it is ‘trust in AI’) ==

 -- Kayshon Boutte latest? https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/patriots-trade-rumor-reignited-romeo-133025842.html

 

 -- (YAHOO) Vincent Bonsignore, who used to cover the Los Angeles Rams as a beat writer and now cover the Las Vegas Raiders, authored a piece in the NY Post this week that explains how LA is facing “the most daunting schedule I’ve ever seen”.

While Bonsignore no longer covers the Rams, he was intimately familiar with how LA’s front office operates and applies a broader context with his overall NFL understanding. When Bonsignore speaks on the Rams, fans should listen. The Rams’ schedule will either test them as eventual champions or expose them for premature offseason hype:

Here is where the league did the Rams no favors whatsoever.

Not only do they have to wait until Week 11 to finally get a break with their bye week, but immediately after that respite they will gear up for one of the most brutal stretches of games we’ve ever seen.

It all starts with the Wednesday night Thanksgiving Eve game against the Packers at SoFi Stadium, followed by a Thursday night game at home against the Chiefs. Up next are the 49ers in Santa Clara, followed by a home game against the Cowboys.

If they survive all that with their heads above water and still in contention for the division title, a three-game mad dash to the finish line awaits them in which they’ll get two chances to knock out the Seahawks.

Or, vice versa.

 

 

Your moment of Zen for this day...

I shared this with my youngest son who never heard the song or seen this video before and has little/no idea of the MTV generation. I rewatched it and was kinda jamming out to it out of nowhere. I used to hate this song...now it’s kinda stuck in my head.

Now I’m gonna get it stuck in your head and in your eyes if you watch the video: https://youtu.be/5IsSpAOD6K8?si=VTAlvYiwK5frBnS2

The NFL should use this as the theme song for the NFL Draft each year...

 

 

 == New Daily Series ==

Let’s rank The Best players/The Most Important players in the NFL!

The NFL does that series each summer where the players (and maybe others?) vote on the top 100 for the prior season, and the outcome (to me) is like a voting by people who never watch football besides highlights and people without a clue voting in very bizarre ways. You know this series, right?

Well, I was wanting to do a kinda top 100 type thing myself, but I am going to tone it down to the top 64...but using two players from each team, so it may be more of a true top 40-50(?) with some forced stragglers on there for the player’s after 40-50+...but it should be ‘close enough’ and ‘interesting enough’, and I guarantee my rankings will be way different than the NFL voting.

I’ll do a team a day, two players from it and when we get enough you’ll see 4-5 tiers develop. I’ll go alphabetical order, but to switch up my usual pattern...I’ll do a reverse alphabetical order. We start with Washington and add two more each day until we get to Arizona.

*When I have an offensive lineman, I’m going to add their overall grades from PFF last year for some context...XX Overall Grade/rank at their position...XX/x, XX/x Pass/Run Block grade with the rank at their position for 2025.

Patrick Mahomes, Justin Herbert, Trent Williams (92/3rd OT...80/12th, 93/2nd), Tristan Wirfs (93/2nd OT...85/4th, 92/3rd), Matt Stafford, Baker Mayfield

Cam Ward, Jaxson Dart, Jayden Daniels, Creed Humphrey (89/1st OC...84/1st, 89/2nd), Puka Nacua, Andrew Thomas (90/4th OT...87/3rd, 85/7th), Rashawn Slater (2024 numbers: 91/2nd OT...90/3rd, 78/15th), Justin Jefferson, Drake Maye

Jordan Mailata (88/6th OT...82/6th, 82/6th), Laremy Tunsil (85/8th OT...89/2nd, 75/21st), Grey Zabel (From Wk14 on, the SEA march to SB: 82/8th OG...79/10th, 82/5th...9 grades in the playoffs), Brock Purdy, Quinyon Mitchell, Christian Gonzalez, Sam Darnold, Aaron Brewer (87/2nd OC...71/10th, 92/1st), Zach Tom (84/7th OT...79/15th, 82/12th), Kolton Miller (hurt 2025, 2024: 81/14th OT, 82/11th, 72/25th)

Sauce Gardner, Derek Stingley, Christian Darrisaw (healthy...he’s top tier, but injuries are killing him), Tyler Linderbaum (80/4th OC...63/22nd, 84/4th), Daniel Jones, Aaron Rodgers, Jordan Love, Peter Skoronski (79/5th OG...85/2nd, 73/10th),

Travis Hunter, Joey Porter Jr., Kelvin Banks (74/29th OT...70/41st, 76/19th), Malik Willis, Breece Hall, Parker Washington, Will Anderson, Armand Membou (73/31st OT...74/31st, 72/27th), Erik McCoy (68/16th OC...84/1st, 62/25th)

 

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