RC's Daily Notes 2025: For the Week of 6/2-6/8 (The Week That Was...)

: R.C. Fischer; FreeView; 08 June 2025

RC's daily streaming notes on football, and other, things going on this week...

Just an open page for me to drop notes/ideas/things I'm hearing/seeing/working on or just caffeinated or lack of sleep thoughts on football items.

6/8 SUN

(7:32amET)

-- This report could rattle anyone a bit...if they have lofty hopes for Christian McCaffrey for FF 2025...

https://www.si.com/nfl/49ers/news/realistic-expectations-49ers-christian-mccaffrey-2025

It’s a big bet to make on CMC’s health for 2025. If you knew he would go 17 games, with no injuries...if I knew that piece of info for sure, then he’d have to be the #1-2 projected RB in PPR for 2025 season.

But then there’s the injury risk after such an injury plagued 2024. So, I get avoiding him...and I get those taking gambles on him returning back to health for 2025. The team is out there saying he is healthy and looks good this offseason -- but they also lied to us about his issues last summer in the first place, so I don’t know if you can really trust their hype/hope.

The article referenced CMC at only hitting a max. speed of 17.4 MPH in his comeback to action last season...that is a bit worrisome, but maybe a tad overblown...as he wasn’t 100% upon return -- so, you have to factor that. You wanna see an RB hitting 18-20+ MPH regularly for maximum speed in games. 21+ MPH max. speed is top tier and only happens occasionally by players in a given season.

Out of curiosity, I went back to look at the max. speed plays/players last season.

The ten fastest plays/players in 2024 season from ballcarriers (according to Next Gen Stats...

RK	PLAYER	TEAM	POS	Speed (MPH)	Wk
1	KaVontae Turpin	DAL	WR	22.36	11
2	Brian Thomas Jr.	JAX	WR	22.15	5
3	Jahmyr Gibbs	DET	RB	22.03	8
4	Saquon Barkley	PHI	RB	21.93	7
5	Saquon Barkley	PHI	RB	21.91	12
6	Nico Collins	HOU	WR	21.89	1
7	James Cook	BUF	RB	21.85	13
8	KaVontae Turpin	DAL	WR	21.85	17
9	Jahmyr Gibbs	DET	RB	21.80	11
10	Jordan Addison	MIN	WR	21.80	7

Two players appear in the top 10 twice...Saquon and...KaVontae Turpin. Leave it up to Mike McCarthy to not get Turpin the ball more on offense. I complained about that most of the second-half of the season.

-- More fun with Next Gen Stats, since I’m in the software program looking at things...

Do you know which WR led the NFL in ‘average separation’ in 2024? Marvin Mims.

1) 5.2 yards = Mims

2) 4.3 yards = Khalil Shakir

3) 4.1 yards = Curtis Samuel

4) 4.0 yards = Jayden Reed

5) 4.0 yards = Olamide Zaccheaus

Keep in mind there is type of routes and blown coverages, etc., factored in, so to me it’s a messy...but interesting...datapoint. Slot type receivers have a built-in edge in this messy, often misleading stat.

OK, let’s reverse it...

Do you know which WRs were rated the lowest in the NFL in ‘average separation’ in 2024?

1) 2.0 yards = Keon Coleman

2) 2.0 yards = Marvin Harrison

3) 2.1 yards = A.J. Brown

4) 2.2 yards = Brandin Cooks

5) 2.3 yards = David Moore

Typically, the outside only (mostly) guys are gonna be here...and it’s more telling with their routes/coverage than with the slot and gadget guys. But of those types of WRs, these were the worst according to next gen numbers.

You know who I loved seeing on here!

-- Dynasty top 600 update planned for today. Best Ball update tonight or tomorrow.

-- More Jalen Royals hype from OTAs...

https://kckingdom.com/chiefs-rookie-already-forcing-way-into-playing-starters-01jwrgbbmgzn

Man, if Rashee Rice gets suspended for 8 or more games...

-- Draft Guide 2025 release timeline...

I’ve been releasing some individual reports for the Draft Guide over the past two weeks, but the entire draft guide and rankings and commentaries are still being worked on. Annually the actual draft guide ‘drops’ sometime in the 1st-half of June....same goes for this year.

But just to stay in touch on the timing, I will put the current ‘wait time’/timeline estimate here every day until release...for an FYI and to keep myself on schedule.

The current completion/posting pace that we’re on has an estimated release date of: Somewhere between June 10-15th. More specifically, June 12-13th is the pace I think we’re on right now, FYI.

-- Coming up on FFM today...

*Next scouting report will publish ASAP.

*Top 600 Dynasty and Best Ball top 600 + IDPs have all updated. Next update is planned for today.

*Next DRD top 300 rankings update will be Thursday/s all summer.

**Faux 1.0/Computer Simulated Season has ended but this week, the FFM analysts will be posting their Faux 1.0/2025 projected standings and playoffs/title winner. A different expert reveals their simulations Tue-Fri next week. Then we’ll have one big, consolidated report of ALL the simulations to compare and contrast this weekend.

**Special reports that pop up will be published all this week. I’m almost done my REWIND Report on Mr. Bryce Young. Just trying to get the Draft Guide work completed in a day with free time late to edit/clean up my rough draft.

=====================

**The FREE FFM APP (notes for those who have not signed up yet...)

-- The App is NOT automatically set up to recognize your FFM site credentials (username/password).

-- Sign up for the App as if you’re brand new to FFM...it’s a separate ‘thing’/brain from the site. You can use your same exact username/password signing up for the App, to keep it easy for you to remember.

-- Enable the App notifications to get a notification sent to your device when key reports are posted, and/or (especially) in-season when we get inside info/intel from sources before anyone else and it might be news we all need to FF-act on quickly before the world finds out.

-- App tip #1 (FYI): Upper Left (three lines) on App home page, click it, then click profile, then click ‘Push notifications’ – and you’ll see all the alerts we’ve sent in chronological order. App tip #2 (FYI)...if you see things posted but you got no device notification, but you are enabled for notifications…go to your phone’s ‘Settings’>Apps>FFM App>Click the Notifications off then on…like a reboot. I don't know why this works but it does to kick the phone back into business.

*Android App version may be unavailable this week as we have to file new papers with Google...there’s no more hassle in the world than the constant twists of paperwork compliance for Apps on Google or Apple. And the process is...they just freeze or disappear your App until you do the most minute thing they decided was needed that week. But it will be up again shortly, if not showing this day.

6/7 SAT

(6:47amET)

-- So, last night my YouTube popped up ‘The Savannah Bananas’ live game vs. some team in neon pink.

I keep seeing stories about how great the Savannah Banana experience is, but I’ve never paid any real attention to it. But the other day I saw people complaining about the high ticket prices, so I got a little more intrigued -- like, why is everyone talking about this so much and how are they charging so much for tickets and selling out places? There must be something neat here.

So, with all that...and not really wanting to work/needing a 10-minute mental break, I decided to click on the live Savannah Bananas game to see what was happening.

Two reactions...

1) They held this game on the home field stadium for the Carolina Panthers, and it was pretty crowded -- more people went to see a ‘Bananas’ game than the actual Panthers games at the Panthers’ home field. I was kinda shocked by the crowd size.

2) So, I watched a little of the pregame festivities and then observed the first inning.

Ummm...

I don’t get it.

I mean, I get it...they’re trying to be a bit wacky like the Harlem Globetrotters for baseball...but it really didn’t capture my attention. I’m sure kids love it. I guess there’s worse ways to spend your time but man for the price and the crowd size...not for me.

Apparently, there was a lottery for tickets for the game, or a recent game? They added a second game in Charlotte because it was sold out so quickly the first date they planned. I just went to go see what a ticket to tonight’s game was, just to see -- on the secondary market, on Ticketmaster resale marketplace...$158 to sit in the upper deck...3rd-base line, lower level, just a few left at $550-$1,150 per seat.

What?

I chose the wrong business.

https://youtube.com/shorts/WGubctNlsCw?si=3SWSlA4o4JvR8FtZ

Yeah, not my jam.

But I respect what the owner built. Here's a 60-Minutes interview of how this happened, that made me respect it a little more (13+ min, FYI): https://youtu.be/Hluf-1XUb2k?si=YXWXKKE5t-gz6R2C

-- I thought this little story/tidbit was funny...but it set off a mild panic for those into Kyle Monangai. Not to worry, if you’re hoping on him...he did well in the real 11-on-11 OTA scrimmages I’ve been told.

But here’s the story that scared his DRD ADP down a bit last week...

https://www.si.com/nfl/bears/news/chicago-bears-rookie-gets-ripped-by-coach-for-moving-like-an-old-man-at-otas-nfl

The words were shouted by the dreadful Bears RB coach, Eric Bieniemy. Memba, him? Remember, when we were all told what a great coach he was -- and how he simply must be hired by every team that had a coaching opening for like 3-4 years straight?

He didn’t run slow in the drill because he’s slow...he turned his ankle a little doing the drill, causing some slow down.

-- I was looking over a few Jonathan Taylor FF acquisition scenarios and I wanted to re-check/go more into detail on JT’s recent injury history...because he’s missed games for three straight years (played in 35 games out of a possible 51 games).

Here’s the report out on JT’s injury history from Grok, if you’re interested...

Jonathan Taylor, the Indianapolis Colts running back, has had a notable NFL injury history since entering the league in 2020, with a recurring theme of ankle issues alongside other injuries that have impacted his availability. Here’s a detailed breakdown of his injury history, the severity of those injuries, the games he missed, and his health outlook for 2025 based on available data.

Injury History and Severity

2022 Season: Persistent Ankle Issues

Taylor’s first significant injury came in 2022. He suffered a Grade 2 pedal ankle sprain in Week 4, which he aggravated in Week 8, and then sustained a more severe Grade 3 high-ankle sprain in Week 14 during a game against the Minnesota Vikings. A high-ankle sprain involves the ligaments above the ankle joint, which typically takes longer to heal than a standard sprain due to the complexity of the injury and the stress running backs place on their lower body.

The Grade 3 high-ankle sprain was severe enough that it was considered “highly unlikely” he would return that season, effectively ending his 2022 campaign. He underwent ankle surgery in January 2023 to address the damage, with no structural issues reported, but recovery extended into the following season.

2023 Season: Ankle Recovery, PUP List, and Thumb Injury

Following his 2022 surgery, Taylor started the 2023 season on the Physically Unable to Perform (PUP) list, meaning he was unable to practice or play for at least the first four weeks. He was still rehabbing his ankle, and there were also unconfirmed reports of a back injury sustained while training independently in Arizona, though Taylor and his agent denied these claims. The Colts considered placing him on the Non-Football Injury (NFI) list, which would have allowed them to withhold his salary, but this did not materialize.

Taylor missed the first four games of 2023 due to his ankle recovery. He returned in Week 5 but later suffered a right thumb injury in Week 12 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, where he had a strong performance (91 yards, 2 TDs). The thumb injury required surgery to repair a ligament tear, with an estimated recovery time of 3–5 weeks. The Colts opted not to place him on injured reserve, hoping for a quicker return, and he missed three games (Weeks 13–15). He returned in Week 16 against the Atlanta Falcons, playing with a protective brace on his thumb.

2024 Season: Another Ankle Sprain

In Week 4 of the 2024 season, Taylor suffered another high-ankle sprain, described as “mild” compared to his previous ankle injuries, during a game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Despite the less severe designation, he missed three consecutive games (Weeks 5–7) after not practicing following the injury. He returned in Week 8 against the Houston Texans, having practiced fully in the days leading up to the game.

Taylor has a history of dealing with ankle injuries, noting in 2024 that “ankles are nothing new to me,” indicating a recurring vulnerability in that area. High-ankle sprains, even when mild, can linger due to the physical demands of his position, as they affect stability and cutting ability.

Missed Games

Here’s a summary of the games Taylor missed due to injuries:

2022 Season: Missed the final three games (Weeks 16–18) due to the Grade 3 high-ankle sprain, after already missing two earlier games (Weeks 5–6) due to the initial ankle sprain and its aggravation, totaling 5 missed games.

2023 Season: Missed the first four games (Weeks 1–4) on the PUP list recovering from ankle surgery, and then three more games (Weeks 13–15) due to the thumb injury, totaling 7 missed games.

2024 Season: Missed three games (Weeks 5–7) due to the mild high-ankle sprain, totaling 3 missed games.

Total Missed Games (2020–2024): 5 (2022) + 7 (2023) + 3 (2024) = 15 games over three seasons. Taylor played all games in his rookie year (2020) and 2021, when he led the NFL in rushing yards (1,811) and touchdowns (18).

2025 Health Outlook

Current Health Status (as of May 20, 2025):

There are no specific reports of new injuries for Taylor in early 2025, suggesting he finished the 2024 season without further setbacks after returning in Week 8. His performance in 2024 was strong post-injury, with 1,431 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns over 14 games, averaging 4.7 yards per carry—his best output since 2021. He also had a notable game in Week 18 against the Jacksonville Jaguars, rushing for 177 yards, indicating he was healthy and effective late in the season.

Taylor was named to the 2025 Pro Bowl, alongside Colts teammates Zaire Franklin and Quenton Nelson, which further supports that he’s currently in good physical condition as of early 2025. The Pro Bowl selection reflects his on-field performance and lack of significant injury concerns at the end of 2024.

Health Outlook for 2025:

Positive Indicators: At 26 years old, Taylor is still in the prime of his career, and his 2024 season showed a resurgence after injury-plagued years. His 303 carries in 14 games in 2024 suggest he can handle a heavy workload, and his 4.7 yards per carry indicates he hasn’t lost his efficiency. The Colts’ offense, with Anthony Richardson at quarterback, is expected to create more running lanes for Taylor, as defenses must account for Richardson’s mobility, potentially reducing wear on Taylor.

Concerns: Taylor’s recurring ankle injuries are a significant concern. He’s now had at least four documented ankle sprains since entering the NFL (2022: two sprains; 2024: one sprain; plus recovery into 2023), which raises questions about long-term durability in that area. High-ankle sprains, even when mild, can lead to chronic instability if not fully healed, especially for a running back who relies on lateral cuts and explosive bursts. Additionally, his college and NFL workload—over 1,300 career touches—introduces mild durability concerns, as running backs often face a decline after heavy usage.

Receiving Role: Taylor’s limited role in the passing game (historically 20–40 receptions per season) might help reduce overall wear, but it also caps his fantasy value in PPR leagues. Anthony Richardson’s tendency to extend plays rather than check down to running backs suggests this trend will continue, meaning Taylor’s health will largely depend on his rushing workload.

Prognosis: As long as Taylor avoids further ankle issues, his outlook for 2025 is strong. He’s projected to remain the focal point of the Colts’ offense, with estimates of 1,400–1,600 rushing yards, 10–14 touchdowns, and 1,600–1,800 total scrimmage yards with 11–16 total touchdowns. However, his history of ankle injuries means there’s a non-negligible risk of missing time. The Colts’ lack of investment in running back depth (e.g., Zack Moss left for Cincinnati in 2024) suggests they’re confident in Taylor’s ability to stay healthy, but it also means they may not have a reliable backup if he does get injured.

Summary

Jonathan Taylor’s NFL injury history centers on recurring ankle sprains, with a severe high-ankle sprain in 2022 (missed 5 games), a thumb injury in 2023 (missed 7 games total, including 4 on the PUP list), and a milder high-ankle sprain in 2024 (missed 3 games). That’s 15 missed games across three seasons, with ankle issues being the primary concern. As of May 20, 2025, Taylor appears healthy, coming off a strong 2024 and a Pro Bowl nod.

His outlook for 2025 is optimistic, with potential for another elite season, but his ankle history and heavy workload mean there’s a moderate risk of future injuries. Fantasy managers should view him as a high-end RB1 with some injury risk, best paired with a reliable backup in case of setbacks.

RC NOTE: Just looking at his recent history, it makes you almost want to pencil in 1-3 games missed with an ankle sprain per season at the rate he’s been going. But he’s still young and he’s sustained nothing disastrous (major tears or breaks) on the injury front during this time -- and his 2nd-half run in 2024 was one of the best of his career, so he’s not showing any signs of winding down.

-- Draft Guide 2025 release timeline...

But just to stay in touch on the timing, I will put the current ‘wait time’/timeline estimate here every day until release...for an FYI and to keep myself on schedule.

The current completion/posting pace that we’re on has an estimated release date of: Somewhere between June 10-15th. More specifically, June 12-13th is the pace I think we’re on right now, FYI.

-- Coming up on FFM today...

*Next scouting report will publish ASAP.

*Top 600 Dynasty and Best Ball top 600 + IDPs have all updated. Next update is being pushed to next week...not enough change to need to force one this week/weekend.

*Next DRD top 300 rankings update will be Thursday/s all summer.

=====================

**The FREE FFM APP (notes for those who have not signed up yet...)

-- The App is NOT automatically set up to recognize your FFM site credentials (username/password).

6/6 FRI

(6:20amET)

-- Can you guess who the two highest paid tight ends are for the 2025 season...the two biggest CAP hits for 2025, as-is right now?

#1 is Travis Kelce, which is not a shock, at $19.8M ($14.1 guar)...he’s set to be paid $19.8M for what is likely his final NFL season.

#2? This one might shock you. Make your guess, and then find out who it is at the end of the notes today...

-- Aaron Rodgers is signing with the Steelers...the world can finally rejoice!

Nowhere else to go...one more cash grab season, my opinion...and I’m not anti-Rodgers, I think he’s still got a little juice left. But the places/teams he really wanted to go turned him down because Rodgers is becoming a minor version of what happened to Shedeur Sanders -- head coaches do not want to willingly work with a quarterback who thinks he’s above the coaching staff and is going to go on podcast platforms and potentially make waves every week...NFL coaches DO. NOT. WANT. THAT. They don’t want or need that in their lives. Can you blame them for not wanting to work with Shedeur Sanders (and Deion) or Aaron Rodgers? Coaches can’t control them.

Mike Tomlin had no other choice left...because no offensive player, especially a QB, really wants to go to Pittsburgh with Tomlin/Smith. Rodgers had no other real option, neither did Tomlin.

This whole ‘coach’s want control’ thing is why Baker got pushed out of Cleveland...and why guys like Will Levis (too intense, strange, and Baker-like) and Anthony Richardson (not really ‘into it’) are on the ropes -- their coaches don’t want to work with them. NFL coaches want dutiful, mature, studious Dillon Gabriel...they don’t want unstudied, immature Shedeur Sanders drama...fair or unfair, that’s the way it is. Once the coach ‘turns’ on you or ‘doesn’t like you’...it’s over, unless the QB is so talented they have no choice to work with them.

Look at what the Browns did -- dropped Baker like he was garbage and traded the world for and paid the worst contract in the NFL to Deshaun Watson, in heavy part because they ‘liked’ Deshaun’s dutiful, docile, compliant demeanor (pre-massagegate) and didn’t like Baker’s combativeness and questioning/speaking up for himself. This has all aged well for the Browns...

I say all this to throw out there: I think there is no way Aaron Rodgers and Arthur Smith can coexist or make beautiful offensive music together. No way. If there is a way...it’s that Arthur Smith has resigned himself to just rolling over, staying out of the way, and collecting his check. I just don’t think Arthur Smith has that DNA in him...he’s an angry, controlling man...and very controlling of an offense. Arthur Smith makes Todd Haley look like Jeff Spicoli.

This Rodgers-Smith union cannot go smoothly or end well...it will be polite and positive for the preseason -- and then get ready for the drama to unfold in September+.

Other quick thoughts on ‘Rodgers The Steeler’...

*My Faux simulated season 1.0 is all but blown up a bit now...Rodgers to the Steelers, Frank Ragnow retiring. I’ll do a Faux 2.0 earlier than I expected...probably late June/early July.

*Rodgers-to-PIT = really good news for Roman Wilson, I think.

Some may ask -- Who is Jeff Spicoli?

https://youtube.com/shorts/iVLvDv1vW0Y?si=GZ5KJZeXk-FDGe5d

-- FYI, I was observing two live Dynasty Rookie Drafts yesterday, and I just wanted to give a few quick observations on who seems ‘hot’ and who seems ‘a little cold’ from recent trends and seeing these two DRDs play out...

HOT:

1) Jaydon Blue...the reason people like TreVeyon Henderson and RJ Harvey, even if they profile more as pass game backs or guys you put in a duo or trio backfield, is people want to believe in the magical unicorn possibilities of rookies, and what goes with that is hating the old, boring other non-rookie RBs already on the team the rookie were drafted by -- so, R.J. Harvey is obviously better than boring old news Estime/McLaughlin (same people were pushing Estime as the magical unicorn rookie last year)...so Harvey must be considered an RB1 possibility! Ditto for TreVeyon over boring Rhamondre Stevenson and Antonio Gibson.

This cycle happens every single year without fail...the rookies are ‘holy’ and untapped upside before we see them ever play and thus they have overheated ADPs and valuations while the existing RBs, especially 3+ years in the league RBs are always undervalued because they aren’t hot magical rookies anymore.

Well, that ‘math’ is being done with Harvey and Henderson -- it is now hitting Blue. Blue is OBVIOUSLY better than boring Javonte Williams and Miles Sanders, so why shouldn’t Blue get the same push that Harvey/Henderson are? He’s starting to...and ‘they’ are probably right to think this way...it’s just now dawning on the masses.

2) Tyler Shough...because he’s going to obviously start, and he’s a little unknown (because he wasn’t as media pushed as Shedeur, etc.) he’s becoming a ‘man of mystery’ for people to take and hope that if the Saints like him this much then maybe he’ll be sweet for FF. He is gonna start fully Week 1...how many rookies can you say that about right now?

3) Terrance Ferguson...all the Sean McVay ‘Ferguson reminds me of Travis Kelce’ talk is having an impact.

COLD:

1) Ollie Gordon...there’s just no enthusiasm happening here with this guy. Have a bad prior college season and you aren’t as magical a unicorn rookie as the others.

2) Dylan Sampson...the masses are with Judkins, so Sampson is dismissed.

3) Jalen Royals...this is surprising me. I think there’s an assumption Rashee Rice is healthy/fine and not getting suspended, neither of which is true (I think) and with Worthy-Brown-Rice there, who cares about this Utah State guy people weren’t that excited about pre-NFL Draft?

-- The #2 most salary cap hit tight end for 2025 is...Taysom Hill at $17.986M...almost every bit of it guaranteed. And...he may not even play a snap this season with his late season 2024 ACL tear and 2025 rehab.

The Saints will likely just take the hit and eat it all now in an obviously lost season already. Take the hit now and be cleaner for 2026.

-- Coming up on FFM today...

*Next scouting report will publish ASAP.

*Top 600 Dynasty and Best Ball top 600 + IDPs have all updated. Next update is being pushed to next week...not enough change to need to force one this week/weekend.

*Next DRD top 300 rankings update will be Thursday/s all summer.

=====================

**The FREE FFM APP (notes for those who have not signed up yet...)

-- The App is NOT automatically set up to recognize your FFM site credentials (username/password).

6/5 THU

(7:21amET)

Couple news items to deal with today...

-- Headline: Broncos hosted free agent RB J.K. Dobbins for a visit.

That should rock the valuations of a couple of Broncos...

1) As we discussed a few weeks ago, R.J. Harvey is in the ‘Sproles’ role...not the ‘Kamara’ role. That’s more of a pass catcher than a heavy ballcarrier.

Harvey’s DRD higher valuation is based on many looking at the Denver backfield and seeing Harvey as the best runner of the ball, by default -- but Sean Payton now talking to Dobbins or possibly Nick Chubb after that pierces the Harvey wins ‘everything’ (touches) hope.

2) Supposedly, Audric Estime was gonna need/get all these ‘more carries’, per Payton a couple days ago. Well, there’s a few less carries if Dobbins arrives (in theory)...or competition for carries is more like it.

Sean Payton told us all that he likes to operate with multiple RBs. A trio backfield is headed to Denver. Really it was already there...just what three RBs will it be is the question.

Dobbins in Denver would just be ‘one of the 3’.

Why Denver is not looking at D’Onta Foreman as well, is everything wrong with NFL scouting and personnel management. Like why Kareem Hunt never got a look from any team last summer is dereliction of duty.

-- There has been some minor concern for C.J. Stroud owners with the news that he is not in camp due to a shoulder issue/needing to rest a sore shoulder.

But over the weekend, Stroud was videotaped shooting 3-pointers at a basketball game at the University of Houston. I think he’s probably fine. It’s always worrisome when you see ‘shoulder’ and ‘QB’. Looks like just an excuse to miss OTAs.

-- Usually these types of ‘rookie camp standouts’ articles (below) are puff pieces, but I check random ones just to see what the mainstream is saying/what they are excited about, etc., and they usually make me mad at how echo chamber-ish they all are.

But this article had some fresh players discussed in it, after a few obvious ones, and there is some nice detail and quotes from coaches or the media on the various rookies. I thought it was worth a read for those still studying the rookies/have DRDs coming up.

It’s a longer read to take up part of your day, if you’d like a nice time killer.

https://bleacherreport.com/articles/25200753-nfl-rookies-who-already-look-draft-day-steals-after-2025-otas

-- Draft Guide 2025 release timeline...

I’ve been releasing some individual reports for the Draft Guide the past two weeks, but the entire draft guide and rankings and commentaries are still being worked on. Annually the actual draft guide ‘drops’ sometime in the 1st-half of June....same goes for this year.

But just to stay in touch on the timing, I will put the current ‘wait time’/timeline estimate here everyday until release...for an FYI and to keep myself on schedule.

The current completion/posting pace that we’re on has an estimated release date of: Somewhere between June 10-15th. More specifically, June 12-13th is the pace I think we’re on right now, FYI.

-- Coming up on FFM today...

*Next scouting report will publish ASAP.

*Top 600 Dynasty and Best Ball top 600 + IDPs have all updated. Next update is being pushed to next week...not enough change to need to force one this week/weekend.

*Next DRD top 300 rankings update will be Thursday/s all summer.

**Special reports that pop up will be published all this week. I’m almost done my REWIND Report on Mr. Bryce Young.

=====================

**The FREE FFM APP (notes for those who have not signed up yet...)

-- The App is NOT automatically set up to recognize your FFM site credentials (username/password).

6/4 WED

(8:11amET)

-- Let me jump on the Shedeur Sanders thing a little more. I can’t help it...it’s beyond fascinating to me, from a human observation standpoint. But I’m also about to take a hard turn/veer off the road...but I’ll get back on track eventually. Here goes...

The more read/hear Shedeur or Deion speak...or the talking heads weigh in on this, and they were and are so far behind/off on this most obvious thing (to me)...the more I just want to buy a shack in the woods in Montana and secede from the human race.

I read a recent report on what Deion had to say about Shedeur’s draft interviews, and how he doesn’t believe Shedeur wasn’t prepared, etc., how it’s a big conspiracy -- and I am left speechless. Just when I think the Sanders are out of my life for a while...one of them runs off at the mouth and it’s national news...which was the other reason why Shedeur was draft toxic -- everyone knew all Deion would do is meddle and run his trap, and the media knows it’s easy to stir the pot and it’s good for their business...what team wanted to deal with Deion on top of everything else in the world? The Browns...actually, not the Browns -- the brilliant Browns’ owner.

How could people be so clueless? I’m serious…can I drop out of the human race? Robots cannot get here fast enough. People have been driving me nuts lately…

Like, I’ve been going back to the gym for the first time in a few years (Planet Fitness, because I’m cool...actually, Planet Fitness for the massage chairs and waterjet massage beds...I think they have some workout stuff there too)...I’ve been a daily goer for about two weeks now, and I’m utterly fascinated by two people I keep seeing at the gym...

1) Person/s who circle the crowded parking area at this huge gym...as they vie with other cars/people trying to find the closest parking spot to the gym...so they can get closer/get in quicker to the place where they are going to try to get needed steps/exercise in? Some free steps/exercise await parking further back from the crowd.

Do we humans think there is a special award for getting the absolute closest parking spot everywhere? *You get a ‘pass’ if it’s raining like crazy...and maybe if you’re really in a hurry, but I’d need to take/consider those ‘pass’ requests on a case-by-case basis. You better have a good reason why you’re in a hurry. ‘Plan better’...will be most of my rulings on that. And you can park further out, be in a hurry, but put a pep in your step to make up some time, come on!

And then why is it when I park 5+ spaces further out than the next closest vehicles at a big or medium sized parking area, with 5-20 spaces available in all directions...why is it when I come back to my vehicle that is still way out there all alone/away from the crowd, as I intended...except someone else has parked right next to me, so there’s two of us way out of the way but right next to each other. I think if you park next to me in that circumstance...not only should it be a criminal/punishable offense, it really should be capital punishment.

2) So, I start my daily Planet Fitness routine by going to my favorite area...an area with like 15 machines called ‘the 30-minute workout’ area...where you go from machine to machine in order and are supposed to make it through to the end in less than 30 minutes...like a Domino’s delivery workout...which is what I want -- the faster I can get the H out of there and not be working out, the better.

Why is it, every single time I go into that clearly marked, clearly designed 30-minute workout area (and I go at 9:30am approx., when all the cool people go to work out -- like when all the retirees, stay at home moms, and Fantasy Football artists are there)...why is it there’s always 1-3 people sitting on the machines, whether the bench press, or leg push, or arm curls...they’re just sitting there endlessly not moving and playing on their phones like it is some gamers lounge? Go sit anywhere else...go stand somewhere if you’re texting, but don’t take up temporary residence on the ‘speed workout’ machines to love on your phone.

...and I’ll give you one guess as to what shape the people who are sitting on gym equipment for 10-20 minutes playing on their phones. And I’m a fat ass too, so that’s why we are all there at the gym, to get in shape/lose weight...supposedly...not to get more fatter...if only working out happened by osmosis or proximity to others working out, but it doesn’t work that way Butterbeans...get out of my ‘speed workout’ area!

So, that was my lead into more Shedeur Sanders talk...I thought you’d enjoy the longer journey path to get here...or maybe you didn’t...doesn’t matter, I needed the typing therapy.

But I wanted to share two Shedeur-related stories...

#1: a story about Deion talking about Shedeur’s pre-Draft interviews process and totally rejecting the notion that his son wasn’t prepared and that it was all made up to hurt his son’s draft stock.

The delusion of every member of the Sanders’ family is one of the most fascinating things that I’ve ever witnessed in all of my football time or human life existence. Deion, basically, should be brought up on child abuse charges if/when Shedeur flames out of the NFL and ends up bankrupt and doing reality TV over the next several years. Deion keeps fanning the flames on this delusional/dysfunctional child...Deion created and nurtures this problem. I feel bad for Shedeur in some sense, but not too bad...look at the money he and pops Ocean-Eleven’d out of Colorado.

Here’s Deion’s latest:

https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/deion-sanders-pre-draft-attacks-on-shedeur-and-shilo-hurt

#2: and the second thing to pass on...I forget who told me this, but I also read it some Browns practice notes from some reporter -- Shedeur is running ‘last’ QB in on the drills at recent Browns’ OTAs and he doesn’t look good when it’s working against any serious defense, etc. And that the rumblings are that Shedeur is likely not making this roster come September.

If Shedeur gets cut, where is he going/who is signing him in the NFL once the Browns don’t want you?

Also, from my source...Flacco is very likely to start...and Kevin Stefanski is, and has been all along since pre-Draft, totally in love with Dillon Gabriel. FYI

-- The one kid Deion didn’t ruin, credit to the man: Travis Hunter.

Below is a very detailed ESPN article about Hunter’s contract details and case ahead for what might happen with him playing two positions at a high-level.

If you’re interested:

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/45375038/travis-hunter-jacksonville-jaguars-wr-cb-contract-incentives-options

-- Two quick hit news stories/headlines that caught my eye...

ITEM: Jonnu Smith’s agent, Drew Rosenhaus, said his client would “definitely like to stay in Miami.”

This blurb comes with the new reporting that it appears there is no real deal happening with Jonnu possibly going to the Steelers.

My reaction to the news: The Steelers rumors hit a few days ago and pretty quickly after, Jonnu’s agent was out there talking about wanting to stay in Miami and now the deal seems to be dead/nothing. I wonder if this is another sign of offensive players (with options) NOT wanting to play for the Steelers. Jonnu knows Arthur, and his first reaction to this news seems to be -- hell, no...I don’t want to play for him/I would definitely like to stay in Miami (is the nicer way to put it). Just my wondering/thought.

NBC HEADLINE: Titans signed RB Tyrion Davis-Price to a two-year contract.

NBC comments on it: A former third-round pick of the 49ers back in 2022, TDP’s career has barely gotten off the ground through three seasons. Davis-Price has appeared in just eight NFL games thus far, rushing for 127 scoreless yards on 43 carries. He spent last season with the Eagles and appeared in one game. The Titans giving him a two-year deal is interesting on the surface, but we wouldn’t assume he’s a lock for the 53-man roster after struggling to see action at this point in his career.

RC NOTE: First note on this...Tyrion Davis-Price is terrible...another disaster pick from the 49ers a few years ago.

Secondly, I see (I think) there is no guaranteed money in this deal, so it’s fine...but why two years? There is no need to put any real effort into this talentless RB. It just made me think more on my 2025 thesis of...just how poorly run the Titans are. They had one of the most befuddling/nonsensical free agent sessions of any team in 2025. And their draft picks after the Cam Ward layup were lame/illogical. Now with all the free talent out there you’re putting a 2-year deal on TDP...why? ‘Why’...from so many different angles.

I got a BAD feeling about this whole Titans organization and coaching, top-to-bottom.

-- Coming up on FFM today...

*Next scouting report will publish ASAP.

*Top 600 Dynasty and Best Ball top 600 + IDPs have all updated. Next update is being pushed to next week...not enough change to need to force one this week/weekend.

*Next DRD top 300 rankings update will be Thursday/s all summer.

**Special reports that pop up will be published all this week. I’m almost done my REWIND Report on Mr. Bryce Young.

=====================

*FASTDRAFT is opening up more, new all-rookie Best Ball type contests and tournaments...and some lower cost ones to have fun with. Put your rookie studies to the test in a contest available in most states. More info on FastDraft and promo codes for initial deposit matches below:

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*TWO NOTES OF INTEREST* On the FastDraft App/prize tournaments...

1) The FFM Promo Code opportunity has now been doubled by FastDraft for a stretch of time...matching funds of +$50 when you deposit $50 when you use the promo code FFM.

2) Also, there is a free to enter contest just opened on FastDraft...it’s an abbreviated Best Ball type draft...open for a limited time.

6/3 TUE

(6:47amET)

-- Lions Pro Bowl center Frank Ragnow retired from the NFL yesterday...forced to retire early due to an accumulation of injuries over the years.

A couple reactions to this...

1) This is a huge thing. O-Line is so important...so important. And a great Center is so critical, a captain of the O-Line typically. This hurts the Lions outlook for 2025 a little, especially for the early/start of the season.

2) We just finished my Faux 1.0/computer simulated season...and the Lions won it all. But that was with Ragnow as a starter. Take him away, I bet they would not have gone the distance.

3) The Lions very smartly drafted Georgia OG/OC Tate Ratledge this year...a top 20-30 overall prospect in our rankings, and the Lions drafted him #57 overall. That pick may have saved the season upside (Super Bowl) for Detroit.

4) We may have to take a slight haircut on Lions things for FF 2025...ever so slight...there will be plays/moments where Ragnow being gone gets Goff sacked or throwing a pick because he got hit vs. the same play being a simple completion or just harmlessly incomplete on a pass. Little micro moments that add up to chip a little away from the passing game, no?

5) Ragnow was the #3 rated blocker among all OC’s in 2024...will this take away a David Montgomery short TD (that gets stuffed) or two...will it take 0.1-0.2 off his yards per carry for a season...same for Jahmyr Gibbs? We have to consider it...I will this week.

6) The Lions offensive ratings impact has to dip, right? A small boost for all DSTs facing them...extra few extra sacks, and/or fumbles, and/or a few more stopped scoring attempts could all subtly happen with the difference of Ragnow vs. a rookie at Center.

7) A couple more failed drives maybe for the 2025 season, leading FGs instead of TDs...helps Jake Bates?

The ripple effects of things are intriguing...and maddening to try to predict all the impacts and how much they will impact. It’s an art and a science...

-- NBC Headline: Sports Illustrated’s Albert Breer believes Braelon Allen’s role in the Jets offense “could be pretty significant.”

There have been a lot of rumblings about Breece Hall sharing this backfield, at a minimum...and at a maximum, rumors have floated all year about Breece being traded away this preseason (before he asks for the big extension/is a free agent next year...and he’d prefer to be out of NYJ eventually, I am told as well by reliable sources).

I think Allen is a ‘star potential’ RB, but he’s stuck with this dreadful franchise, weak O-Line, running QB, trio backfield battle, and a coaching staff that may set offense back a few years. Love the player (Allen)...but am worried about this situation. I am encouraged, however, that Allen is getting mention from Albert Breer in the offseason -- it’s a good/encouraging sign, but not a guaranteed sign.

-- More and more self-inflicted wounds by the Steelers...

https://www.steelernation.com/2025/06/01/steelers-florio-dk-metcalf-massive

I think this issue, raised by PFT/Mike Florio, is a big deal. This has a chance to further undermine whatever culture the Steelers have built...and it feels like the Steelers are doing everything they can to tear this whole thing apart through mismanagement -- but maybe they’ll land Rodgers and take care of these big-name guys like T.J. Watt and swerve out of these choppy waters. But right now, it feels like the Steelers are driving straight towards a giant cliff.

-- Coming up on FFM today...

*Next scouting report will publish ASAP.

*Top 600 Dynasty and Best Ball top 600 + IDPs have all updated. Next update is being pushed to next week...not enough change to need to force one this week/weekend.

*Next DRD top 300 rankings update will be Thursday/s all summer.

**Faux 1.0/Computer Simulated Season has ended but starting Today, the FFM experts will be posting their Faux 1.0/2025 projected standings and playoffs/title winner. A different expert reveals their simulations Tue-Fri next week. Then we’ll have one big, consolidated report of ALL the simulations to compare and contrast.

**Special reports that pop up will be published all this week. I’m almost done my REWIND Report on Mr. Bryce Young.

=====================

Link to learn more and get the Promo Code: https://ffmetrics.com/total-football-advisor/5363-upcoming-rc-interview-video-who-what-why-ff-contest-promo-code

*TWO NOTES OF INTEREST* On the FastDraft App/prize tournaments...

1) The FFM Promo Code opportunity has now been doubled by FastDraft for a stretch of time...matching funds of +$50 when you deposit $50 when you use the promo code FFM.

2) Also, there is a free to enter contest just opened on FastDraft...it’s an abbreviated Best Ball type draft...open for a limited time.

6/2 MON

(6:54amET)

Patriots Day on RC’s Notes...

-- A batch of OTA observation notes from Patriots camp, and some other interesting tidbits from an ESPN reporter:

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/45393446/what-patriots-rookie-safety-craig-woodson-stefon-diggs-boat

There’s a lot of (rookie) Craig Woodson talk being thrown my way from various sources, and a lot of the mainstream reports from early Patriots camps mention him quite a bit. I am moving him up some more in our next DRD rankings, even though I’m not as enthusiastic yet (from what I’ve seen).

-- PFT had more details on the Stefon Diggs contract, and possible cutting without owing any money...if you’re interested.

https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/could-patriots-cut-stefon-diggs-and-owe-him-nothing-its-complicated

-- Let me add some more Patriots-based info...

I asked Grok to show me what the coaches and personnel people are saying about Kyle Williams in OTA’s, etc. Just doing a check in on it to see more of what the Pats have been saying about Kyle during/after OTAs...

Post-Draft Comments (April 2025):

Eliot Wolf, Executive Vice President of Player Personnel: While specific direct quotes from Wolf about Williams are limited, he discussed the overall draft strategy, which provides context for Williams’ selection. Wolf emphasized the Patriots’ focus on adding explosiveness to the offense, a need after a lackluster 2024 season. Williams, with his 4.40-second 40-yard dash and 14 touchdowns in 2024 at Washington State, fit this mold. Wolf’s post-draft press conference on April 25, 2025, highlighted the team’s intent to build around quarterback Drake Maye with players like Williams, who was selected to add speed and separation to the receiving corps.

Mike Vrabel, Head Coach: During Williams’ introductory press conference on April 25, 2025, Vrabel’s interaction with Williams was indirectly referenced through Williams’ own comments. Williams noted Vrabel’s passion for the game, saying, “You can hear it in his voice, the passion that he comes with, you know he is a man of standards. He wants to work, and that’s what I can come in and help bring to the organization.” This suggests Vrabel made a strong impression on Williams, emphasizing a culture of hard work and dedication. Additionally, Vrabel’s hands-on coaching style was noted during rookie minicamp, which would have included working with Williams, though specific comments from Vrabel about Williams at this stage are not directly quoted.

Rookie Minicamp (May 2025):

Mike Vrabel, Head Coach: At the Patriots’ rookie minicamp on May 9, 2025, Vrabel was actively involved in drills, often wearing a pinny or chest pad, and providing one-on-one instruction to players, including Williams. While Vrabel did not single out Williams in public statements, his hands-on approach was noted by first-round pick Will Campbell, who said, “It shows you how much they care about you and your production.” Williams was observed looking “as advertised” during Day 1 of minicamp, making a strong grab along the sideline as the primary outside target in the top grouping, indicating that Vrabel and the coaching staff were giving him significant reps.

Josh McDaniels, Offensive Coordinator: During the first day of rookie minicamp on May 9, 2025, McDaniels was seen working hands-on with Williams alongside Vrabel. While McDaniels did not provide a direct quote about Williams, his involvement suggests a focus on integrating Williams into the offensive scheme early. Williams later acknowledged this coaching attention, saying on May 10, 2025, that the staff’s engagement made him feel like they were invested in his development.

OTA Camps (May 2025):

Mike Vrabel, Head Coach: Vrabel addressed the media before an OTA session on May 28, 2025, but specific comments about Williams from this session are not documented. However, during OTAs, Vrabel’s staff continued to work closely with the rookies. On May 20, 2025, highlights from an OTA session showed quarterback Drake Maye throwing deep to Williams and DeMario Douglas, indicating that Williams was being utilized in deep-threat roles, aligning with the team’s draft intent. Vrabel’s focus on a “different mentality” under his leadership, as noted by veteran players, likely influenced Williams’ integration, though direct quotes about Williams are absent.

Unnamed Patriots Staff Member (via ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler): On May 24, 2025, ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler reported intel from a Patriots staff member about what drew the team to Williams. The staff member used one word: “committed.” This reflects the coaching staff’s appreciation for Williams’ dedication, aligning with his decision to play in the Holiday Bowl despite a coaching transition at Washington State, a move that impressed the Patriots during the pre-draft process.

General Observations from Coaching Staff: Posts on X provide additional sentiment about Williams’ performance during OTAs. On May 18, 2025, a user (@BellinoZee) noted that Williams was “impressing the hell out of Patriots scouts” on the show Forged in Foxborough, praising his athleticism, quickness, release, and ability to win at the top of routes. While this is not a direct quote from a coach, it suggests positive internal feedback from the scouting and coaching staff. Another post on May 29, 2025, by @PatriotsGlobal2 highlighted that Williams “stands out” during Day 2 of OTAs, further indicating that the coaching staff’s focus on him was yielding visible results.

Additional Context from Former Coaches (Relevant to Patriots’ Evaluation):

Jake Dickert, Former Washington State Coach: During the post-draft period, Dickert, who coached Williams at Washington State before moving to Wake Forest, commented on Williams’ character, which likely influenced the Patriots’ decision. Dickert said, “When your best player puts his foot down and says, ‘This is important, we need to do it,’ and he’s the first one to step out on the field, there is a lot of power in that.” This reflects Williams’ leadership and commitment, qualities the Patriots’ staff valued, as echoed by the “committed” comment from a team member.

Marcus Arroyo, Former UNLV Coach (Now at Arizona State): Arroyo, who recruited Williams to UNLV, spoke about his character and work ethic post-draft, saying, “The character and work ethic are the things that stick out the most… tough and loved football. Kyle was right at the top of the list.” While not a current Patriots coach, Arroyo’s comments likely align with the traits the Patriots’ staff saw in Williams during their evaluation.

From Reporters and Media Observers:

Phil Perry, NBC Sports Boston (during rookie minicamp, May 9, 2025): On Vrabel’s coaching intensity, which directly impacted Williams: “Vrabel’s non-stop. He was pulling guys aside one-on-one, wearing a pinny, chest pad on, showing the kids how it’s done. They were hanging on to every word.” Perry also noted Williams’ performance: “Williams looked as advertised, making a strong grab along the sideline and a contested catch over the middle as the primary outside target in the top grouping.”

Evan Lazar, Patriots.com (during OTAs, May 28, 2025): On Williams’ on-field performance: “Kyle Williams’ ability to separate has flashed in the two practices open to the media. Today he made the play of the day, an over-the-shoulder catch against Miles Battle, adjusting mid-route to secure the ball.”

Phil Perry, NBC Sports Boston (on the Next Pats Podcast, May 2025): On Williams’ potential role: “I don’t know that he’s going to be a true No. 1, but I think he can be your X-receiver in this offense. He’s got the speed, the versatility in his route-running, and with Diggs out, he might have to step up sooner than expected.” *RC NOTE: Oh, no...you're wrong...he can be a true #1...

Unnamed League Scout (via Heavy Sports, May 2025): On Williams’ speed and potential: “So. Much. Speed.” This was part of a text exchange highlighting optimism about Williams breaking the Patriots’ trend of struggling to develop drafted receivers.

-- Starting Tuesday, the FFM experts will be posting their Faux 1.0/2025 projected standings and playoffs/title winner. A different expert reveals their simulations Tue-Fri next week. Then we’ll have one big, consolidated report of ALL the simulations to compare and contrast.

-- Coming up on FFM today...

*Next scouting report will publish ASAP.

*Top 600 Dynasty and Best Ball top 600 + IDPs have all updated. Next update is being pushed to next week...not enough change to need to force one this week/weekend.

*Next DRD top 300 rankings update will be Thursday/s all summer.

**Faux 1.0/Computer Simulated Season ends today with the Super Bowl.

**Special reports that pop up will be published all this week. I’m almost done my REWIND Report on Mr. Bryce Young.

=====================

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