2022 FAUX 1.0 (Computer Simulated Season) by Ross Jacobs *AFC Wildcard Playoffs




(Same intro everyday) Four analysts are running their own early models of the 2022 NFL season, as we know it today – looking at the current teams/rosters/starters/depth mixed with the schedule layout.

We will release the simulation results and short commentaries three weeks at a time (Weeks 1-3, 4-6, etc.) by each analyst daily -- and then each analyst will simulate their playoffs all the way up to crowning their early Super Bowl champ. This is pre-work looking for/searching and sharing possible great Over/Under win total bets ahead of the crowd.

The analysts have not seen each other’s simulations…they’ll be seeing them for the first time as the report’s release daily for the next 12 days.


Your 2022 Faux 1.0 Analyst Lineup:

Ross Jacobs, FFM analyst (every 8am ET for the entire series)

Xavier Cromartie, long-time contributor/NFL Draft guru (every noonET)

Chris Bilello, Bet the Close Podcast (every 4pmET)

RC Fischer, FFM analyst (every 8pmET)


Hope you enjoy this two-week daily series…it’s all the analyst’s favorite project – one that totally consumes them and drives them mad working on it all, trying to predict the unpredictable…then a major injury will hit in July and/or August and blow all the theories and models all up. But for now, here’s what the analysts are seeing…



#7 Denver Broncos (10-7) at #2 Baltimore Ravens (12-5)

Baltimore wins 59% of the simulations. Denver is good but they've been beaten up by a brutal AFC West schedule and have to travel to Baltimore. It's just a little too much to ask in their first season with Russell Wilson at the helm.


#6 Kansas City Chiefs (10-7) at #3 Buffalo Bills (12-5)

Old rivals meet again but this time it is the Bills that prevail. Their defense is too much for the Chiefs without Tyreek Hill to power the offense. Buffalo wins 57.5% of the simulations.


#5 Cincinnati Bengals (10-7) at #4 Los Angeles Chargers (11-6)

Burrow and Herbert clash in the first of what is hopefully a long series of playoff games between the two. It's a close matchup but the Chargers prevail in 54.5% of the simulations and move on to the Divisional round.


#1 Indianapolis (bye)