2022-23 Divisional Round Playoff NFL Handicapping: All Picks ATS and Survivor Pool Pick
Great week of handicapping this week. (5-1) on my Friday picks' but in reality -- I had a nice (6-0) week from taking Cincy -5.5/-6.0 as soon as the spreads popped up on DraftKings/FanDuel.
I also picked every game correct WITHOUT the spread/straight up' including the NYG-MIN game…where The Computer picked MIN to barely win on Friday' but my caveat was that if Adoree Jackson was full practice/off the practice report for this game -- then that would tip it to NYG to win outright…and they did. (5-1) straight up on what I posted Friday' but (6-0) with the Adoree plan. Either way you judge it…it's all good!
I'm not AS confident this week in ALL the picks/options as I did last week' but I feel pretty good about them nonetheless…especially my Best Bet this week' which I LOVE!
Good luck to you in your picks and betting this weekend. Here's our picks…
Wild Card Playoffs results…
FFM All picks straight up: 6-0
FFM ATS: 5-1
FFM Best Bet: 1-0
FFM Blazing Five (no TNF): 4-1
FFM Calling a dog for an outright win: 2-0
Chris ATS: 4-2
Ross ATS: 2-4
Chris Best Bet: 0-1
Ross Best Bet: 1-0
When All 3 analysts agree: 0-1
When both analysts disagree with my pick: 0-0' for me (none this week)
All Underdogs ATS = 4-2
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2022 Regular Season YTD results…
All picks straight up: 191-88-2
ATS: 162-104-5 (60.9%)
Best Bet: 11-6
Blazing Five (no TNF): 55-31-3 (64.0%)
Calling a dog for an outright win: 21-13
Chris ATS: 153-113-5
Ross ATS: 125-123-4
Chris Best Bet: 11-6
Ross Best Bet: 9-8
When All 3 analysts agree: 60-32-1
When both analysts disagree with my pick: 31-19' for me
FFM Survivor: BAL(W)' BUF(W)' LAC(L)' PHI(W)' TB(W)' CIN(W)' KC(W)' MIA(W)' ATL(L)' NO(W)' DAL(W)' SEA(W)' SF(W)' MIN(W)' DET(L)' NYG(W)' CAR(W)
Chris Survivor: BAL(W)' GB(W)' LAC(L)' PHI(W)' TB(W)' LAR(W)' CIN(W)' DAL(W)' BUF(L)' TEN(W)' SF(W)' XXXXX
Ross Survivor: DEN(L)' XXX' BUF (L)' GB(W)' PHI(W)' SF(L)' LV(W)' DAL(W)' TB(W)' KC(W)' BAL(W)' MIA(W)' SEA(W)' CIN(W)' NO(W)' DET(W)' MIN(W)
All Underdogs ATS = 142-124-5
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Wild Card Playoff Picks….
DAL at SF (-3.5)
The Computer says: SF by 8.7 (a 5.2 spread differential)
To me' this is the best bet of the playoffs so far. The 49ers are winning games by 8 or more 'on the reg.' now. Brock Purdy is (7-0) in games so far this season' and (6-1) ATS…and only getting better. Dallas is getting way too much credit for their Tampa Bay win. SF could win this by 2-3 scores…but all I need is for them to cover the measly 3.5.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: SF
Ross Jacobs: DAL
Andrew DFS: SF
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NYG at PHI (-7.5)
The Computer says: PHI by 5.6 (a 1.9 spread differential)
I love the scrappy G-Men' but the Eagles have Lane Johnson back and are projected even at the line of scrimmage with NYG but a little better everywhere else…at home' off a bye' I have to lean PHI for the win -- but the Giants have played such good football' I don't see them getting blown out. Taking the points because they're juicy.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: NYG
Ross Jacobs: NYG
Andrew DFS: NYG *outright win*
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JAX at KC (-8.5)
The Computer says: KC by 7.1 (a 1.4 spread differential)
There's a growing history of KC being a bigger favorite' because the fans and Tony Romo LOVE Patrick Mahomes with all their hearts and souls and minds -- but with the constant big favorite spread' KC is winning…but not covering more and more often.
BUT ANDY REID OFF A BYE' RC???!!!
Games since 2020 where KC was off a bye…
2020 vs. LV (-8.0)...KC scores late to win by 4
2020 vs. CLE (-8.0) playoffs…CLE leads early' has a chance late' KC wins by 4
2020 vs. TB (-3.0) Super Bowl…TB destroys KC by 22
2021 vs. DEN (-8.0)...KC wins by 13
2022 vs. TEN (-14.0) with Malik Willis…KC luckily ties late' luckily wins in OT by 3
Since 2020' Andy Reid is (4-1) off a bye' (3-0) off a bye reg. season…(1-4) ATS off a bye' (1-2) ATS off a bye reg season
Andy Reid off a THU night game' so if given an extended time to prepare' since 2020…
2020 v. LAC (-8.5)...Justin Herbert emergency start' KC wins by 3 in OT and should have lost.
2021 v. PIT (-10.0)...KC dominates by 26
2022 v. IND (-4.5)...KC loses to the awful Colts by 3' lucky win by Indy
Since 2020' Andy Reid is (2-1) off THU night' (1-2) ATS
Since 2020: Off a BYE + off THU night = Andy Reid is (6-2) straight up' (2-6) ATS
JAX lost by 10 to KC earlier this year' but they played pretty well after absorbing a 17-0 quick deficit. It was a quasi-turning point of the Jags season from there. I'm not betting it heavy' but we are leaning JAX plus the points.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: KC
Ross Jacobs: JAX
Andrew DFS: JAX
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CIN at BUF (-5.5)
The Computer says: BUF by 4.6 (a 0.9 spread differential)
Much of this' for bettors' hinges on CIN OLs Cappa and Williams being out…but Burrow has shown he can still roll through no O-line (last playoffs) -- and Buffalo almost lost to Skylar Thompson throwing for under 40% completions and with Miami dropping passes/opportunity all over. Not that means any guarantee that Buffalo is bad or loses…but just showing they were very vulnerable to a weak Miami team. And…Since their bye week (7)' Buffalo is (4-7) against the spread. (8-2) in win-loss record…but (4-7) ATS.
Cincy is forever undervalued and is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games.
When healthy' Cincy is the best team in football…so even wounded' I'll take the points.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: CIN *outright win*
Ross Jacobs: BUF
Andrew DFS: CIN *outright win*
