2022 Week 9 NFL Handicapping: All Picks ATS and Survivor Pool Pick
I'm not complaining at all about this past week…I'm on a good roll. Not as great as Bet The Close's Chris Bilello is on, but we're all making money this season. FFM had a (5-0) Blazing Five, again…a 71% win-rate clip on Blazing Five this season. Called for two underdogs to outright win…they did. Best Bet hit again, now (6-2) on Best Bets this season. Picked all games, straight up (no spread) with a (13-2) record.
I'll take it all!
This feels like a week of the underdogs. A lot of strange favorites…a lot of road favorites. Let's keep the hot streak going. Tough survivor pickings this week with just 13 games this week and all the obvious options likely been used prior.
Good luck to you bets this week!
Week 8 results…
FFM All picks straight up: 13-2
FFM ATS: 9-6
FFM Best Bet: 1-0
FFM Blazing Five (no TNF): 5-0
FFM Calling a dog for an outright win: 2-0
Chris ATS: 12-3
Ross ATS: 11-4
Chris Best Bet: 1-0
Ross Best Bet: 0-1
When All 3 analysts agree: 5-0
When both analysts disagree with my pick: 1-2, for me
FFM Survivor: MIN (W)
Chris Survivor: DAL (W)
Ross Survivor: DAL (W)
All Underdogs ATS = 6-9
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YTD results…
All picks straight up: 79-43-1
ATS: 67-52-4 (56.3%)
Best Bet: 6-2
Blazing Five (no TNF): 27-11-2 (71%)
Calling a dog for an outright win: 7-5
Chris ATS: 82-37-4 (maybe you should listen to the expert! That record is INSANE!!!!)
Ross ATS: 59-60-4
Chris Best Bet: 8-0 (maybe you should listen to the expert!)
Ross Best Bet: 4-4
When All 3 analysts agree: 32-17-1
When both analysts disagree with my pick: 7-10, for me
FFM Survivor: BAL(W), BUF(W), LAC(L), PHI(W), TB(W), CIN(W), KC(W)
Chris Survivor: BAL(W), GB(W), LAC(L), PHI(W), TB(W), LAR(W), CIN(W), DAL(W)
Ross Survivor: DEN(L), XXX, BUF (L), GB(W), PHI(W), SF(L), LV(W), DAL(W)
All Underdogs ATS = 63-56-4
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Week 9 Picks….
IND at NE (-5.5)
The Computer says: NE by 1.1 (a 4.4 spread differential)
Way too many points for a shaky Patriots team to give to a halfway decent, desperate Colts team. I have a feeling the Colts pull an upset even if Jon Taylor is out (it may be a good thing for the offense to be more pass based anyway, and less predictable).
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: IND
Ross Jacobs: XXX
TEN at KC (-12.5)
The Computer says: KC by 8.7 (a 3.8 spread differential)
I don't think it's proper to give this Titans team +12.5 points. It's an insult on how good they've been against top AFC teams the last three seasons. I wouldn't be shocked if Tennessee won this game…with Willis or Tannehill…especially with Willis.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: TEN
Ross Jacobs: XXX
CAR at CIN (-7.5)
The Computer says: CIN by 4.4 (a 3.1 spread differential)
Way too many defensive injuries for Cincy to lay 7.5 points.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: CIN
Ross Jacobs: XXX
LAC (-3.5) at ATL
The Computer says: LAC by 0.5 (a 3.0 spread differential)
I have no idea how the Chargers are a road favorite here. Probably minus Keenan-Big Mike isn't helping matters.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: LAC
Ross Jacobs: XXX
BAL (-2.5) at NO *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*
The Computer says: NO by 0.5 (a 3.0 spread differential)
I'll take a decent Saints team at home in the dome on a Monday night!
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: BAL
Ross Jacobs: XXX
MIN (-3.5) at WSH
The Computer says: MIN by 0.7 (a 2.8 spread differential)
Washington is on a roll and Minnesota is due to lose…the Vikes have been sliding by bad teams and a Tua-less Miami team. Away from their safe haven home field advantage, I think the Vikings are due to take an L…or at least not cover the gaudy 3.5 spread.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: MIN
Ross Jacobs: XXX
LAR at TB (-2.5)
The Computer says: TB by 0.3 (a 2.2 spread differential)
I'd go for a full upset if I knew Cooper Kupp was 100%. The Bucs are getting Carlton Davis back and possibly Antoine Winfield and should pull out a win, but these two disappointing teams are so disappointing...I'll just take the points.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: TB
Ross Jacobs: XXX
PHI (-14.0) at HOU
The Computer says: PHI by 16.1 (a 2.1 spread differential)
I should take the points when they're this high with a home dog, but this is arguably the best team in the NFL versus the single worst. I can't go with Houston to cover here.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: PHI
Ross Jacobs: XXX
LV (-1.5) at JAX *UNDERDOG OUTRIGHT WIN*
The Computer says: JAX by 0.3 (a 1.8 spread differential)
Jacksonville has lost five games in a row but were in all 5 of them. At home, facing a dying Raiders team…JAX might steal a win here. LV has two wins this season…over DEN and HOU. It's not a great Raiders team and they are already having coaching turmoil.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: LV *BEST BET*
Ross Jacobs: XXX
SEA at ARI (-2.0)
The Computer says: ARI by 2.1 (a 0.9 spread differential)
Arizona hasn't been great this season, but they have had a tough schedule. At home, laying low points…we'll roll the dice for them to cover in a must-make-a-stand game.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: ARI
Ross Jacobs: XXX
BUF (-12.5) at NYJ
The Computer says: BUF by 11.9 (a 0.6 spread differential)
Buffalo is the better team, no doubt…but this is a lot of points for a scrappy Jets team. I just couldn't bet this because I have no idea how the Jets will score any points in this game.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: BUF *SURVIVOR PICK*
Ross Jacobs: XXX
MIA (-5.0) at CHI
The Computer says: MIA by 5.2 (a 0.2 spread differential)
Miami is getting a little healthier and has added Bradley Chubb into the mix…while Chicago was selling off defensive pieces the past two weeks. I think Miami's offense is humming and it's a bad time for the Bears to face this Dolphins machine while changing up/downgrading their defense of late.
*FFM SURVIVOR PICK* -- I've used all the obvious options so far and with 6 teams on a bye, there's only so many options to go with.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: CHI
Ross Jacobs: XXX
GB (-3.5) at DET
The Computer says: GB by 3.4 (a 0.1 spread differential)
I get GB wrong every week. Detroit tends to play close at home…they've lost by 3, 3, and 4 at home this year to good teams. I'll take Detroit for a pick, not a bet.
Chris 'Bet The Close' Podcast: DET
Ross Jacobs: XXX
